I have vote to skill 100%.
Because we not gambling we are trading.
Emerging market conditions can be analysed by current buy/sell price, charts(12H, 24H, 7D, 1M, 6M), news, market cap, volume, buy wall/ sell wall and orderbook.
If any trader consider all things above mentioned can predict or analyse market movements.
I personally tried and even recommend to my friend, getting good results.