Statistically speaking,I bet everyday on at least a single match but I have won only once.I should win more right ? You're an example how similar people win lottery every day.Could you tell us your statistics ? How much did you stake ? Did you win or lose?
What do you mean? I have won twice out of the 13 raffles.
However, since there are 26 prizes, you have a 26/entries chance of winning the raffles.
You only have to stake 5 mBTC to be eligible for a ticket in the raffle, I'm sure. It's not about how much I stake or how much I won/lose. It's just about getting a place in there.
Now for some probability:
Given that you have wagered on that day and have a ticket
22.06 raffle has a 13.13% chance of winning
21.06 raffle has a 14.6% chance of winning
20.06 raffle has a 14.6% chance of winning
19.06 raffle has a 14.69% chance of winning
18.06 raffle has a 13.07% chance of winning
17.06 raffle has a 13.54% chance of winning
16.06 raffle has a 15.03% chance of winning
15.06 raffle has a 15.95% chance of winning
14.06 raffle has a 16.04% chance of winning
13.06 raffle has a 16.56% chance of winning
12.06 raffle has a 20% chance of winning
11.06 raffle has a 22.8% chance of winning
10.06 raffle has a 37.68% chance of winning
This adds up to 227.69% in total, which means you should have won at least twice on average.
Given that there are 20 prizes of 0.05, 3 prizes of 0.1, and isolated prizes of 0.2, 0.5 and 1 BTC
That's a:
76.92% chance of winning 0.05
11.54% chance of winning 0.1
3.84% chance of winning 0.2, 0.5, or 1 BTC On average that is 0.11528 each time you get a prize. [Theoretically speaking]
Which means that the average person (betting 0.005 per game) would see at this point [statistically] a profit of 0.197481032 [if they had lost their 0.005 every single time]
Correct me if my calculations are wrong, I'm a bit preoccupied at the moment and haven't had my coffee yet