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Topic: Sportsbet.io UEFA Nations League Prediction Pool Discussion Thread - page 14. (Read 4627 times)

legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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Pool is now officially closed. We are all in and everybody has paid. We have little less than 61 mBTC for rewards and they will be as follows:
Rewards:
1. 28 mBTC
2. 15 mBTC
3. 10 mBTC
4. 5 mBTC
5. 2 mBTC
we have almost 1 mBTC reserved for fees and everything that is left will get added to 5th place reward. If it is not enough (it should be way more than enough) it will get taken from 5th place reward.

I upped 5th place a bit from last draft since we got one more participant and updated the OP as well.


Have fun guys and I feel bad for not creating this topic as self-moderated. I never had problems with outsiders before in our traditional pools but this one seems to attract them. Sorry for that but I really don't like the power to delete posts in democratic community but I guess it will be a must in the future.
hero member
Activity: 1848
Merit: 530
The OGz Club
In today's group A Nations League matches, I bet on the victories of the hosts. England quite unexpectedly lost in the first match against Hungary, and Germany is an opponent a class better. I do not believe that Hungary will made a second surprise within a few days and get any points in match against Italy.
legendary
Activity: 2226
Merit: 1571
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I thought I finally got one win after France took the lead and Dalić took both Modrić and Kovačić off. Of course we had a double successful VAR check and a penalty was given to Croatia.

I can't even be happy about it, this Nations League is killing me after such a long season. I can't even imagine how the players are feeling and I would not have even watched the game if I did not bet on it.

Really crazy results all around - I'm skipping it from now on, otherwise this is happening to me as well:

I should be making money with all these upsets but no, I know the minute I start betting on the Hungaries of this tourney, the tide will turn and I'll lose everything.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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I should be making money with all these upsets but no, I know the minute I start betting on the Hungaries of this tourney, the tide will turn and I'll lose everything.

Maybe I should bet $1 against all my predictions here though. Get them all exact.
Really pissed about Nations League, worst ever percentage of wins for me in last 15 years, that is saying something.

Now it gets to the point of pride to just get winning ticket but I will definitely drop my stakes on this tournament.

My tip for the day, both to score on Germany-England. Germany doesn't look so good in defence and England has strong bench to refresh the team. Should be goals.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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So far no discernible pattern for me. BTTS, Under/Over are all really evened out.
Only pattern I see in these games is lost tickets  Grin No matter what I pick it ends as loosing ticket for me.
I said I will not bet on it anymore and already placed 4 tickets that will be loosing by the end of the day.

I should be making money with all these upsets but no, I know the minute I start betting on the Hungaries of this tourney, the tide will turn and I'll lose everything.

Maybe I should bet $1 against all my predictions here though. Get them all exact.

You are not alone,we have almost all here lost money in the Nations League,some of us also said in a radical way that we are not going to bet a single ticket anymore on the Nations League,I also said something similar yet here I am placing bets on Denmark to win and France to win.

Denmark + France looked like such a delicious pairing, did they not?

Definitely stay away. I'm actually getting better performances in Afcon games right now.
legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1247
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
I'm back on track - 2 exact predictions in a row and I'm 3rd now, up by 7 places  Cool
Austria - Denmark game was delayed by 1.5 hour, but it was worth waiting because it was entertaining game to watch. Austria had so many moments to score and achieve draw, but failed to do it. And did you saw what huge mistake Schmeichel did? It doesn't happens often with him.
Didn't watched Croatia - France game in full, but from what I saw 1:1 result reflect game.
On Tuesday we have big game between Germany and England. And Hungary will face Italy. Can they make another upset?

Congrats,I had France to win 0-2 and that penalty destroyed my hopes for a correct score.However in the next game I got the exact score,finally a good result for me in this pool so far.I think many people got Denmark right here so quite some people climbed positions yesterday in the standings.Unfortunately for me I had both France and Denmark to win in my bet and I lost the bet but at least seeing France played well and also Denmark doing great again and leading the group has reinstated in me the fact that I can bet again now as not always the big teams lose in Nations League.
hero member
Activity: 2338
Merit: 953
Temporary forum vacation
I'm back on track - 2 exact predictions in a row and I'm 3rd now, up by 7 places  Cool
Austria - Denmark game was delayed by 1.5 hour, but it was worth waiting because it was entertaining game to watch. Austria had so many moments to score and achieve draw, but failed to do it. And did you saw what huge mistake Schmeichel did? It doesn't happens often with him.
Didn't watched Croatia - France game in full, but from what I saw 1:1 result reflect game.
On Tuesday we have big game between Germany and England. And Hungary will face Italy. Can they make another upset?

Well done well done!

I am just so glad I got 1 exact, cannot believe France made such a dumb draw but it seems a lot of people knew that was going to happen. Croatia beaten by so many goals and then draw to France, how is this a match against one of the World Cup favorites?

I hope Germany trounce England and wake them up they look so so bad.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1049
Argentine representative on gambling board
I keep being a shit in this tournament hahaha.

I put the two exact score today, but with a little detail, in the incorrect matches hahahaa. I put 1-1 to Austria - Denmark and 1-2 for Croatia France. So i still in the bottom and maybe i destroy my chances to win the big price with this start.
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1375
Slava Ukraini!
I'm back on track - 2 exact predictions in a row and I'm 3rd now, up by 7 places  Cool
Austria - Denmark game was delayed by 1.5 hour, but it was worth waiting because it was entertaining game to watch. Austria had so many moments to score and achieve draw, but failed to do it. And did you saw what huge mistake Schmeichel did? It doesn't happens often with him.
Didn't watched Croatia - France game in full, but from what I saw 1:1 result reflect game.
On Tuesday we have big game between Germany and England. And Hungary will face Italy. Can they make another upset?
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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You are not alone,we have almost all here lost money in the Nations League,some of us also said in a radical way that we are not going to bet a single ticket anymore on the Nations League,I also said something similar yet here I am placing bets on Denmark to win and France to win.The gamblers do not imagine life without a form of gambling,especially when big events like this one are ongoing it is only natural for us to gamble and watch the game with emotion,otherwise we would not be gamblers.
I guess for each lost bet there is one that was won  Grin
Somebody that consistently put their money on the weaker teams probably made a nice profit by now, even though there is no guarantee that this will continue in the next round of games. But it seems that the "strong" teams are not very motivated, whereas the less stron teams see their chances to get good results against the teams with the big names.
It is usually a case of higher motivation in weaker teams. They always want to prove something while heavy weights just want the season to end so they can rest and be at their maximum for new season and upcoming World Cup.

But there was so many strange results this time around that I am really stumped. It is normal to see a couple of those surprises but almost all favorites loosing does not happen very often.
full member
Activity: 840
Merit: 137
Ronaldo brace against Switzerland and Messi scored a glut against Estonia. The both great GOAT have proven again and have show their impressive performance individually for their country. Perhaps we are still waiting to watch them play in the Qater World Cup. There will incredible and brilliant performance from the two world great GOAT, they have been topping for over a decade and the two high level players are even some young lads play model in the football world. Let's see what they Cristiano Ronaldo and Leo Messi will bring up in the Nation league.
hero member
Activity: 1974
Merit: 856
tonight, Croatia and France looks as goalless draw, although I picked France to win in a pool
The quotes by bookmakers are more equally distributed in tonight's games, it seems they also learned from the games in the last days.  Wink
Croatia vs France is at 3.3/2.95/2.3 (20min into the game, score 0-0). I think France will win, they need to give some retribution after their loss
Austria vs Denmark is at 2.9/3.5/2.4. Given the fact that Denmark bet France, they are not hugely favored against the much weaker Austria. Denmark should be able to at leat not lose tonight.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1151
Nil Satis Nisi Optimum
~snip
 And in League B, C and D things is way more predictable.

yeah, there are few upsets in lower divisions, but way less than in League A
for me, pool is a booger, had exact score in first match and all red since then, but had few good picks so far (do not follow profitability in betting, it is beer money anyway, but I think that one good ticket so far is enough to keep me above the line)

tonight, Croatia and France looks as goalless draw, although I picked France to win in a pool
hero member
Activity: 1974
Merit: 856
You are not alone,we have almost all here lost money in the Nations League,some of us also said in a radical way that we are not going to bet a single ticket anymore on the Nations League,I also said something similar yet here I am placing bets on Denmark to win and France to win.The gamblers do not imagine life without a form of gambling,especially when big events like this one are ongoing it is only natural for us to gamble and watch the game with emotion,otherwise we would not be gamblers.
I guess for each lost bet there is one that was won  Grin
Somebody that consistently put their money on the weaker teams probably made a nice profit by now, even though there is no guarantee that this will continue in the next round of games. But it seems that the "strong" teams are not very motivated, whereas the less stron teams see their chances to get good results against the teams with the big names.
legendary
Activity: 3318
Merit: 1247
Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
People did and do complain about the Nations League, but it does produce nice pairings Wink
Yeah we have nice pairings on paper but then the games start and half of teams look like they don't really wanna be there and play these mostly pointless games.

So far no discernible pattern for me. BTTS, Under/Over are all really evened out.
Only pattern I see in these games is lost tickets  Grin No matter what I pick it ends as loosing ticket for me.
I said I will not bet on it anymore and already placed 4 tickets that will be loosing by the end of the day.

The UEFA Nations League has been really like a disaster for me so far. All of the betslips I made lost already. Because of this I don't think of making any bets until the leagues start or maybe even until the World Cup starts. Cheesy Even though the results of the matches haven't been as we expected, we can still see good matches in terms of being watchable. Good luck against France today. Smiley

You are not alone,we have almost all here lost money in the Nations League,some of us also said in a radical way that we are not going to bet a single ticket anymore on the Nations League,I also said something similar yet here I am placing bets on Denmark to win and France to win.The gamblers do not imagine life without a form of gambling,especially when big events like this one are ongoing it is only natural for us to gamble and watch the game with emotion,otherwise we would not be gamblers.
legendary
Activity: 2226
Merit: 1571
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The UEFA Nations League has been really like a disaster for me so far. All of the betslips I made lost already. Because of this I don't think of making any bets until the leagues start or maybe even until the World Cup starts. Cheesy Even though the results of the matches haven't been as we expected, we can still see good matches in terms of being watchable. Good luck against France today. Smiley

I don't bet on it - mostly because I really feel that the players don't care about it after the end of the season and in a year in which we will have the World Cup.
In the predictor I got 2.5 points from 10 games - which shows how good that decision not to bet on these really was Grin

Today Croatia is playing France - with both teams losing the 1st games to inferior opposition. I did bet on France here - the odds were simply too good.
legendary
Activity: 1932
Merit: 1757
People did and do complain about the Nations League, but it does produce nice pairings Wink
Yeah we have nice pairings on paper but then the games start and half of teams look like they don't really wanna be there and play these mostly pointless games.

So far no discernible pattern for me. BTTS, Under/Over are all really evened out.
Only pattern I see in these games is lost tickets  Grin No matter what I pick it ends as loosing ticket for me.
I said I will not bet on it anymore and already placed 4 tickets that will be loosing by the end of the day.

The UEFA Nations League has been really like a disaster for me so far. All of the betslips I made lost already. Because of this I don't think of making any bets until the leagues start or maybe even until the World Cup starts. Cheesy Even though the results of the matches haven't been as we expected, we can still see good matches in terms of being watchable. Good luck against France today. Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3234
Merit: 1375
Slava Ukraini!
Yeah, so far it's so difficult to predict results, at least in League A. I doubt that we would see so many upsets in EURO or World Cup qualifiers.
Though, can't complain much about betting, so far it's been profitable. Not ML, but other markets. And in League B, C and D things is way more predictable.
legendary
Activity: 2646
Merit: 2691
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People did and do complain about the Nations League, but it does produce nice pairings Wink
Yeah we have nice pairings on paper but then the games start and half of teams look like they don't really wanna be there and play these mostly pointless games.

So far no discernible pattern for me. BTTS, Under/Over are all really evened out.
Only pattern I see in these games is lost tickets  Grin No matter what I pick it ends as loosing ticket for me.
I said I will not bet on it anymore and already placed 4 tickets that will be loosing by the end of the day.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 3684
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I lost my magic for some games but it affected everyone so I'm still comfortable for now.  Grin  However, I wonder whether today will be a good day for me. I picked Spain to win by 2-1 and Portugal to win by the same score also. The Czech Republic - Spain game has been very well for me so far as the first half ended in a 1-1 draw. If Spain get ahead and finish the game by that score I would be very happy.  Cheesy  I won't be able to predict the exact score for the Portugal - Switzerland game but it feels still good to see Portugal leading by 3-0 already now.

Yeah, only 2 guys got points from the first 2 games in the new round. Really not pleased I picked the wrong games for draws, it was always going to be tight for Spain but I thought their young 'uns would run circles around the Czechs, seems I was wrong.

Definitely did not see the big scoreline from Portugal coming. Ronaldo even getting 2 and the assist by the time I stopped paying attention.

So far no discernible pattern for me. BTTS, Under/Over are all really evened out.
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