Sportsbet.io UEFA Nations League Prediction Pool Discussion Thread - page 4.

swogerino

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Quote from: casperBGD on September 25, 2022, 02:17:43 PM

eight more games till finish line
Denmark is my pick for tonight, France won over Austria to overcome them on the table, but still not secure from relegation, but other way around, Austria need to win over Croatia to get over France, in case France does not win

and most probably Croatia will win over Austria, which put France on rest, and Denmark do not need this win, but will try to get scalp of big team

Netherlands should proceed from other group, but expect goals, I cannot predict outcome of their duel with Belgium

France maybe cannot do anything to get to the top of the group but a win can do good to them for the World Cup starting in November.I know Denmark needs the win more as they maybe thinking a win from them and a draw from Croatia would put them to the top of the group but this is a double edged sword,once they go hard in attack they are left behind vulnerable and France doesn't make mistakes in such situations they usually score,they have big names in their team compared to Denmark that is why I have got for France tonight.

Netherlands should win but as I said a lot of goals are predicted.

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Lovren is starting for Croatia - which probably means that Dalić is still on the fence and unsure whether it will be him or Šutalo alongside Gvardiol in Qatar.

I don't like how our team is set up for the game - but it is still a team that should dominate against Austria. We have lost the first game against them in a disappointing way, I think we won't underestimate them again. After all, a win takes us to the semifinals.

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Quote from: tomahawk9 on September 25, 2022, 02:26:39 PM

Quote from: Unknown01 on September 25, 2022, 01:48:58 PM

For example, Turkey will win against the Faroe Islands and the odds are >1.3 and higher Grin

Generous odds for Turkey playing against part time dentists and bricklayers. -1.5 handicap look tasty at 2 odds... Turkey have secured promotion to League B in the previous match so today they're going with a B team in the starting 11, still, it's a winnable match

I just checked out the starting players and most of the players are actually good ones. Therefore I see a handicap result for Turkey as realistic. I'll be watching with interest, I've already placed my bet on Handicap!

Austria Croatia is also interesting from the odds because I expect Croatia to draw or win. double Chance for croatia is maybe a good idea Grin

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Quote from: slaman29 on September 25, 2022, 05:10:37 AM

Portugal are so far the only "big team" to look like they enjoy scoring goals, and they're Spain's next opponent so I feel the odds are quite unfair as they're still the favorite?

50/50 game, imo. Fun fact: head-to-head record since 2012: five consecutive draws 👀

Quote from: Unknown01 on September 25, 2022, 01:48:58 PM

For example, Turkey will win against the Faroe Islands and the odds are >1.3 and higher Grin

Generous odds for Turkey playing against part time dentists and bricklayers. -1.5 handicap look tasty at 2 odds... Turkey have secured promotion to League B in the previous match so today they're going with a B team in the starting 11, still, it's a winnable match

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eight more games till finish line
Denmark is my pick for tonight, France won over Austria to overcome them on the table, but still not secure from relegation, but other way around, Austria need to win over Croatia to get over France, in case France does not win

and most probably Croatia will win over Austria, which put France on rest, and Denmark do not need this win, but will try to get scalp of big team

Netherlands should proceed from other group, but expect goals, I cannot predict outcome of their duel with Belgium

Unknown01

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In my opinion, there are actually some fixed games with very good odds today. For example, Turkey will win against the Faroe Islands and the odds are >1.3 and higher Grin

So if the Nations League today also delivers strange or false results today, I'll give up betting Cheesy

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Austria - Croatia is important for both teams. Winning this game will be enough for Croatia to reach next round. I believe that they can be victorious in this one. They won their last three games in the group and this helped them take the lead before the last games. Croatia defeated an even more difficult opponent like Denmark before this game. I know that Austria defeated them 3-0 away at the beginning. But Croatia are not the same now. They are more effective in terms of defending and attacking both.

Belgium are on a very difficult duty now. Because winning this game by any score isn't enough for them to take the lead. Because after equalizing the points they need to be better against Netherlands in terms of head-to-head games also. Netherlands beat them 4-1 before so Belgium will need to win by this score difference at least also to steal the playoff ticket from them. But it feels like Netherlands won't even lose this game and we might see a draw at the end.

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Quote from: Trofo on September 25, 2022, 11:04:29 AM

Quote from: slaman29 on September 25, 2022, 05:10:37 AM

Quote from: boltz on September 24, 2022, 07:40:33 PM

Also Spain lost today it's first place in the group so a lot of upset and important teams who lost points in last 2 days but it's kinda normal with WC approaching and UCL and internal competitions are having an impact on every player but not on Portugal it seems as this squad is working like clockwork and I if they keep this pace for WC they might have a deep run. Cool

Ripping all of my bets for the weekend, I was so so confident of them I decided to put them in several multibets and lost everything, ML lost, score over 1.5 lost, even lost a booking point item as they somehow didn't get even a yellow card lol.

Portugal are so far the only "big team" to look like they enjoy scoring goals, and they're Spain's next opponent so I feel the odds are quite unfair as they're still the favorite?

Problem is Portugal is pragmatic team and draw is enough for them. They will defend and wait for opening, if it comes great, if it doesn't, main thing is to keep clean sheet.

Couple of solid bets today for me, I believe France and Croatia are much closer to wins today so I decided on tripple with x2 on those two games plus both to score on Netherlands - Belgium match.

Looks we are on the same page,I also believe France to win and also Croatia as lately they are in top form so I would only expect for them to continue to behave at such level.The sure choice to get the win is to bet on both teams to score in a game which I predict to be a festival of goals in Netherlands vs Belgium game as that has always been the case when the two teams have played each other lately.

For me this is the critical night to decide at 90% the winners of the pool as after this night we have only two other nights but those nights will have 2 games each so I don't think that many changes to happen in the last couple of games.This was a very interesting pool so far.

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Quote from: slaman29 on September 25, 2022, 05:10:37 AM

Quote from: boltz on September 24, 2022, 07:40:33 PM

Also Spain lost today it's first place in the group so a lot of upset and important teams who lost points in last 2 days but it's kinda normal with WC approaching and UCL and internal competitions are having an impact on every player but not on Portugal it seems as this squad is working like clockwork and I if they keep this pace for WC they might have a deep run. Cool

Ripping all of my bets for the weekend, I was so so confident of them I decided to put them in several multibets and lost everything, ML lost, score over 1.5 lost, even lost a booking point item as they somehow didn't get even a yellow card lol.

Portugal are so far the only "big team" to look like they enjoy scoring goals, and they're Spain's next opponent so I feel the odds are quite unfair as they're still the favorite?

Problem is Portugal is pragmatic team and draw is enough for them. They will defend and wait for opening, if it comes great, if it doesn't, main thing is to keep clean sheet.

Couple of solid bets today for me, I believe France and Croatia are much closer to wins today so I decided on tripple with x2 on those two games plus both to score on Netherlands - Belgium match.

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Quote from: boltz on September 24, 2022, 07:40:33 PM

Also Spain lost today it's first place in the group so a lot of upset and important teams who lost points in last 2 days but it's kinda normal with WC approaching and UCL and internal competitions are having an impact on every player but not on Portugal it seems as this squad is working like clockwork and I if they keep this pace for WC they might have a deep run. Cool

Ripping all of my bets for the weekend, I was so so confident of them I decided to put them in several multibets and lost everything, ML lost, score over 1.5 lost, even lost a booking point item as they somehow didn't get even a yellow card lol.

Portugal are so far the only "big team" to look like they enjoy scoring goals, and they're Spain's next opponent so I feel the odds are quite unfair as they're still the favorite?

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Quote from: boltz on September 24, 2022, 07:40:33 PM

Also Spain lost today it's first place in the group so a lot of upset and important teams who lost points in last 2 days but it's kinda normal with WC approaching and UCL and internal competitions are having an impact on every player but not on Portugal it seems as this squad is working like clockwork and I if they keep this pace for WC they might have a deep run. Cool

I was surprised by how badly Spain played,the only good thing they did is to get that over 70% ball possession but which in the end served for nothing,they were extremely confused when they were near the goalkeeper zone and they made a lot of mistakes.Switzerland on the other side was really good at creating dangerous actions and the most dangerous actions for the game were from them and they deserved the win yesterday.Portugal 0-4 I believe no one expected this big win from them especially against a team which had 0 loses before this one when playing at home.

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Quote from: boltz on September 24, 2022, 07:40:33 PM

Also Spain lost today it's first place in the group so a lot of upset and important teams who lost points in last 2 days but it's kinda normal with WC approaching and UCL and internal competitions are having an impact on every player but not on Portugal it seems as this squad is working like clockwork and I if they keep this pace for WC they might have a deep run. Cool

yeah, WC is certainly a priority for all national teams that qualified for that, so they are not under pressure for Nations league
but, you would expect from England not to relegate to B level, but they did just that

Switzerland is a good team, did not expected from them to win over Spain, but Spain was not looking good on attack last night, Portugal used that to the max against Czech

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Also Spain lost today it's first place in the group so a lot of upset and important teams who lost points in last 2 days but it's kinda normal with WC approaching and UCL and internal competitions are having an impact on every player but not on Portugal it seems as this squad is working like clockwork and I if they keep this pace for WC they might have a deep run. Cool

swogerino

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So after the first night where all games went well,yesterday games didn't go according to plan and was a huge surprise from Germany losing to Hungary,it is still continuing tonight with Switzerland surprising Spain and leading right now,again my pool looks like I will get 0 or almost 0 points here as I had predicted a clean sheet for Spain,hopefully it does not end the same like Germany yesterday.

The lead will keep heating if surprise results happen and some of the users predict them in a bid to try to go all in or all broke,if these results come true then most probably the daring person will be at the top of the standings as just 8 games beside the ones of tonight remain for this pool.

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After having a poor day yesterday the competition for the lead has heated up even more. Maybe it might even change tonight and I wouldn't be surprised about it. Trusting the favourites didn't help me at all yesterday. But I can't hold myself about repeating this. Even though I know that big teams generally don't care about the Nations League much I still continue to make my predictions depending on their current condition.

This time I hope that Spain and Portugal won't upset me about my picks. Technically they both need wins today to keep fighting for the playoff round. Portugal might seem risky as they are playing away. Czech Republic's performance against Spain here was really good. If they become that much effective again very stressful minutes will be waiting for me. Grin

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I have a feeling we're going to see an upset today,, hmm

Quote from: Harkorede on September 23, 2022, 11:47:33 PM

That might be way the go, but England are paired against Iran, Wales and USA, the odds for them not to make the knockout stages should be nothing less 10 odds, if not way more than that.

I think England will be humbled in the WC. Iran are a tough side in the World Cups. Sure they never make it past the group stage, but they know how to put up a fierce fight. I remember in 2014, Argentina had a really tough time vs Iran. And in 2018 both Spain and Portugal also faced some troubles against Iran. Wales and USA can't be underestimated, 50/50 games for current England. Grim

Quote from: Trofo on September 24, 2022, 04:55:29 AM

England played 5 games in this competition and did not score a single goal from open play. With players like Kane, Sterling, Rashford, Sancho, Foden and who knows who I am forgetting here I would get rid of Southgate asap. That is not bad luck that is criminal performance.

Sack Southgate and change the group dynamics and tactics two months before WC? Sounds risky. FA will keep Southgate and weather the storm. I'm pretty sure that even if they reach the wc final after a miracle run, the fa will still sack Mr. fancy waistcoat

Btw, "Performance 'step in the right direction', says Gareth Southgate" Just trust the process, bruv 💪

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England relegated, they deserve to be, really. I can smell all sorts of value bets against them there.

Quote from: casperBGD on September 23, 2022, 02:55:43 PM

interesting tactics, did not thought it through, but it does look compeling
central Asian states that are now playing in European competition are a bit undervalued by bookies, and underestimated by general population

when Serbia loses to Azerbeijan, it is looked as catastrophe on that, and when we lose to Slovakia, it is ok, they play football as well
and Azerbeijan took some solid players in their squad, Kazakhstan as well, not sure about Georgia dough

Yes and will continue to be so, to the point you could almost play blindly (don't take my word for it) and just use H2H, form and odds value to pick winners haha. Physically, these teams are on par or perhaps even slightly better overall, when compared to some European leagues, at least to my observation.

Georgia's clubs have also won me quite a bit of money in UEFA comps, same as Armenia (and arguably Azerbaijan is just next door) -- they're robust, physical.

Quote from: LTU_btc on September 23, 2022, 08:01:55 PM

Who could have thought that Hungary with one round remaining already will have guaranteed themselves 1st place in group of death. On the other hand, it shows attitude of some teams towards Nations League. I hope that @buwaytress made some nice money backing Hungary

.
It wasn't bad day for me. Spent my 1 mBTC freebet on Georgia win and also had Italy win. So, recovered after yesterday's loses.

The way the likes of Germany and England play? Guess plenty. Pointless backing that kind of huge underdog in the pool I only got 1 point from doing that haha.

Nah, unfortunately I didn't take anything on them, not even sure what the odds were. Already had a nice bet riding that hit with Estonia/Georgia wins, and didn't feel like ruining my night. Should have just gone with the flow huh?!

Quote from: Trofo on September 24, 2022, 04:55:29 AM

England played 5 games in this competition and did not score a single goal from open play. With players like Kane, Sterling, Rashford, Sancho, Foden and who knows who I am forgetting here I would get rid of Southgate asap. That is not bad luck that is criminal performance.

And then you lose both games against Hungary and to make it even worse you lose 4:0 at home, at Wembly. How do you think opponents feel after coming to Wembly now? Well I guess they are all thinking, if Hungary can score 4 against this team we can do at least double

Sort of like playing against Leicester in PL, all the opposition attackers getting on the pitch with smile on their faces.

Couldn't agree more, this is criminal. Southgate got a loooot of goodwill for what he seemed to do (bring the English together after decades of infighting) and last big final, but time for a refresh methinks.

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It is really funny to see Hungary topping the group including England, Germany and Italy. It has to be said though that it is well deserved - they have the best offense (tied with Germany) and by far the best defense record in the group.
Conceding only 3 goals in 5 games in a group like this really speaks volumes.

I will cheer for them in what appears to be one of the easiest games of the group - Italy at home. A draw is enough for them to finish the group on top.

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Quote from: swogerino on September 24, 2022, 03:50:53 AM

Quote from: LTU_btc on September 23, 2022, 08:01:55 PM

Does winning B League counts as trophy? If yes - football is coming home.

It counts but I don't think football is coming home with B league Grin

.Judging from their performance though it will be extremely difficult for them to win even league B,they seemed a much different team than the one who got to the final of the Euro Cup and which they nearly won it just a couple of months ago.They need to improve the performance of the new players and synchronize them well with old ones like Harry Kane and other attackers,England yesterday was suffering from creating dangerous attacks and I doubt it was Italy defense that did not let them,it was more themselves confusion.

England played 5 games in this competition and did not score a single goal from open play. With players like Kane, Sterling, Rashford, Sancho, Foden and who knows who I am forgetting here I would get rid of Southgate asap. That is not bad luck that is criminal performance.

And then you lose both games against Hungary and to make it even worse you lose 4:0 at home, at Wembly. How do you think opponents feel after coming to Wembly now? Well I guess they are all thinking, if Hungary can score 4 against this team we can do at least double

Sort of like playing against Leicester in PL, all the opposition attackers getting on the pitch with smile on their faces.

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Quote from: LTU_btc on September 23, 2022, 08:01:55 PM

Does winning B League counts as trophy? If yes - football is coming home.

It counts but I don't think football is coming home with B league Grin

.Judging from their performance though it will be extremely difficult for them to win even league B,they seemed a much different team than the one who got to the final of the Euro Cup and which they nearly won it just a couple of months ago.They need to improve the performance of the new players and synchronize them well with old ones like Harry Kane and other attackers,England yesterday was suffering from creating dangerous attacks and I doubt it was Italy defense that did not let them,it was more themselves confusion.

Topic: Sportsbet.io UEFA Nations League Prediction Pool Discussion Thread - page 4. (Read 4397 times)