That's how the thing goes, that's why it's often best to try as much as possible to maintain a specific momentum, even if it's not at the highest level or pace, it's rather better to not try to chase not so feasible result every week just trying to chase the every gap between participant, I'm still never paying much attention to the leaderboard, but when we get about weeks left I'll check what's left to play for and what not, until then it's just guts, logic or pure statistical, perhaps a combination of the 3 to make a decision for me.
Yes, the best way is to participate in many pools at once and then you will not have time to track minor changes in positions within them
By the way, at the end of the championship, it seems to me that the randomness of the results will increase (not in the pool, but in club games) - many teams will either have already solved their problems, or have completely failed, and therefore they will not have the motivation to play at full strength.
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