Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 564.

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Quote from: big_daddy on December 26, 2019, 04:59:40 AM

Do not forget to make your picks today like I forgot few days ago and lost a possibility to gain some important points

Rounds are coming fast and thick. I have already made my picks for all three rounds that are to be played this week. Unlike my previous picks, I spent quite a time to research/think about picks this week. After calculating probable winners, I taken into consideration surprise elements (like favorites getting defeated, host losing against away team) which have become quite common since last few rounds. Then placing both variables (probable winners, surprise winners) into array, I looped probability function using each team's position as third variable over first two variables and made final decision on that basis.
So far everything going pretty good. I got 5 correct in first 7 (2 exact) and 8th one also going correct as for now. Let's see how many points I could make after 23 upcoming matches. But one thing is sure if my technique as mentioned above doesn't work then it is sure that analysis/experience/skills have zero value and only luck works into sports gambling.

Quote from: big_daddy on December 26, 2019, 04:59:40 AM

I’m focused on the Leicester - Liverpool match, I’m giving and advance to Liverpool of course, but it will not be easy at all to win

What an amazing match we got here. I am going for 3-1 win for Leicester. Bring it on, I am ready to sacrifice my sleep tonight for this match! Cheesy

BitcoinGirl.Club

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Quote from: BitcoinGirl.Club on December 26, 2019, 11:41:23 AM

Arsenal, Palace and Sheffs need to score one more goal for each to make me super happy LOL

Well Palace did not disappoint me but Arsenal and Sheffs did. Even no points from them 🤪 However it feels good to lead the leaderboard.

For the next matches, I really do not have much confident about Utd vs Newcastle match for Utd to win but I have gone with them eventually. But very much confident that Liverpool is not going to disappoint me at all.

Please Utd, figure out a win 😀

tomahawk9

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Quote from: buwaytress on December 26, 2019, 07:43:52 AM

Newcastle have been finding ways to win again and again, is 9/1 against United really that bad a reflection of the Magpies? I mean, Watford were not even 5/1 to United. Surely that's a value bet right there, right guys? =p

Doesn't Man Utd have a horrendous record against non-Big 6 teams this current season? I would've taken Newcastle double chance, 8/1 odds is a bit too risky. But still, good luck! Oh, and The Saints won tonight so now you just need Liverpool to grab the 3 pts and you'll win that sweet doubles bet @17 odds (:

BitcoinGirl.Club

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Victory for Liverpool can happen because the chances of winning are huge, I'm sure Liverpool will score first.

I understand why everyone is talking about Leicester match but really they are not still ready to face big teams. As always I am saying they will really lose by big margin.

And as I expected Chelsea are losing this mach, not even have any chance to draw this match to save some points. They are 2 - 0 down and the match even does not have 10 minutes left.

Arsenal, Palace and Sheffs need to score one more goal for each to make me super happy LOL

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legendary

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Quote from: DeathAngel on December 26, 2019, 08:52:20 AM

Quote from: big_daddy on December 26, 2019, 04:59:40 AM

Do not forget to make your picks today like I forgot few days ago and lost a possibility to gain some important points
I’m focused on the Leicester - Liverpool match, I’m giving and advance to Liverpool of course, but it will not be easy at all to win

We’ll see how good Leicester are today, they got outclassed by City in the last game. If Liverpool beat them today it proves they’re not in the same class as the big boys.

I guess it will be weird to see after Leicester several wins in a row, draw (against Norwich) and lost Man. City and Liverpool.
it just shows how strong is Liverpool with unbeatable series.

BitcoinGirl.Club

legendary

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Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o

I had a good start in this round. Exact score in the first match. But Possibly the Chelsea and Arsenal is again going to lose me point. There is risk for Watford match too. They always come with surprise.

Quote from: DeathAngel on December 26, 2019, 08:52:20 AM

We’ll see how good Leicester are today, they got outclassed by City in the last game. If Liverpool beat them today it proves they’re not in the same class as the big boys.

As always Liverpool is going to win again and I am expecting them to win by a 3 -1 margin.

DeathAngel

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Quote from: big_daddy on December 26, 2019, 04:59:40 AM

Do not forget to make your picks today like I forgot few days ago and lost a possibility to gain some important points
I’m focused on the Leicester - Liverpool match, I’m giving and advance to Liverpool of course, but it will not be easy at all to win

We’ll see how good Leicester are today, they got outclassed by City in the last game. If Liverpool beat them today it proves they’re not in the same class as the big boys.

buwaytress

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Betting on another Watford win today, actually considering adding three separate underdog parlays with Liverpool. It's going to be really difficult to find any 2/1 Liverpool odds this season but I guess that's full respect and credit to Leicester.

Newcastle have been finding ways to win again and again, is 9/1 against United really that bad a reflection of the Magpies? I mean, Watford were not even 5/1 to United. Surely that's a value bet right there, right guys? =p

tokeweed

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Quote from: DeathAngel on December 25, 2019, 08:08:30 AM

Quote from: tokeweed on December 25, 2019, 07:33:01 AM

^ I got a feeling Newcastle is gonna get three points from United too (or at least a draw)... Steve Bruce prolly couldn't get a more perfect situation.

Ole needs to start putting a string of wins together, they really are terrible these days. It’s like the difference between night & day with how good they were with Fergie.

You can't really compare bacon face with Ole. If ever SAF came back there's gonna be a serious squad rebuild. And one of the players first to be thrown out (yes thrown) is Pogba. Lol.

That's the difference. SAF can do whatever he wants and Woodward can't do anything about it.

Trofo

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Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on December 25, 2019, 02:16:08 PM

This stinking Christmas rubbish is nearly over now.

Let’s get on with the real fun, all I want is 3 points for Jurgen’s boys tomorrow.

#lfc
#redmachine

I had a bad case of football withdrawal symptoms yesterday. We should make them play at least a game or two during Christmas so our meetings with extended family can go a little bit smoother

Too bad I am not into basketball since it seems NBA league has some very good matches on Christmas. They consider it a privilege to play on that day.

big_daddy

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Do not forget to make your picks today like I forgot few days ago and lost a possibility to gain some important points
I’m focused on the Leicester - Liverpool match, I’m giving and advance to Liverpool of course, but it will not be easy at all to win

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legendary

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Quote from: DeathAngel on December 25, 2019, 08:08:30 AM

Quote from: tokeweed on December 25, 2019, 07:33:01 AM

^ I got a feeling Newcastle is gonna get three points from United too (or at least a draw)... Steve Bruce prolly couldn't get a more perfect situation.

Ole needs to start putting a string of wins together, they really are terrible these days. It’s like the difference between night & day with how good they were with Fergie.

if losing against Newcastle will bring Ole to be fired, maybe it will be good results for MU. It's really hard to watch them when they play without passion and any idea. I know there they need some serious players, they are too indifferent and no desire to fight.

btw. Merry Christmas and boxing day

LFC_Bitcoin

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This stinking Christmas rubbish is nearly over now.

Let’s get on with the real fun, all I want is 3 points for Jurgen’s boys tomorrow.

#lfc
#redmachine

Harkorede

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I'm literally undecided with a lot of games ahead of tomorrow, there's been a lot of unexpected results these past weeks and I'm sure we'd see another couple during this round.

Unlike Tokeweed, I don't see United dropping points against Newcastle, but the 8.9 Odds could be worth a shot, while we've got some tricky fixtures Foxes vs Liverpool, I'm not too sure about Liverpool, I'm not underestimating their potential here, but looking recent long trips and CWC matches Klopp surely wouldn't be playing all his firepower day in day out during these fixtures infested period. City vs Wolves is another encounter to look out for, I think Guardiola will be all out to seek revenge of their 2 - 0 loss at home some 2 months ago.

buwaytress

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Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on December 24, 2019, 04:45:55 PM

Quote from: buwaytress on December 24, 2019, 01:34:27 PM

What do you think... Watford starting a great escape? I'm betting on them again!

I’ve watched a handful of their games live this season & I genuinely think there are at least 3 lower quality teams in the league than them. They are good enough to stay up but they’ll have to start racking up points ASAP & continue where they left off in the last game.

(I had them to beat United too Wink

)

Yeah, 5/1 was really special, I just bummed out by parlaying with Spurs and Mourinho. He had to break his record against previous teams of course!

Anyway, Watford winning this next game is almost 5/1 (with price boost), and parlaying that with a Liverpool win gives me almost a 10/1.

Guys: any bookie you know we can take a bet on Watford to survive relegation now before the Blades game? Odds must look really tempting right now, even with the United win.

DeathAngel

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Quote from: tokeweed on December 25, 2019, 07:33:01 AM

^ I got a feeling Newcastle is gonna get three points from United too (or at least a draw)... Steve Bruce prolly couldn't get a more perfect situation.

Ole needs to start putting a string of wins together, they really are terrible these days. It’s like the difference between night & day with how good they were with Fergie.

tokeweed

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^ I got a feeling Newcastle is gonna get three points from United too (or at least a draw)... Steve Bruce prolly couldn't get a more perfect situation.

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Quote from: LFC_Bitcoin on December 24, 2019, 04:45:55 PM

Quote from: buwaytress on December 24, 2019, 01:34:27 PM

What do you think... Watford starting a great escape? I'm betting on them again!

(I had them to beat United too Wink

)

I believe a major reason for this was because Manchester United this season can't be relied on when it comes to defeating teams that on paper they should win with less effort than watford actually paying beautifully well per se. Games that can be easily won, united plays badly but when it's the top teams, their determination and will power to win balls comes into manifestation. United are like the Robin hood of the premier league "take points from the top clubs (rich) then distribute to the smaller clubs (poor)".

Initially thought that watford would get something out of that game that's why I went for a draw but they did surprise me with the clean sheet plus three points. Anyways still can't get over our (Chelsea) wins against Tottenham, i have rewatch the full time match like twice already and still keep on enjoying the boys performance most especially William's ball control. Just hope the boys can replicate same success against Southampton come boxing day fixtures.

LFC_Bitcoin

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Quote from: buwaytress on December 24, 2019, 01:34:27 PM

What do you think... Watford starting a great escape? I'm betting on them again!

I’ve watched a handful of their games live this season & I genuinely think there are at least 3 lower quality teams in the league than them. They are good enough to stay up but they’ll have to start racking up points ASAP & continue where they left off in the last game.

(I had them to beat United too Wink

)

buwaytress

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Thought I'd be top of the table with my Watford pick, seeing everyone say they got so few points. But my 7.5 wasn't too shabby after all, except it's about half of the yellow capper this week! Didn't realise ManU wouldn't be able to score. Also didn't realise Leicester would play so badly, etc etc.

Palace is costing me a lot of points AND money... this is a strange case for me of a team playing so well (I watch them a bit somehow these weeks) and yet not getting much for it.

What do you think... Watford starting a great escape? I'm betting on them again!

Topic: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread - page 564. (Read 146473 times)