Mitch picked "Aston Villa under 5,5 shots on target and over 1,5 goals". Now that can happen of course, but I thought that the under/over in this combination narrows down the range of opportunities quite a lot. If Aston Villa scores 2 goals, that is already 2 shots on target. If Aston Villa has 4 shots on target but has not scored by then, the point is gone. That is why I thought I would either go with over/over or under/under.
And after all I have no idea what Tottenham's plan is for tomorrow to surprise us all!
Concede 5 goals in 15 minutes this time?
Agreed, it was such a tight range to pick, but in the context of Villa (or rather, the context of Spurs haha), it seemed a near-valid assumption.
In the past 4 games before Spurs, despite playing very well, they have had between 1 to 3 shots on target... but scored 2 goals, so they do have a 50% conversion rate! Go back to the game where they destroyed Newcastle? 6 shots on target and 3 goals. Also 50%.
Villa don't usually get many shots on target, but I thought hey, this is Spurs, so they'll allow more. Sure enough! 80 minutes, it was 4 on target, and they already had the 2 goals. Another 50% conversion rate..!
Then they simply played out the rest of the game to manage that lead, absorbing the toothless attacks of Spurs, almost wrong decision too -- they should know Spurs peak really late, penalty didn't help in the end. Kane got a yellow, this is a frustrated side. Crime to see Kane and Son playing in that team.
Anyway, well done mitch for grabbing the draw! Now we see how you do in a "penalty shootout"!