Every scenario is possible but you guys just speculation there is no right things in here. IMO, discussing some topics we can't really be trusted just a wasting time. For example the scenario from @Bitnity, he can be private his account so no one knows his name but he decides to make his account public during the last of the month. By the progress of STAKE, while they can hire some UFC to be ambassadors and how they handle previous lottery contests.
I'm really sure they don't want to do that, still can imagine how much they cost to promoted stake with ambassador UFC but they cheat their own contest? I guess not. If some unknown casino, I still believe they can be cheat but for stake well I trusted them.
I do not believe stake would scam people for small amount of money neither, but I understand what the other people come from. I mean we are talking about what 250k? Something like that, and this guy wagered 80+ million dollars for that. Sure maybe he started out trying to win at first but then he actually ended up profiting from gambling and things went well and then he kept gambling just for gambling sake, who knows what happened, I haven't checked his past.
However I am pretty sure that no sane person would risk 80 million dollars for few hundred thousands dollars. What people do not understand is that 80+ million is basically elite of elites, people who are so rich that they are in the high tables, talks with presidents, build thousands of jobs, create new sectors, it is insanely a lot of money, hell Tesla started with less money on early days.