But is still hopeful and has written more intelligent commentary than anything Steemit has written.
https://blog.coinfund.io/perspective-customer-acquisition-and-retention-on-steemit-327a7f21cd8e#.ybv8x0k3o
https://steemit.com/investments/@jbrukh/disruptive-technologies-speculative-capital-and-thinking-big-about-steemit
I had read that in July. I agree with him about most of that, except that in my analysis Steemit doesn't have the right structure to scale virally and to encourage those ecosystem apps.
The design of Steemit screams short-term pump and cash out.
Of course my analysis could be wrong. And I must admit I am not deep into the design specifics of the Graphene and Steem blockchain.
I'd like to reveal my design so you could understand what I mean in comparison, but I am inhibited by trying to at least get to a working mockup so I can try to raise some funds and accelerate from there.
Note I am speaking with other developers as well.
One problem though is that partnerships with unknown people are fraught with potential failure for various reasons.
I know for a FACT that they fucked up the Steemit internal market as bad as any random pinhead could (down to < $10,000 24 hour volume)...
So in spite of 2 years of working with Bitshares Dan has no clue how to develop liquidity (or it was a straight-up scam to drain rewards)...
This single data point does not inspire confidence that Steemit knows much more than is already evident.
May be they have smart venture capital partners...
But STEEM is going below 0.001... maybe starting to buy there is not crazy if you want to ride the Larimer train.
Agreed, but I see the level at parity with SBD, like now. We'll see whether the promise to keep the peg to the US$ holds. Larimer is hell bent to keep it there, he said. So now people may exchange their Steem for SBD, as a hedge against the falling price, which would put a lot of pressure on SBD. Then again, if some announcement was made that could make it snap up very nicely. I just bought some.
It would actually be a perfect moment in time for a nice announcement, Friday afternoon, STEEM-SBD at parity.
I see the SBD as entirely undesired in my design. And I've never thought that pegged assets could be stable or even desirable. Who wants the pegged shit, when they can trade the real thing (liquidity, frictional losses, etc).
The entire point is to build the token as a unit-of-account through a widespread unit-of-exchange in a virtual commerce market that other social networks currently can't do. You've got to actually build a content ecosystem that can drive that virtual commerce market. A marketplace (Dan's plan) is nonsense. We don't need another ebay.
What most everyone doesn't understand is that you have to tap something that people really need.