Tennis League All Thread - page 449.

buwaytress

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Quote from: Trofo on April 17, 2021, 03:40:10 PM

Don't know anybody who expected it but I am thinking you did not do yourself any favor with that bet. What were the odds for that market?

In my experience when you have a big favorite as Nadal is on clay, him winning the match 2:0 will still be bad odds, him winning 2:1 would be good odds but that is all because you are playing that opponent will take one set. Now that means you are expecting sort of surprise but if that is a case you have much better bet that his opponent takes at least one set. Odds are usually quite close to that what you played and it is a bet which is much easier to win in the end. At least I am always taking that one or handicap when I am smelling a chance of upset. Never against Nadal on clay though Roll Eyes

But who am I to preach, my super secure games for today was E. Frankfurt x2 and West Ham x2 and we all know how that went.

It was 4.34 for me. 2:0 wasn't even 2/1 boosted, I don't recall odds for Rublev taking a set -- maybe you're right in that case BUT the price boost was for picking a correct score, which is why I went for it =) Silly me!

Keep on preaching, man, I actually silently pay attention to what others do. Especially tennis, since I'm afraid I'm almost completely out of date with current forms.

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Quote from: buwaytress on April 17, 2021, 03:21:16 PM

I f*ked myself up on a big bet too. Picked 2:1 for Nadal, thought the odds were good value, but I did NOT hedge because there was no way for me Nadal would slip up, but oh he did. Didn't see the match either, but lost that third set badly.

Tell me one guy who saw that coming, cause no one I knew did;)

Don't know anybody who expected it but I am thinking you did not do yourself any favor with that bet. What were the odds for that market?

In my experience when you have a big favorite as Nadal is on clay, him winning the match 2:0 will still be bad odds, him winning 2:1 would be good odds but that is all because you are playing that opponent will take one set. Now that means you are expecting sort of surprise but if that is a case you have much better bet that his opponent takes at least one set. Odds are usually quite close to that what you played and it is a bet which is much easier to win in the end. At least I am always taking that one or handicap when I am smelling a chance of upset. Never against Nadal on clay though Roll Eyes

But who am I to preach, my super secure games for today was E. Frankfurt x2 and West Ham x2 and we all know how that went.

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@Trofo @Joca @casper

I f*ked myself up on a big bet too. Picked 2:1 for Nadal, thought the odds were good value, but I did NOT hedge because there was no way for me Nadal would slip up, but oh he did. Didn't see the match either, but lost that third set badly.

Tell me one guy who saw that coming, cause no one I knew did;)

That's my final bet for this tourney. I normally don't talk about it either but yesterday pinched me pretty bad heh heh.

Joca97

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Quote from: Trofo on April 17, 2021, 03:37:07 AM

I am also thinking Rublev will win in Monte Carlo and I will go one step further and say he will win easy. He should destroy Ruud today, H2H is already 4:0 in Rublev favor and I don't see how Ruud can take even set today. I am sure he will find the way though just to screw with my bet Grin

In other semi final Tsitisi should also win quite comfortably against Evens but I am not betting on it. Evans already costed me so much money since I played against him in all matches so far. Staying away from this one.

When i seen how rublev played against nadal he killed him. And i think tstispas dosent have a chance against rublev even tho he smashed Evans today.
But cant wait to see the game tommorow. Also rollan garros is o most here.

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Quote from: Trofo on April 17, 2021, 03:37:07 AM

I am also thinking Rublev will win in Monte Carlo and I will go one step further and say he will win easy. He should destroy Ruud today, H2H is already 4:0 in Rublev favor and I don't see how Ruud can take even set today. I am sure he will find the way though just to screw with my bet Grin

In other semi final Tsitisi should also win quite comfortably against Evens but I am not betting on it. Evans already costed me so much money since I played against him in all matches so far. Staying away from this one.

You didn't have to worry so much, as expected Tsitsipas beat Evans very convincingly, 6-2 6-1 Grin

Evans beat Djokovic and probably made the biggest surprise in tennis in the last few years, but he couldn't do more than that in this tournament.
I think we can expect a very exciting and uncertain match in the final between Rublev and Tsitsipas but I bet on Tsitsipas.

Source: https://www.bbc.com/sport/tennis/56751713

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I am also thinking Rublev will win in Monte Carlo and I will go one step further and say he will win easy. He should destroy Ruud today, H2H is already 4:0 in Rublev favor and I don't see how Ruud can take even set today. I am sure he will find the way though just to screw with my bet Grin

In other semi final Tsitisi should also win quite comfortably against Evens but I am not betting on it. Evans already costed me so much money since I played against him in all matches so far. Staying away from this one.

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Quote from: Strongkored on April 16, 2021, 11:57:35 PM

Quote from: Yaunfitda on April 16, 2021, 09:18:42 PM

Quote from: Strongkored on April 16, 2021, 08:04:46 PM

-snip-

-snip@

What's your prediction in the finals?

Will it be Tsitsipas vs Rublev?

The two names will be the ideal final. If this happens, it will be difficult to predict who will be the winner because their H2H is equal and I guess the odds offered by the bookies will not differ much.
My assessment of Rublev is more consistent in every tournament he has participated.

I also have Rublev to win if the two faces again in the finals.

I'm sure others will disagree with me, but I will say that Tsitsipas is not a clay court specialist, or at least his physical is not fit for clay.

I thought that Nadal though will beat Rublev, unfortunately, I'm wrong, Rublev really play very hard so if he ever wins his SF, most likely he will be the champion.

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Quote from: Yaunfitda on April 16, 2021, 09:18:42 PM

Quote from: Strongkored on April 16, 2021, 08:04:46 PM

-snip-

-snip@

What's your prediction in the finals?

Will it be Tsitsipas vs Rublev?

The two names will be the ideal final. If this happens, it will be difficult to predict who will be the winner because their H2H is equal and I guess the odds offered by the bookies will not differ much.
My assessment of Rublev is more consistent in every tournament he has participated.

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Quote from: Strongkored on April 16, 2021, 08:04:46 PM

I watched the match only until the second set between Rublev vs Nadal, Rublev played really well especially in the first set, but when he lost in the second set I thought he would also lose in the third set because Nadal was able to find his best again, but when see the final score is sure to make the bettors who choose Rublev will be happy because the odds for him when the match is quite high.
Hopefully, someone will be able to do the same thing at the French Open, beating Nadal, isn't it very boring when we see him has to continue to win French Open.

French Open will be different though, perhaps Nadal is just starting to get going and warm up his body. So still a win-win for him even though he lost, he can make some adjustments and going the a tournament wherein he is the king, maybe we will see the best version of Nadal and let this be a motivation again.

What's your prediction in the finals?

Will it be Tsitsipas vs Rublev?

Strongkored

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I watched the match only until the second set between Rublev vs Nadal, Rublev played really well especially in the first set, but when he lost in the second set I thought he would also lose in the third set because Nadal was able to find his best again, but when see the final score is sure to make the bettors who choose Rublev will be happy because the odds for him when the match is quite high.
Hopefully, someone will be able to do the same thing at the French Open, beating Nadal, isn't it very boring when we see him has to continue to win French Open.

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Quote from: Joca97 on April 16, 2021, 04:43:35 PM

Quote from: ene1980 on April 16, 2021, 04:29:12 PM

Quote from: Jating on April 16, 2021, 04:58:02 AM

Ok, so it will be Rublev vs Nadal QF. I think Nadal being the king of clay is unstoppable in this tournament. And the last person to beat him in clay is Diego Schwartzman who exited in this tournament very early if I'm not mistaken.

Djokovic lost is a big shocker, Tsitsipas vs Fokina on-going, Fokina leading the first set 4-3 but Tsitsipas serving to tie the score. ML for Tsitsipas is not that attractive just @1.14.

The Novak Djokovic loss was a shocker but the most shocking was the Rafael Nadal loss as i did not expect that to happen and glad that i did not place a bet in the entire match and i have seen many making huge bets on the second set for Andrey Rublev to win but Rafael Nadal was able to come back and win and i thought he could win the third as well but today was not his day.

Well Novak Djokovic himself said he had a really bad day and wasnt feeling so good.Evans just returned the ball while Novak just missed and missed and missed.But on the other hand Nadal got schooled today by Rublev.

Ah the beauty of another upset, now Nadal falls to Rublev, another unexpected turn of events.

So my boy Stepanos has won and set up a tough semis with Djokovic conqueror. Huge underdog as I checked the money line today, @5.x. While Stepanos is @1.14 favorite. I might do some live betting, see first what Stepanos looks in the first set.

Rublev is obviously the favorite on the other bracket, currently @1.30, against @3.45 for Casper Ruud.

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Quote from: Joca97 on April 16, 2021, 04:11:06 PM

Quote from: casperBGD on April 16, 2021, 01:58:03 PM

Quote from: Trofo on April 16, 2021, 10:17:15 AM

~snip

Only problem - Fognini will probably lose today

you had right on this one, and when saw that, Nadal obviously did not want to pass either, so he lost on Rublev
it is a shock, maybe even more than Djokovic to see Nadal out, and it would be interesting to see who will take the crown now, Rublev is probably on fire after this (did not saw the match), but Tsitsipas seems as better pick in the end

Rublev was on another level hitting all sorts of corners in this match and was better against nadal.
If rublev continues to play like this he will be a really big player one day

Oh yes Rublev has a very bright future. The thing is he isnt afraid to play anybody
especially Nadal. He isnt phased by having to play him whereas others would
certainly have a degree of doubt about playing Nadal on clay.

Rublev is a power player who can make an opponent work hard and run a lot.

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Quote from: ene1980 on April 16, 2021, 04:29:12 PM

Quote from: Jating on April 16, 2021, 04:58:02 AM

Ok, so it will be Rublev vs Nadal QF. I think Nadal being the king of clay is unstoppable in this tournament. And the last person to beat him in clay is Diego Schwartzman who exited in this tournament very early if I'm not mistaken.

Djokovic lost is a big shocker, Tsitsipas vs Fokina on-going, Fokina leading the first set 4-3 but Tsitsipas serving to tie the score. ML for Tsitsipas is not that attractive just @1.14.

The Novak Djokovic loss was a shocker but the most shocking was the Rafael Nadal loss as i did not expect that to happen and glad that i did not place a bet in the entire match and i have seen many making huge bets on the second set for Andrey Rublev to win but Rafael Nadal was able to come back and win and i thought he could win the third as well but today was not his day.

Well Novak Djokovic himself said he had a really bad day and wasnt feeling so good.Evans just returned the ball while Novak just missed and missed and missed.But on the other hand Nadal got schooled today by Rublev.

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Quote from: Jating on April 16, 2021, 04:58:02 AM

Ok, so it will be Rublev vs Nadal QF. I think Nadal being the king of clay is unstoppable in this tournament. And the last person to beat him in clay is Diego Schwartzman who exited in this tournament very early if I'm not mistaken.

Djokovic lost is a big shocker, Tsitsipas vs Fokina on-going, Fokina leading the first set 4-3 but Tsitsipas serving to tie the score. ML for Tsitsipas is not that attractive just @1.14.

The Novak Djokovic loss was a shocker but the most shocking was the Rafael Nadal loss as i did not expect that to happen and glad that i did not place a bet in the entire match and i have seen many making huge bets on the second set for Andrey Rublev to win but Rafael Nadal was able to come back and win and i thought he could win the third as well but today was not his day.

Joca97

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Quote from: casperBGD on April 16, 2021, 01:58:03 PM

Quote from: Trofo on April 16, 2021, 10:17:15 AM

~snip

Only problem - Fognini will probably lose today

you had right on this one, and when saw that, Nadal obviously did not want to pass either, so he lost on Rublev
it is a shock, maybe even more than Djokovic to see Nadal out, and it would be interesting to see who will take the crown now, Rublev is probably on fire after this (did not saw the match), but Tsitsipas seems as better pick in the end

Rublev was on another level hitting all sorts of corners in this match and was better against nadal.
If rublev continues to play like this he will be a really big player one day

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Quote from: casperBGD on April 16, 2021, 01:58:03 PM

Quote from: Trofo on April 16, 2021, 10:17:15 AM

~snip

Only problem - Fognini will probably lose today

you had right on this one, and when saw that, Nadal obviously did not want to pass either, so he lost on Rublev
it is a shock, maybe even more than Djokovic to see Nadal out, and it would be interesting to see who will take the crown now, Rublev is probably on fire after this (did not saw the match), but Tsitsipas seems as better pick in the end

To be fair I wrote that post when Fognini was 1 set down and just managed to make mini comeback in the second set, from 0:3 to 3:3. I even got some money on Rublev today, I did not back ML win but I had +5.5 handicap on him. Good enough.

I never bet against players like Rublev, he takes the ball so early and if he has his day and hits those timings he can win against absolutely anybody. Did not watch him today but he must have been on fire to leave Nadal on 2 games in first and third set.

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Quote from: cryptofrka on April 15, 2021, 12:39:01 PM

A weird loss for Đoković today, I did not expect such a bad performance from him. He said afterwards that this was one of the worst matches he played in the last few years.

Fun fact - this was their first h2h match and Đoković is 33 and Evans 30 years old. Not something you see very often and Evans has a rare opportunity to finish his career with a positive score against a player who beat all the records Grin

Evans is probably the only player with a perfect track record against Djokovic lol Grin

.
Djokovic didn't play good but Evans seem to be in fine form, he also won (in 3 sets) against Goffin and is now for the first time in his career in the semi final of an ATP Masters 1000 tournament.

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Quote from: Trofo on April 16, 2021, 10:17:15 AM

~snip

Only problem - Fognini will probably lose today

you had right on this one, and when saw that, Nadal obviously did not want to pass either, so he lost on Rublev
it is a shock, maybe even more than Djokovic to see Nadal out, and it would be interesting to see who will take the crown now, Rublev is probably on fire after this (did not saw the match), but Tsitsipas seems as better pick in the end

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Quote from: Jackl87 on April 16, 2021, 05:46:16 AM

Quote from: Jating on April 16, 2021, 04:58:02 AM

Djokovic lost is a big shocker, Tsitsipas vs Fokina on-going, Fokina leading the first set 4-3 but Tsitsipas serving to tie the score. ML for Tsitsipas is not that attractive just @1.14.

Fokina had to give up after the first set. It's a shame that we could not see a full game between those two because it was pretty tight. On the other hand it is very good for tsisipas as he can save a lot of energy which can make the difference in the next match. Rafael nadal is of course the big favorite for this tournament, now that djokovic is out even more. Maybe tsitsipas has a chance to beat nadal if he has a perfect and fognini is also good on clay but Nadal is just the greatest on that surface.

Fognini actually knows how to play against Nadal on clay and I would love to see their match once again. He managed to beat Nadal on clay 3 times, somehow I don't think many players can say that. Last time, a couple of years ago here in Monte Carlo.

Only problem - Fognini will probably lose today

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Quote from: Jating on April 16, 2021, 04:58:02 AM

Djokovic lost is a big shocker, Tsitsipas vs Fokina on-going, Fokina leading the first set 4-3 but Tsitsipas serving to tie the score. ML for Tsitsipas is not that attractive just @1.14.

Fokina had to give up after the first set. It's a shame that we could not see a full game between those two because it was pretty tight. On the other hand it is very good for tsisipas as he can save a lot of energy which can make the difference in the next match. Rafael nadal is of course the big favorite for this tournament, now that djokovic is out even more. Maybe tsitsipas has a chance to beat nadal if he has a perfect and fognini is also good on clay but Nadal is just the greatest on that surface.

Topic: Tennis League All Thread - page 449. (Read 203623 times)