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Topic: The difficulty HAS BEEN REDUCED!!!! - page 11. (Read 25876 times)

legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 1001
December 25, 2014, 11:33:18 AM
#84
Always been that way run faster or go home. So long as equipment is cheap enough and powerful enough then ud be in with a chance like when Avalon first come out they where kick ass and making a tun of coins then when more come out and batchs 2 3 and so on then more equipment come out making them worthless. Same for antminers worthless unless you got free energy now and even the s5 new ones are looking very tempting but doubtful to brake even on them
Yup, a perfect marketplace. Irrational one as well, people are going to buy even the S5's and mine at a loss :-)

Just depends on what you mine when I got my S1s I didnt mine BTC took them to alt coins and if I decide on buying any the s5 I might consider but import tax gonna kill me for 1 and be totally out of pocket then and 2 its a tough world in crypto to mine at profit right now unless free energy or cheap and BTC mining is worthless unless you can get everything cheap. I know if I go to turning my miners on I will only do on newer alt coins for a few days grab some of them and then wait it out.
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
December 25, 2014, 11:27:24 AM
#83
Always been that way run faster or go home. So long as equipment is cheap enough and powerful enough then ud be in with a chance like when Avalon first come out they where kick ass and making a tun of coins then when more come out and batchs 2 3 and so on then more equipment come out making them worthless. Same for antminers worthless unless you got free energy now and even the s5 new ones are looking very tempting but doubtful to brake even on them
Yup, a perfect marketplace. Irrational one as well, people are going to buy even the S5's and mine at a loss :-)
legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 1001
December 25, 2014, 11:17:20 AM
#82
Ok, we're back in the queen's race. Where everyone has to run and run faster to stay in place.

Always been that way run faster or go home. So long as equipment is cheap enough and powerful enough then ud be in with a chance like when Avalon first come out they where kick ass and making a tun of coins then when more come out and batchs 2 3 and so on then more equipment come out making them worthless. Same for antminers worthless unless you got free energy now and even the s5 new ones are looking very tempting but doubtful to brake even on them
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
December 25, 2014, 11:05:32 AM
#81
Ok, we're back in the queen's race. Where everyone has to run and run faster to stay in place.
legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 1001
December 25, 2014, 09:57:02 AM
#80
What just happened? https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty, network hashrate suddenly shot to the roof and the prediction has change from negative to positive.

Is it due to S5?

More than likely due to them coming online and other equipment going on to it too as not just s5 come out but other machines that ahve made around 2, 5, and 10TH mining rigs and dont forget with the antminers that have a massive army under testing but many know they will mine with our equipment before sending and claim its a burn in test when their actually switching so many on and off and testing and making a bucket load of bitcoin. And to also add to it their new online mining contracts too that their selling as well so no doubt it will increase eand cause a + sign if it takes less time then + diff if longer time then - figures but I doubt it will continue to go down maybe a few times but mainly on the up trend unless everyone was to stop mining.
sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 250
December 25, 2014, 09:44:05 AM
#79
What just happened? https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty, network hashrate suddenly shot to the roof and the prediction has change from negative to positive.

Is it due to S5?
legendary
Activity: 1820
Merit: 1001
December 25, 2014, 09:05:18 AM
#78
Will be good to see continued diff de crease but to be honest I doubt it will come to a point where it will be worth mining as right now prices worthless diff too high unless you got like 1PH of mining equipment and free energy to mine with or very cheap energy to make it worth while. Ascis killed sha coins too fast and bigger units coming out I dont see it profitable unless theirs some massive price increases in BTC to sustain it.
full member
Activity: 249
Merit: 111
DAO enthusiast
December 25, 2014, 04:21:13 AM
#77
Its just gawminers, calm everyone
cool!
sr. member
Activity: 481
Merit: 250
December 23, 2014, 10:28:53 PM
#76
I believe this hash rate reduce is just temporary, look at S5. Batch 1 just come out for sale and its sold out in a day. Still a lot of miners buying hardware...
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
December 23, 2014, 09:08:15 PM
#75
What is all this bullshit? Were talking if mining is profitable right? Well im telling you it is, and this is about finance AND economics. The best wealth managers in the world yield about 6-7% a year, and thats the best investment you can find anywhere, that is not a ponzi scheme of course.

So check some prices, choose a place in the world with cheap electricity, make a bulk buy and setup a farm! And enjoy the returns from your fiat thanks to price going up compensating any possible loss due to diff!

Theres no business in the world like mining, dont be a fool  Wink
That "bullshit" is basic economic facts. It's ok, this is good to know and adds to my understanding of "why things are". I mean you realize that if you think the price of bitcoin is going up it's easier to just buy the stuff than mine...

Me, I mine because I am too god-damn lazy to figure out how to buy it. Such is life. :-)



You either produce the gold or buy the gold that is been produced

Make things simple and have a macroeconomic perspective and youll be right!

I personally prefer to produce  Wink
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
December 23, 2014, 08:46:29 PM
#74
What is all this bullshit? Were talking if mining is profitable right? Well im telling you it is, and this is about finance AND economics. The best wealth managers in the world yield about 6-7% a year, and thats the best investment you can find anywhere, that is not a ponzi scheme of course.

So check some prices, choose a place in the world with cheap electricity, make a bulk buy and setup a farm! And enjoy the returns from your fiat thanks to price going up compensating any possible loss due to diff!

Theres no business in the world like mining, dont be a fool  Wink
That "bullshit" is basic economic facts. It's ok, this is good to know and adds to my understanding of "why things are". I mean you realize that if you think the price of bitcoin is going up it's easier to just buy the stuff than mine...

Me, I mine because I am too god-damn lazy to figure out how to buy it. Such is life. :-)

hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
December 23, 2014, 08:22:16 PM
#73
Well im sorry mate but youre not really on the numbers if youre saying that lol

Mining is not profitable dice VAYA PAVO  Grin
It's an economics thing: Bitcoin mining is what we would call a "perfect marketplace" with what is pretty close to perfect competition. According to Wikipedia this is:

    Perfect market information (Yep, Bitcoin is that)
    No participant with market power to set prices (Correct, it's a pure commodity)
    Non intervention by governments (They can try :-)
    No barriers to entry or exit (With mining "contracts" and cheap hardware this is so)
    Equal access to factors of production (We all have power and math)
    Profit maximization (Everyone is going for max profit)
    No Externalities

The best you can hope for is "normal profits" which is just enough to keep people in the business. Once again WP has it right:

This attribute of perfect markets has profound political and economic implications, as many participants assume or are taught that the purpose of the market is to enable participants to maximize profits. It is not. The purpose of the market is to efficiently allocate resources and to maximize the welfare of consumers and producers alike. The market therefore regards excess profits, or economic rents, as a signal of inefficiency, that is of market failure, which is to say, not achieving a Pareto optimum.

That is *exactly* what mining is doing. Any excess in short term profits will be met by more people entering to hash. So if you go in thinking you will make a "lot of money", it's probably not going to happen :-)

The best that happens is you make opportunity profit, which is just enough to stick around instead of saying "fuck it" and doing something else. However that's in an irrational market. Think about how many people go on about "martingale" betting "systems" and you will realize that the market is not rational.

It's still fun to do. What is concerning me though is that if mining power is concentrated in a few locations, govts can start to apply pressure on those locations and knock bitcoin out of whack. From a govt point of view, the fewer miners, the fewer (but larger) farms the better. This happened with ISP's (so much easier for the NSA to put a tap in a big ISP pipe than a lot of little ones).

I worry it will happen to Bitcoin. I really do.



What is all this bullshit? Were talking if mining is profitable right? Well im telling you it is, and this is about finance AND economics. The best wealth managers in the world yield about 6-7% a year, and thats the best investment you can find anywhere, that is not a ponzi scheme of course.

So check some prices, choose a place in the world with cheap electricity, make a bulk buy and setup a farm! And enjoy the returns from your fiat thanks to price going up compensating any possible loss due to diff!

Theres no business in the world like mining, dont be a fool  Wink
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
December 23, 2014, 04:47:44 PM
#72
Well im sorry mate but youre not really on the numbers if youre saying that lol

Mining is not profitable dice VAYA PAVO  Grin
It's an economics thing: Bitcoin mining is what we would call a "perfect marketplace" with what is pretty close to perfect competition. According to Wikipedia this is:

    Perfect market information (Yep, Bitcoin is that)
    No participant with market power to set prices (Correct, it's a pure commodity)
    Non intervention by governments (They can try :-)
    No barriers to entry or exit (With mining "contracts" and cheap hardware this is so)
    Equal access to factors of production (We all have power and math)
    Profit maximization (Everyone is going for max profit)
    No Externalities

The best you can hope for is "normal profits" which is just enough to keep people in the business. Once again WP has it right:

This attribute of perfect markets has profound political and economic implications, as many participants assume or are taught that the purpose of the market is to enable participants to maximize profits. It is not. The purpose of the market is to efficiently allocate resources and to maximize the welfare of consumers and producers alike. The market therefore regards excess profits, or economic rents, as a signal of inefficiency, that is of market failure, which is to say, not achieving a Pareto optimum.

That is *exactly* what mining is doing. Any excess in short term profits will be met by more people entering to hash. So if you go in thinking you will make a "lot of money", it's probably not going to happen :-)

The best that happens is you make opportunity profit, which is just enough to stick around instead of saying "fuck it" and doing something else. However that's in an irrational market. Think about how many people go on about "martingale" betting "systems" and you will realize that the market is not rational.

It's still fun to do. What is concerning me though is that if mining power is concentrated in a few locations, govts can start to apply pressure on those locations and knock bitcoin out of whack. From a govt point of view, the fewer miners, the fewer (but larger) farms the better. This happened with ISP's (so much easier for the NSA to put a tap in a big ISP pipe than a lot of little ones).

I worry it will happen to Bitcoin. I really do.

sr. member
Activity: 254
Merit: 1258
December 23, 2014, 11:09:43 AM
#71
Difficulty will definitely rise again since all the SHA hash power is back at BTC now and not split between BTC and XPY.
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
December 23, 2014, 03:56:39 PM
#71
True true, and due to the magic of arbitage it is simply impossible to make profits mining. I keep telling people that and they just don't seem to get it. You may have a short term advantage for a bit as you roll out a new technology but because the cost of entry is low someone else will build the same thing and profits will go back to zero. It is a pure and simple zero sum game(*).

It's weird. Right now I'm guessing people overshot and are now taking losses. You can mine at a loss for a bit, but since power costs are real you eventually either have to pay for it or come up with a ponzi scheme. Most people will drop out, the schemers will keep difficulty artifically high till it collapses and things drop.

That might be what's happening here. Time will tell....

(*) There might be a way out with transaction fees, I'm not sure because as the fees go up more people mine and you're back to a zero-sum problem. Hm.

Well im sorry mate but youre not really on the numbers if youre saying that lol

Mining is not profitable dice VAYA PAVO  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
December 23, 2014, 10:44:03 AM
#70
True true, and due to the magic of arbitage it is simply impossible to make profits mining. I keep telling people that and they just don't seem to get it. You may have a short term advantage for a bit as you roll out a new technology but because the cost of entry is low someone else will build the same thing and profits will go back to zero. It is a pure and simple zero sum game(*).

It's weird. Right now I'm guessing people overshot and are now taking losses. You can mine at a loss for a bit, but since power costs are real you eventually either have to pay for it or come up with a ponzi scheme. Most people will drop out, the schemers will keep difficulty artifically high till it collapses and things drop.

That might be what's happening here. Time will tell....

(*) There might be a way out with transaction fees, I'm not sure because as the fees go up more people mine and you're back to a zero-sum problem. Hm.
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
December 23, 2014, 09:48:02 AM
#69
In the absence of a major disruption it tends to be pretty accurate. Still, a 5% drop is not going to erase the 10-20% runups we kept having every 2 weeks. That was beyond crazy.

Will be interesting to see what happens. Aside from all the ponzi scheme "cloud mining" things imploding, has there been any news about major mining farms going away/under/whatever?


Dont be confused theres new farms everyday, and new businesses built around mining, it just goes fast and sometimes a relatively big hasher goes obsolete or runs onto problems and they have to stop, but its just a momentum thing, its going to keep going up im afraid  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3164
Merit: 2258
I fix broken miners. And make holes in teeth :-)
December 22, 2014, 01:55:33 PM
#68
In the absence of a major disruption it tends to be pretty accurate. Still, a 5% drop is not going to erase the 10-20% runups we kept having every 2 weeks. That was beyond crazy.

Will be interesting to see what happens. Aside from all the ponzi scheme "cloud mining" things imploding, has there been any news about major mining farms going away/under/whatever?
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
December 22, 2014, 01:10:08 PM
#67
Bitcoin Difficulty:   39,457,671,307
Estimated Next Difficulty:   37,161,354,884 (-5.82%)
Adjust time:   After 1287 Blocks, About 9.6 days
Hashrate(?):   262,677,817 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 32.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   11:5 (5.7 minutes ago)

Shakes magic 8 ball - all signs point to yes.

You know thats always an estimate right?
hero member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 513
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
December 22, 2014, 12:12:38 PM
#66
Bitcoin Difficulty:   39,457,671,307
Estimated Next Difficulty:   37,161,354,884 (-5.82%)
Adjust time:   After 1287 Blocks, About 9.6 days
Hashrate(?):   262,677,817 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 10.7 minutes
3 blocks: 32.1 minutes
6 blocks: 1.1 hours
Updated:   11:5 (5.7 minutes ago)

Shakes magic 8 ball - all signs point to yes.
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