Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 209. (Read 97155 times)

Pretty much 2 of my picks have won, and I thought that I could get all correctly but it is still OK,

Derrick Lewis (+195)
Serghei Spivac (-235) - WIN

It seems I am correct with this decision and surely Serghei Spivac has gone with the wrestling and takedowns that Derrick Lewis pretty much has his weakness, and Lewis camps didn't care about checking on Spivac, they might be underestimating him that much for Lewis to make preparation because I haven't seen any preparation at all,

Da Un Jung (-235) - LOST
Devin Clark (+195)

Devin Clark has the majority of rounds for him, and he really dominated Da Un Jung getting into the fastest pace on matches he surely obliterated him with fast punches and kicks and also dive in with those takedowns but surely Da Un Jung has a tough chin to bash that is why it ended in a decision win, 

Marcin Tybura (-140) - WIN
Blagoy Ivanov (+120)

Marcin Tybura doesn't get a knockout win but the majority of the score goes to him for those many strikes he made, against Blagoy Ivanov and because Blagoy Ivanov got a granite chin it ended with a decision win,

This is one of UFC's biggest match where top 1 P4P will fight with top 2 P4P rank.

Checking the odds on the bookies, it's not worth to bet Makhachev in moneyline because the odds is only @1.25. Winning method odds is attractive, if you want to bet Makhachev, bet him win via submission the odds is @2.29. If you want to bet Volkanovski, I think better go with win via decision, the odds is high for @8.20.

The other main cards aren't interesting, I will only watch Makhachev vs Volkanovski in this event.

UFC 284



Date: February 12, 2023
Main Card: SUN, FEB 12 / 5:00 AM EET
Prelims: SUN, FEB 12 / 3:00 AM EET
Early prelims: SUN, FEB 12 / 1:00 AM EET

Venue: RAC Arena

Main card (ESPN+)
Lightweight: Islam Makhachev vs. Alexander Volkanovski
Featherweight: Yair Rodríguez vs. Josh Emmett
Welterweight: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Randy Brown            
Heavyweight: Justin Tafa vs. Parker Porter            
Light Heavyweight: Jimmy Crute vs. Alonzo Menifield

Preliminary card (ESPN / ESPN+)
Light Heavyweight: Tyson Pedro vs. Modestas Bukauskas            
Featherweight: Joshua Culibao vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan            
Flyweight: Shannon Ross vs. Kleydson Rodrigues            
Lightweight: Jamie Mullarkey vs. Francisco Prado   

Early prelims (ESPN+ / UFC Fight Pass)
Featherweight: Jack Jenkins vs. Don Shainis            
Women's Strawweight: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Elise Reed            
Featherweight: Shane Young vs. Blake Bilder            
Lightweight: Zubaira Tukhugov vs. Elves Brenner

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_284

Yup! I lost a bet aswell this is why I am not often making Parley's because 1 bet lost will surely blow that parley away, and yeah Devin Clark is faster than the Korean guy, Da Un Jung, Man I really thought the Korean guy was slick but Devin Clark is slicker he even got the majority of judges with the score cards,

While Derrick Lewis I really don't know what will await him and I really think that losing weight that we saw him exercising has surely backfired on him because Serghei Spivac have rog dolled him like he doesn't have any weight at all, Serghei Spivac is really fighting technically but Derrick Lewis also lost to Tai Tuivasa that also isn't that technical but a brawler, and he lost it big time, for me another lost for Lewis and I think he needs to call it over,


A brawler like Lewis doesn't really stand a chance against wresting moves of Serghei Spivac have gas out Lewis, and it is really enough to make him grasp for air because Serghei Spivac know the weakness of strikers and surely enough he continues doing this he can even take on the championship aswell, but for Lewis sad to say but maybe this is the end of his career, he surely never change he thinks that brawling and strength was the answer in winning every fight but that is not the answer anymore, or it is not enough,

Using the Spivac Judo throw technique. He didn't really lift it off the ground. He took down 5 times. Then he gave up with a very comfortable head-arm lock. Trying to stand up, derrick lewis was stunned when he was knocked down five times. When he put the lock on, Lewis didn't even try to resist as all his energy went into the takedowns. Spivac proved robust. Derick lewis showed very easily, he was already in decline, he had 5 defeats or something.

Spivac has great skill as he didn't let his opponent get up and there were chances to counter attack, he took every opportunity when his opponent was knocked to the ground and finally he managed to get a neck lock to end the fight, Spivac did it perfectly and deserved the win.

It's very exhausting for Derrick, he is put to the ground many times right after getting up. Spivac can go do it over and over til the round ends and Derrick will still not recover in the 2nd round. Spivac deliberately allows him to get up and then pins him again.

I also thought Derrick can do it this time but reducing his weight is not enough. He lacks the skills to defend himself on the ground, not utilizing his legs.

^^ Devin Clark surprised me with his offence and takedowns and that kind of fighting style had an impact on Da Un Jung to open up and land his patented elbows, it was a great fight plan by Devin Clark and i lost one parlay because of that  .

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Was expecting Derrick Lewis to bounce back and win but another wrestling masterclass from Serghei Spivac who ragdolled Derrick Lewis as if he was some lower weight division fighter  .  

WOW! I think I am not really lucky with my bet now 1st 2 out of 2 on the NBA, then zero wins in the Bundesliga, and now a 1 win here in the UFC,

Derrick Lewis VS Serghei Spivac ROUND 1 SUBMISSION - LOST

I am really doubting Derrick Lewis but why did I still but why did I pick him to win, I guess because of his new Physique he might give us a new Derrick Lewis but it seems that he is still relying on his power, which is not very effective even the heavyweight division most fighters here are now evolving and has some technicality in them that strength can not win alone, and I don't know if Derrick Lewis has learned that, which is I am doubting now and he wants to even set down the division which is many guys there that are very technical he will be very much pulverized in there,

Da Un Jung VS Devin Clark ROUND 3 DECISION - LOST

Pretty much it was a majority win for Devin Clark, and I thought that Da Un Jung can win this he is just too slow for Clark, Pretty much the majority of the judges scored for Devin Clark all judge 30 for Devin Clark and 27 for Da Un Jung it was total domination for Devin Clark, and he can surely probably do it even better and pretty much has a ceiling to fill along the top ranks,

Marcin Tybura VS Blagoy Ivanov ROUND 3 DECISION - WIN

Well pretty Marcin Tybura just still got it inside of him and even though Blagoy Ivanov has a granite chin, the speed, and technicality in Tybura because he knows that Ivanov can surely knock down someone if he was given a chance, and pretty much it was no doubt a majority of the scores goes to Marcin Tybura Ben Cartlidge scored the fight 29 - 28 for Tybura, Junichiro Kamijo scored the fight 30 - 27 for Tybura and David Lethaby with 29 - 28 for Tybura having a unanimous decision win for Marcin Tybura,

Yi Zha - Lee Jung-Young

Lee Jeong Yeong, also known as “The Korean Tiger” had only 10 fights and he lost in only one fight, and in the 9 fights he won he had 4 wins by knockout, while his opponent Yi Zha who despite that there isn't a big difference in age, he already had 24 fights, losing 3 fights and winning 21 fights. in my opinion Yi Zha will win this fight, he has more experience

Jeka Saragih x Anshul Jubli

Jeka Saragih comes to this fight with a history of 15 fights, he won 13 fights and lost only 2 fights, he had 8 wins by knockout, wow that is something pretty incredible, meanwhile his opponent Anshul Jubli comes to this fight with a history of six fights in which he had 4 wins by decision of the judges, in my opinion I think Jeka Saragih will win this fight



for some strange reason i feel like i bought a lottery ticket

There is no Media coverage for now and I really don't know why but that is obviously weird, for me I think Khamzat Chimaev has already realise that the UFC will eventually give the fight to Israel Adesanya again, and maybe we will now focus 1st on his division than moving up a division after all 2 belts are better looking than just one,


It was very positive alright but how I wish there will be an exhibition match for the UFC, YouTuber's right but yeah Logan Paul will not take the risk in dealing with that kind of issue and he has a multi-million deal with the UFC so for him and KSI ti pursue a professional field in combat sports is not really needed anymore,

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Now here are my picks for UFC Fight Night Lewis vs. Spivac

Derrick Lewis VS Serghei Spivac

The stake odds for this fight are 2.85 for Lewis and 1.43 for Spivac, for this fight Derrick Lewis surely has slimmed down but still, his weight hasn't changed and because of that I think that there is an inch that the full power he will gain it, for Spivac, I think he has wrestling but for Derrick Lewis new look I really think that he has new kind of technique, and because of that his speed also already grow, for me, I will go with the underdog Derrick Lewis, the Black Beast,

Da Un Jung VS Devin Clark

The stake odds for this fight are  2.95 for Clark and 1.41 for Un Jung, Devin Clark will have a hard time with Un Jung, but still, Da Un Jung has a great in keeping and checking the distance for a better strike, because when he is used to his opponents distance his devastating strikes can sure make a punch just like what he did to Kennedy Nzechukwu it was a penetrating Elbow, it was nerve racking to see it while Kennedy Nzechukwu was shaken he continue the barrage of elbow while Nzechukwu is guarding high, so my pick is Da Un Jung,

Marcin Tybura VS Blagoy Ivanov

The stake odds for this fight are 1.69 for Tybura and 2.17 for Ivanov, For this fight Blagoy Ivanov got a chin of Granite for Marcin Tybura to penetrate, he surely got a solid chin but for me it is not forever solid for Marcin Tybura to not penetrate when he takedown Ivanov, and pulverize him with a ground and pound so my take is I will go with Marcin Tybura if he can not win via Knock out I think he can win via decision,

People are not so much interested in Israel Adesanya because they know that he has already lost three times to Alex Pereira. So, people already know that even if Israel does win this fight, it will be just a redemption shot for him. But I am still quite amazed that the UFC is not promoting the fight as much as they should be. Because if the UFC actually did promote this fight as they should have, I think this fight could have drawn a lot more attention.


Well, I had my doubts from the start. Logan Paul isn't so stupid that he would get himself into MMA. Because he knows very well that he might have fought a few exhibition boxing matches. In contrast, stepping into an MMA match is going to be a very different experience. And I think he looks very happy because he knows that getting a deal done with the UFC is going to be very positive for his business.

Super busy this past holiday but coming back to make my bet for the UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

Derrick Lewis (+195)
Serghei Spivac (-235)

Spivac will surely be the favorite here this is the Heavyweight division and seeing how Derrick Lewis slims down could be a bad sign for him for me this is the Heavyweight and he is super thin now so I am doubting if he got the power to give to Spivac, and because he is readying to switch division for the Light Heavyweight, I really don't know if this is a great idea for him right now but for me, I will bet for the favorite Spivac,

Da Un Jung (-235)
Devin Clark (+195)

For this match, Devin Clark had a brutal fight with Ion Cutelaba and he surely has a decent chin and can recover from any damage, but Da Un Jung has real mad striking when he sees an opportunity he would likely take it, and that Elbow to Kennedy Nzechukwu was he nasty one Kennedy Nzechukwu was on high guard but his elbow is just penetrating from that tight guard it was really epic, so I am going with Da Un Jung,

Marcin Tybura (-140)
Blagoy Ivanov (+120)

For me because Marcin Tybura has gone toe to toe with the Black Beast I think I will go with Marcin Tybura, that was one hard fight for Derrick Lewis and I think Marcin Tybura has given his all to The Black Beast Derrick Lewis, I could say Tybura could surely last for this fight against Blagoy Ivanov, so my choice is Marcin Tybura,

Favorites that I really like for Bellator?  Gracie and Eblen.  As for the UFC, they're mostly sketchy but I'd still go for Jung for the lack of a better choice and Taira.  I got both at the top of my lottery ticket and another guy. 

Another underdog who could win is Yi Zha as he as the experience edge. 

Here are the weigh in and the face off vids.

UFC Vegas 68:  Weigh In
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IYn8sq_fSPc

UFC Vegas 68:  Face Off
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PQ4ORBFkuk4

Weigh in results.  Everybody made weight.

Derrick Lewis (265) vs Serghei Spivac (255.5)
Devin Clark (204.5) vs Da-un Jung (205)
Blagoy Ivanov (256.5) vs Marcin Tybura (253.5)
Dooho Choi (145.5) vs Kyle Nelson (145.5)
Adam Fugitt (170.5) vs Yusaku Kinoshita (170.5)
Anshul Jubli (155.5) vs Jeka Saragih (155)
Jeong Yeong Lee (145) vs Yi Zha (145.5)
Toshiomi Kazama (136) vs Rinya Nakamura (135)
Seung Guk Choi (125.5) vs Sung Hyun Park (124.5)
Mandy Bohm (125.5) vs Ji Yeon Kim (125.5)
Junyong Park (185.5) vs Denis Tiuliulin (186)
Jesus Aguilar (125) vs Tatsuro Taira (125.5)

Looks like Lewis' diet didn't work.    He's still 265 lbs.

Why Izzy even got that rematch so quick? Because he was a champ for years, looked good during their MMA fight (he looked good, really, he might even won that fight by points imho) ? What about Chimaev, that challenged Pereira?

Dont you guys amazed how NOT promoted UFC 284 is ? Why media is rather silent about it? Why there are no conflicts? It is only 1 week before the main fight. This is the first time in UFC history when top1 pound for pound meets top 2 pound for pound. Fighter with 22 (12 if we count UFC only) win streak against 11 streak. Such fights never been before.

Yup! another psychological matter for Israel Adesanya that he needs to conquer, while this will be the 4th time that they will fight this is the 2nd time for the UFC, and if Alex Pereira wins this again there is no doubt there will be no more rematch that may happen but if Israel Adesanya could win this back then a rematch is appropriate for Pereira, like the Brandon Moreno and Deiveson Figueiredo like their rematch for the 4th time they have fight this is really a rivalry that must see because I think this two will surely do their all,


I feel like his confidence and his ego have risen to a level he never realized to make a break in whatever negative things he might say as a champion, surely because he is now the champion all eyes will be glued towards him for sure, and every word that comes out on him many will be very attentive in listening but this could also be a misunderstanding because Leon Edwards is not really fluent in speaking English and he surely got little ways on making his words, but whatever that is Edwards surely need an explanation on what he has surely said,


I would love him if he fully knew Dagestan wrestling that will be an awesome addition to his arsenal, the domination on Khabib Nurmagomedov was incredible and if Alex Pereira would gain even a slight knowledge when it comes to wrestling then I think this is game over for Israel Adesanya, and yes this will be laughable if it ends with Alex Pereira wins again, and this means there is no need for a rematched but is Israel Adesanya win this time then an immediate rematch is likely needed,

For Israel, I think he will have to be very careful. Because he has already failed this task quite a lot of times. So the psychological fact is going to be there. I do not think that there is actually too much of a difference between them about who has the better skill and who is better. I think in the end it is going to come down to the fact that Israel has not been able to win even once against this opponent. But on the other hand, this thought can also drive Israel to perform better. Probably he will go into this fight very determined and in a state of mind to take revenge for all the previous fights that he lost.

I just had to take a bet on Fedor to win by KO or submission, with amazing boosted odds on Sportsbet.
It's a risky gamble but I could get 4 time return of my money, and I would love to see Fedor ending his carrier as heavyweight champion.
My main bet in UFC is Marcin Tybura to win against Blagoy Ivanov in heavyweight category, he has big reach advantage and odds are good on him.

Israel Adesanya will have to play his boring style of fight. Because whenever he is getting a little stylish and unorthodox in his fights right now, he is facing problems. And I do not think that Israel Adesanya is going to take that chance. Other than that, I think this is actually a very good rematch. Israel Adesanya should be able to beat Alex Pereira. But it is going to be an even match again in my opinion.



Leon Edwards is just saying that because he wants to bring as much pay per view as he can. Because that is obviously going to be helpful for both him and the UFC. Other than that, I think this is actually a very good match-up between these two as well.

I'm probably going to put a small amount on a bet, but it'll be different to the actual predictions I put. Here's what I'm thinking:

Derrick Lewis by TKO/KO
Mandy Bohm by decision
Denis Tiuliulin
Tatsuro Taira

Now, that isn't the best odds, but I think those are the only one's that offer value, and at the same time don't worry me massively. As you can see, I've actually gone against some of my predictions, and gone for the massive underdog in Mandy Bohm. I wouldn't follow this bet, as it's definitely on the risky side, but that's what I'm going to put a small amount on. I haven't seen the weigh ins yet either.

What would your favourites be? I might incorporate a rather long accumulator with the Bellator guys on tonight.