Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 267. (Read 100412 times)

Just finished watching this amazing UFC event, aaaand we have new lightweight champion in the world Islam Makhachev, exactly like I expected.
Makhachev was training all his life with Khabib and he was favorite student of Khabib's father, so there was no doubt in my mind he would win tonight.
Oliveira proved to be good fighter but I am sure Makhachev would beat him every time, and his next fight should be against Volkanovski in Australia.

Dillashaw came with injured shoulder in fight against Aljamain Sterling, so he didn't perform at his best and he was easy pray for Sterling who win easily this fight.
In other fights we didn't see many KO or TKO's but they are all worth watching starting from early prelims.

Yeap, I also think that Petr Yan won that fight. Even Sean O'Malley was amazed when judge raised his hand. Yes, the fight was close, but Petr was leading it, he has twirled O'Malley in parter here and there, landed more, even finished the fight while being on him. I am not saying that there was a knockdown. Even in post fight interview Sean said that he will rewatch this fight to find out who really won it... If the fight Yan vs Aljo (second fight) was very, very close, then right now Yan was robbed.

Belal Muhammad was training in Khabib's camp and he is in his team now and hence Khabib was in his corner for the fight.

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Petr Yan won the fight according to me and i have no idea which fight the judges were watching to give Sean O'Malley the victory . Petr Yan was controlling the fight and the judges saw otherwise.

Co main and Main Event coming up and if this is the way the judges are scoring, it will be ridiculous.

Edit: T.J. Dillashaw popped his left shoulder and Aljamain Sterling mauled him in the first round.

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Edit:

1)Main event is finally here, BJJ vs Sambo .

2)What a dominating first round by Islam Makhachev. The judo throw was great.

3)Damn Islam Makhachev submits Charles Oliveira the greatest finisher in UFC history .

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Stupid judges messed my parlay on the Petr Yan decision.

Have you noticed, that Khabib was in Belal Muhammad corner? Rather surprising for me. Never thought they were such friends, and Khabib took such responsibility and lose some mental energy on this fight, when he is to be in his brother corner and Makhachev corner as well.

Also, fight between Zubaira Tukhugov and Lucas Almeida was cancelled (less 1 nervous fight for Khabib) due to Zubaira did not made weight. Khabib, Zubaira and Makhachev are together all the time. One has made weight, other failed. Strange, as they have similar team and everything.

Muhammad Mokaev def   Malcolm Gordon by Submission. Very predictable already by just the odds alone, its been speculated by tokeweed in the previous page. The whole fight is on the ground and Mokaev was saved by the bell because in the later round because Gordon was on his back almost rear naked choke. He gave his back easily, a weakness for Mokaev. Almost an upset if it weren't for the bell.  

I really feel the eagerness of T.J. Dillashaw and I think he had paid all of what he did in the past, but cutting weight against Henry Cejudo was very hard for him, and his eagerness to get 2 belts in the UFC, I can surely feel it that is why I really like him to win this match, that Cory Sandhagen was very crucial and even though he won that fight he ends up injuring his knee and underwent surgery so another year has need to cut down from his career, I really like for him to get that belt again that he did not really lose inside the ring, and I really don't like Sterling at all,


I really think Even Islam Makhachev has that aswell, but Oliveira surely has a tendency to really get back at his opponent and give them ten fold of that attack on them, but I don't really think that he got a chance against Makhachev with the ground game, he surely have experience with BBJ but Dagestan Wrestling for me is that just superior,


Definitely Beneil Dariush VS Mateusz Gamrot is one of the fights that they need to see, but I haven't included it in my picks because I got a limited budget at the moment, Abubakar Nurmagomedov VS Gadzhi Omargadzhiev is another fight that I recommend, and surely the Muhammad Mokaev VS Malcolm Gordon is a highly recommended by me, surely like you have said it can surely the fight will be under a min,

I saw a couple of guys itt asking what other match ups are good to watch for 280.  I think After the main event, the co main event, Yan vs O'Malley and Dariush vs Gamrot...  Mokaev should def be in the list.  And with line for the under 1.5 rounds being at 1.74, I think that's good value.  I have a strong feeling Mokaev will finish Gordon in under a minute.

Anyway, the event will start way earlier than usual as it's in the Mid East...  Around 4 hours or so from now.  I am stoked!


And here are the weigh ins and the result.  All make it except one.

UFC 280:  Ceremonial Weigh Ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ssTLYhQwcaU

Charles Oliveira (154.5) vs Islam Makhachev (154.5)
Champ Aljamain Sterling (135) vs T.J. Dillashaw (135)
Sean O’Malley (135.5) vs Petr Yan (136)
Beneil Dariush (156) vs Mateusz Gamrot (156)
Katlyn Chookagian (127.5)* vs Manon Fiorot (125.5)
Sean Brady (171) vs Belal Muhammad (170)
Caio Borralho (186) vs Makhmud Muradov (185.5)
Nikita Krylov (206) vs Volkan Oezdemir (206)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov (170.5) vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (171)
AJ Dobson (185) vs Armen Petrosyan (186)
Malcolm Gordon (126) vs Muhammad Mokaev (126)
Lina Lansberg (135) vs Karol Rosa (135)

*Missed weight

Every person is good in his/her field. But if anyone has an ability to think at sudden attack. If anyone think, how the other person is playing and keep eye on his strategies and try to waste the opponent's attack. So I think he/she is the king of his/her field. And I think Oliveira has these abilities. And good in, to understand opponent.

Dillashaw is the underdog and we might say that he could be no longer in his prime but let's see. His testing of banned substances really put a big ? on his career. He had great wins in the past, and that footwork is so good to watch him do that.

But for sentimental favorite, yeah, good to throw some minimum bet for Dillashaw and see if he still has that fire inside of him to restore his image and this is the fight that will give him the chance, against Sterling.

Charles Oliveira's fight IQ is sure unbelievable no doubt about it that is why I am really excited to see the fight because we really never know the outcome of the fight this is indeed another piece of history for the UFC, we can have another fight level like the Jiri Prochazka VS Glover Teixeira fight, that was an incredible fight to watch even Dana White has jumped to his pants seeing the fight escalated, for me, these two really is in equal footing but we will never know for sure if they didn't fight,

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Now here are my picks and prediction for the UFC 280

Charles Oliveira VS Islam Makhachev

The stake odds for this fight are 2.60 for Oliveira and 1.51 for Makhachev, This is going to be one hell of a fight for sure, at first I am really hesitant in betting for this fight but again as I have run down to all postings here in the forum and I have noticed a certain individual that talking about Khabib Nurmagomedov, I really know Makhachev is not a duplicate of Khabib Nurmagomedov, but in this fight, Khabib Nurmagomedov is positive about Islam Makhachev is going to win over Oliveira, and he will be coaching him ringside for sure, so I will be going with Islam Makhachev and to show explosiveness in his ground game,

Aljamain Sterling VS T.J. Dillashaw

The Stake odds for this fight are 1.55 for Sterling and 2.46 for Dillashaw, T.J. Dillashaw really wants it badly and he knows that he can still fight and be champion again after that devastating loss to Henry Cejudo and tested positive in pre, he lost his belt, not inside the ring, but that gained boost over a drug have backfired and now he returned in the UFC challenging the champion now, Aljamain Sterling, for me Aljamain Sterling is a tall guy and he could surely have advantage on Dillashaw with the distance and Running away tactic, although T.J. Dillashaw is a disgraceful guy in the eyes of many for taking medication to boost his red blood cells, I really think Dillashaw needs a 2nd chance, but Sterling also need to prove himself, but for this fight, I am going with T.J. Dillashaw,

Petr Yan VS Sean O'Malley

The stake odds for this fight are 1.31 for Yan and 3.45 for O'Malley, right now Sean O'Malley has an advantage with his height and reach, and don't forget the eye pokes and the dirty kind of things he can do, but for me, Petr Yan has a method he can use in dealing with O'Malley but he needs to get closer to him, the ground is Yan's best friend so he needs to capitalize on that to win this fight so I am going with Petr Yan,

Muhammad Mokaev VS Malcolm Gordon

The stake odds for this fight are 1.09 for Mokaev and 9.80 for Gordon, Malcolm Gordon surely has unusual records, but for me, I think Muhammad Mokaev has a high advantage on the ground, that is why he was called Mini Khabib, so obviously I am going with Muhammad Mokaev,

For fun, I placed a multi-bet on Yan, TJ, and Charles (all ML). Small amount for a chance to win 8X

Yan would likely chop those legs early before taking the fight to the ground. He'll still have a lot of work to do even after a successful takedown because Sean has some Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background.

I agree with you guys for the most part. I’m not confident enough to money behind Sean either, but think his height is a big advantage. I also think if Yan wants to win he’ll have to take it to the ground and think he’ll struggle to land punches on Sean due to Yan’s T-Rex arms. I don’t think the general outlook is that Sean will win though. He’s the underdog and if he wins I think a lot of people will be surprised.

I also having the same feeling that T.J. Dillashaw will not last 5 rounds like he used to without the EPO and even in his last bout against Cory Sandhagen, i thought Cory won the fight but somehow T.J. Dillashaw won by split decision. So i am expecting the same slow start like his last bout knowing cardio will be a problem and Aljamain Sterling will make him carry his weight and exhaust him and may be a submission victory in the later rounds for Aljamain Sterling.

It is a hard fight to predict as both are really great fighters. The way i see this fight is that Islam Makhachev circles away from his offence and since Charles Oliveira always like to march forward there is always a takedown possibility. After watching all the fights of either fighters, Charles Oliveira's go to move is his left side submissions where he catches the opponent with his left arm and then chokes them out and i am sure Islam Makhachev will be aware of this and might be shooting towards the other side. Either way i am expecting a good ground battle and i see Islam Makhachev winning those battle unless Charles Oliveira finds a way to submit him.

Another factor i am taking into account is that Charles Oliveira never went the distance or the championship rounds in his career, so no idea about the stamina, i favor Islam Makhachev if the fights goes to the championship rounds.

Nobody is talking about Abubakar Nurmagomedov, I think this is best sure bet on this fight card.
I would rather place a bet on Nurmagomedov win than on Aljamain Sterling, and odds are almost the same.
One thing that concerns me is how all fighters will get used to Abu Dhabi climate and time change, so I need to take this into calculations.

This was one intense faceoffs or nose off for Oliveira and Islam Makhachev, and I heard Oliveira later saying in his language that he is going to kill this guy
I wasn't this excited for some UFC event for a long time, and this one is doing me good, and I hope to see good fights from AbuDhabi.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F5Fpcnr_R_s

I think obviously there are certain advantages to being tall in the UFC or in MMA in general. But I think tall guys face a little more problematic balancing themselves compared to shorter guys. But the taller fighters who can balance themselves and who know what they are doing are simply really good.

Petr Yan will have to fight really well to win this fight. From the general outlook, it feels like Sean O'Malley should win this fight. But it is not going to be so simple. Both fighters have knockout power and Petr Yan is not likely to do well if he realizes on his stand-up. He will have to concentrate on his ground game and that is going to give him a much more chance of winning. I think Petr will try to control the fight and take it to the judge's scorecard.

I can say we have the same feelings about Sean O'Malley. I want him to win, but I can't depend my money on him, it's too risky. As I said in the previous post, if he finds a surprise hit thanks to his reach advantage, he can knock down Yan, you never know. But Yan is very durable and will slow Malley down a lot with constant low kicks on his long legs, that's a fact. By the way, I never expected face2face to push him, the tension between them was really high.

Aljo won against Yan in an exhausting 5 rounds, he should have the stamina even with that neck injury.  Its dillashaw who might not survive 5 rounds and when that happen, he'd be choked. Its why I cast my bet by submission. The acting skills is a plus, using that skill may still get him the win again.

Found a breakdown for Charles vs Makhachev which also made me bet Charles by KO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QJfsUh-PxaU

Khabib Nurmagomedov has an important role in every fight of Islam Makhachev and we know him as the best mentor in every Islam Makhachev career, so the combination of the two strategies is to plan a surprise attack to sink his opponent. However, Islam Makhachev is not a duplication of Khabib Nurmagomedov so he needs to improve his ability to defeat Oliveira, but Oliveira side is unquestionable and I've reviewed his abilities in every fight and he can even change the pattern of the fight on the counter-attack to take down his opponent.

Yeah..  It's funny he was still getting boo'd by a lot of people during the pre fight press conference.    But I'm talking mostly about line value here and from a betting perspective.  I haven't checked the latest line yet but would you put money on Sterling at 1.50 - 1.60 odds?  Too steep imho.  And they're both wrestlers and Dillashaw could very may well gave the edge in the striking department.  

Dillashaw def has the experience edge.  He's fought a lot of top tier fighters before he got busted for EPO.  Lol.  But still...

Well I don't really like Sterling As well but Aljamain Sterling got himself safe from Petr Yan, in my opinion, Aljamain Sterling believe it or not has good kicks and pretty much his 2nd fight with Petr Yan has shown his technicality his speed and kicks was shown it was like no drama Aljamain is a real deal, and because Aljamain has height he used that advantage and his reach in getting those punches and kicks, that win him in that fight, maybe this will be his technique against Dillashaw,


Khabib Nurmagomedov will be 100% sure to be on Islam Makhachev's side, and this will surely boost Islam Makhachev's morale in winning the fight, I really think that Khabib Nurmagomedov really knows what Charles Oliveira will do and what technique he has, that he and Islam will need to get prepare for, and Charles Oliveira is a very well-rounded guy and a win on the standing and ground could be possible for sure but Islam Makhachev will need to be heavy on the ground more, and keep Oliveira drowning, I will give my picks and right now I now know who is my pick,