Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 295. (Read 97228 times)

Looking forward to seeing Paddy the Baddy back in the ring. Amazing how much weight he lost so fast after going absolutely crazy eating after his last fight. Also looking forward to seeing Suga Sean’s next fight. A lot of people are counting him out so it might be a make or break fight for him.

It was a great watch and I really enjoyed it, I haven't made a bet because I haven't seen the time, after I bet for the UFC I forgot to bet for Bellator, I thought that UFC will be early than Bellator, but my computation on the timeline was wrong, but it doesn't matter will be waiting for the UFC event to really enjoyed the fight,

But Bellator was really a great fight the fact that I can not predict who's going to win is surely a thrill if I got my bet on, like when the opening fight of Marcelo Golm VS Davion Franklin now that is a banger of a fight for the start of an event on Bellator I really though that Davion Franklin would win this because of that power the way he carries Marcelo Golm 2 times and slamming him to the ground and even Bloodied Golm by cutting his eyebrow, but due to gassing out Davion Franklin assault stopped, and on the start of round 2 Golm cut was revealed and it was a nasty cut but the officials continue the fight, and Davion Franklin was really exhausted, he is not really used in getting the distance, and from that I have enjoyed all other Bellator fights,

^  Looks good.  I picked exactly those guys too for my lottery tickets.  Again let's cross our fingers for a Mokaev win.  If there was a pie shitter in that list, it's him.    And doing cross events for parlays isn't that bad esp if you aren't sure about some match ups for the current event.  Maybe we should also do cross organization parlays and make picks at UFC and Bellator events next time.

Anyway, UFC London starts in 35 minutes or so guys.  Lock your bets in!  Leeezzgooo and good luck!

To my surprise my Bellator bets all won. So, I'm currently up five fights on my accumulator. Still got a bloody lot to go with the UFC though, and I'm sure they'll be one that messes it up. Next on my accumulator I have:

Jai Herbert
Muhammad Mokaev
Marc Diakiese
Nathaniel Wood
Mason Jones
Paddy the baddy

Then, I've also chucked further events on it like Amanda Nunes, Magomed Anklaev, Christian Tapia, and Guido Vinaello. I know they have a chance to get cancelled, but I'm making the most of a offer on my fiat bookie. You'll notice there's some boxing in it too. Its a 16 fold accumulator .

Here is my pick for the UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall highlighted in green are my picks

Curtis Blaydes VS Tom Aspinall

Stake odds for this fight were 2.22 for Blaydes while 1.67 for Aspinall, and After a brief moment of struggle on who is my pick and who to bet, I surely have a hard time making this, I got a hunch that Tom Aspinall may win this, and I think he can even show more in the UFC because surely all his fight was just in 1 to 2 rounds and he hasn't even shown most of his cards but his opponent this time is Curtis Blaydes one of the top rank heavyweights in the UFC, Blaydes surely got a tremendous advantage over wrestling and I think Aspinall will surely have a hard time even if he got a decent takedown defense, in all of his fights was with TKO and submission Aspinall really is finishing his opponent quickly if he can Knockout Blaydes quickly then this is Tom Aspinall's win but for me, Blaydes is one tough bastard to crack and I think the strength of Aspinall is not like Lewis, and if this goes the distance Aspinall may have a hard time in longer fights he might gas out my pick was really Tom Aspinall but I got a change of heart due to certain something, so I am going with Curtis Blaydes,

Jack Hermansson VS Chris Curtis

Stake odds for this game were 1.87 for Hermansson, while 1.94 for Curtis, I think for this fight Hermansson was from 2 Consecutive losses, from Khamzat Chimaev, and Sean Strickland it was a decision loss, while Chris Curtis, was from a win against Rodolfo Vieira, I guess this is the 1st time Curtis will be fit to a much well-known fighter, a top competitor like Jack Hermansson, it pretty much a threat to Curtis, and for me even though Chris Curtis has so much experience in his career, I will tend to go to a fighter that is very well-rounded in my opinion that is why I will go with Jack Hermansson,

Paddy Pimblett VS Jordan Leavitt

Stake odds for this game were 1.34 for Pimblett while 3.30 for Leavitt, pretty much Paddy the baddy Pimblett is the favorite to win, I mean Jordan Leavitt has good Jui Jitsu, that Paddy will surely need, but for me, that is why Dana White has given Pimblett this match I think he can get  the job done with one shit, that is why I will be going with the favorite Paddy the Baddy Pimblett although I don't like the guys, he still provide good method, of entertainment, that is why I am picking him, I will go with Paddy Pimblett,

Here's my bet slip for tomorrow. Remember, early start time so don't miss it, which also means I'll be staying up for the Bellator, as I can have a early ish night tomorrow.

Anyway,  my predictions:

Dalby
Jai Herbert
Mokaev
Nathaniel Wood
Marc Diakiese
Mason Jones
Paul Craig
Molly McCann
Paddy the baddy
Jack Hermansson
Curtis Blaydes

I've purposely left a few out, since it could go either way, and I'm not confident in making any bets on them. Some of the above on the other hand I've got in a betslip, which has a few bellator's in it too, so I imagine I'll lose that betslip tonight .

I wasn't the one that said it, it was Jake Paul, and here is his Tweet



Pretty much Khamzat is decimating everybody, well his fight with Gilbert Burns, I think he is cautious about getting the fight on the ground, I really think he really knows the strength of Burns on the ground that is why he pushes the Stand-up fight, that is why I go the distance, pretty much he doesn't let Burns decide the fight I think that is what happens but if Khamzat would want the fight to end his way then Grappling will be his choice, but a rematch is not really bad and for Nate Diaz, Khamzat Chimaev will not hesitate in getting Diaz into submission and let the fight on the ground, And as you have said calling Chimaev fake Khabib is not really appropriate, because Chimaev and Khabib Nurmagomedov, has different style, And with Diaz there might be a chance that we see him again, and this could not be the last time, but I don't really know of some trilogy fight but that would be boring in my opinion,


Jake Paul is a fool saying that Khamzat Chimaev is a fake Khabib but in reality, Chimaev is not trying to be like Khabib Nurmagomedov, they have their separate style I can call Khamzat Chimaev like a wild beast ready for the attack, in fact, Chimaev would love the brawl, and will not hesitate on a stand-up when he is challenged,  and Chimaev has a tendency to withstand the blow instead of waving his head evading the punch, While Khabib Nurmagomedov you are right stick to the game plan, and does what his best of,


Actually, I have known Khabib Nurmagomedov because of his fight with Conor McGregor back in 2018, I haven't watched UFC back then until I saw that fight and I think that is my 1st time loving the sports until I manage to spot some really good action and through this day I am enjoying taking an analysis of the fight especially when I've seen Khabib Nurmagomedov, unique style in fighting and I kind of love that and wanted to see that, and that is why I love him to step inside the ring again, but we still have Islam Makhachev for that matter,

I also wish he continue fighting but he made a much harder choice of retiring while he was on top, and I don't think anyone could beat him from all current fighters from his category.
Good thing for everyone that he stayed in MMA sports, supporting, coaching and training other fighters that could follow his steps with team Khabib.
I still have slim hope we could see Khabib come back in some exhibition fight in future because he continue training.

Yeah. Although, I was more referring to his style of fighting, than the opponents he picked. He didn't avoid fights that's for sure. However, his fighting style does mitigate a lot of the dangers that most fighters present, especially when you're the best wrestler in every single fight. I've always said it, if you're the better wrestler you get to dictate the fight however you want. You can take them down or you can try, and beat them on the feet.

I just wish Khabib stayed fighting for a little bit longer, I didn't catch many of his earlier fights, since I discovered the UFC somewhat late compared to some of you here.

There is a huge difference between this two fighters but two more fights is big difference even without that.
Connor didn't want to fight very much during this period, he was drinking, spending his money, having party time, and he lost four of his last five fights.
Diaz had to beg Dana And UFC to give him any fight or release him and he said this in public, but I am not worried for him because I heard contracts for other organizations are waiting him after this fight.
I don't think we are going to see Diaz vs Connor again in UFC, maybe sometime in future outside UFC is possible.

I would not say Khabib stayed safe in his carrier and fight with Connor and with real bear showed that.  
He doesn't have boxing or kickboxing as a base sport from younger age, so you couldn't expect to see him like that, but sttas is showing that he finished most of his fight early, 28% with KO or TKO, and 38% was submission win, that is 66% total.

Nobody is invincible in MMA, except maybe Khabib.
Everyone has stronger and weaker side and good or bad days, but if you have a perfect record and people beg you to have one more fight that makes you nearly invincible in cage.

^  The books would adjust right away and not make the same mistake right after it did.  Same with Schnell and his match up vs the Tibetian guy.  But the thing is there's lots more mispricing going on in MMA than a sport like say football.  Lines in the EPL are pretty efficient overall imho.

Anyway, another event with no missed weight.  That's like 5 events straight now.  Far from how it was at the Covid era when we saw at least one guy missing weight every week.

UFC London:  Weigh In Results

Curtis Blaydes (260) vs Tom Aspinall (251)
Chris Curtis (186) vs Jack Hermansson (186)
Jordan Leavitt (155) vs Paddy Pimblett (156)
Alexander Gustafsson (205) vs Nikita Krylov (204)
Hannah Goldy (125) vs Molly McCann (125.5)
Paul Craig (206) vs Volkan Oezdemir (205.5)
Marc Diakiese (156) vs Damir Hadzovic (156)
Charles Rosa (145) vs Nathaniel Wood (145.5)
Makwan Amirkhani (145.5) vs Jonathan Pearce (145)
Charles Johnson (125.5) vs Muhammad Mokaev (126)
Jai Herbert (155) vs Kyle Nelson (155)
Mandy Bohm (125) vs Victoria Leonardo (125.5)
Nicolas Dalby (170) vs Claudio Silva (170.5)
Mason Jones (155.5) vs Ludovit Klein (155)

Ricky Simon is a special type of fighter, and I knew of his danger, but had to back my man. Unfortunately it wasn't Shore's day, but for the time he was in there I thought he looked decent. Ricky did what he usually does, except he wasn't overwhelming Shore like his past opponents. I'll definitely be betting on Ricky in the future, and hopefully the bookies haven't caught on to how good he is.

As for Khamzat, if he learns from that Burns fight he could become absolute insane to match up against. If he doesn't take what he learned on the night, he could be one of those fighters that could've been great, but constantly underestimated their opponents. I think it'll be the former though, he has the right people around him to teach him to learn from his mistakes. He got cocky coming into that fight, with not getting hit, and he definitely got hit a whole lot on the night, and Burns isn't the quickest of throwers. Khamzat didn't just get hit though, he got hit hard, multiple times looked wobbled, and I'm sure one of the times he might have actually been out for a split second, as I mentioned his legs gave way, and he just kind of face planted the floor.

Oh right right...  Somehow I got a tad confused.  When I read 'Shore' this guy Shane Young from CKB popped in my head.  He's the guy who Klein beat with a head kick KO at the first round.  Lol.  Anyway yeah, it sucks for Shore as I really like him too.  But not as much as how the books lined him.  I had Simon for that one because Simon could crack..  Which he did.

And don't worry, it's just me.  Mokaev is really good and he should win.  It's just we haven't seen a lot in his UFC debut and there are some questions left unanswered.  I guess we'll have to see.

Ceremonial weigh ins in a couple of hours.

UFC London:  Ceremonial Weigh Ins
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGhx3Gg7kdI

Even though Khabib and Khamzat from Eastern countries, Khabib was fully under his father control. In lots of interviews Khabib and his father talked how strict his father was. For example, he had to be at home until sunset. Had to train twice a day and have good results at school. Chimaevs family has moved from Chechen Republic to Sweden. Dont know everything about Khamzat, but he has moved to Sweden with his mom and brother when he was 5. From strict Chechen Republic, were elder people (usually men) are in honour to Stockholm. This is like moving to Disneyland to him. Of course there are huge problems with discipline. Thanks god he is hardworking and stubborn, and was used to martial arts. Otherwise he Khamzat would have gone breaking bad.

Good that you have mentioned the fight between Khamzat and Burns. It showed that Khamzat isnt invincible, because he was showing off that during his UFC career he wasnt even hit once.

He's fairly young in his UFC career though, and I'm not saying he's bad for that. I mean, I've got to respect it. There was probably a much easier path to victory, but he chose not too. The few times that he got Burns on his back, he threatened with some ground, and pound. I'm not saying he would've guaranteed the win going for the ground game more, since Burns is obviously very good, and champion level on the ground. I just think it was the path with the least obstacles.

I'm not convinced he won on the night, it was a very close fight. Burns absolutely looks dangerous, and I said before he rocked Usman before Usman started releasing that jab. If Burns can sort out avoiding fighters with that jab, i.e move his head more, I think he can become champion. He'll just have to work fast for it.

He certainly didn't made money from the current contract but there could be more money to make if there was 3rd Connor vs Nate. Fans I think willing to pay to see them both fight again if it weren't for Connor's leg. So the reason why he is ready to dive whoever gives him a chance which Jake Paul was willing.


Chimaev isn't as discipline. Khabib will always put his opponent in a bit of disadvantage so if it were Khabib vs Burns, I would assume he'd stick to taking down once Burns miss a shot and end there dominating all rounds until he gets the chance to choke.

Burns has always been underestimated I feel. He showed up in that fight, and it's the first time we've seen Chimaev actually hurt. Like, at one point I'm pretty sure his legs give out under him. He was hurt, and as DC would say "hurt bad". However, I'm not sure if he will be the next khabib, different fighting styles. Chimaev could've gone to the ground a little more against Burns, but he seems rather stubborn, and wanted to stand toe to toe, and hopefully knock him out. While after the fight he admitted this was a mistake, it was probably due to Burns' ground game, despite Chimaev being more than proficient in that area.

Khabib on the other hand, stayed safe the majority of the time. He didn't fall in love with knocking people out, and instead stuck to his game plan. I'm not sure at least at this stage of his career if Chimaev has the same discipline as Khabib.

By knowing how Nate likes to catch punches with his face just to make a taunt or slap his opponent, I think their fight will end in first round by gnp. By seeing how Khamzat works in gym, and knowing Nate does not care much about training, I think Nate is going to be "smeshed" easily by Chimaev.

Wasnt Nate was aiming to try himself in boxing because of higher rewards ? (p.s. I like how Nate does not care about money, but say that UFC always pay him low)

Connor has only had 5 since then as well. I don't think blame can solely be put on Dana/the UFC as it takes two to tango in the fight game. I'm sure that Nate has been offered a lot of opponents but didn't want to take them for whatever reason. A lot of fighters are holding out for bigger paydays now and this is usually to blame for lack of fights, though I don't blame the fighters at all for that as many aren't getting paid what they should be. Just look at Jon Jones. He's been offered probably dozens of fights over the years but he's been MIA for two years now and he's pretty much only been fighting once a year all the way back to 2013 (with the exception of 2019 where he had two fights). Jon Jones is almost certainly just waiting for a payday that might not ever come now. He's 35 so he's getting a bit too old to be getting picky and it's going to be a shame if we never see him against some of the current active UFC heavyweights.


I wouldn't call him fake Khabib. I think he can be the new Khabib, especially if he keeps decimating opponents as he has been. Diaz will give him a good run for his money I'm sure and I am definitely looking forward to this fight. Hopefully it's a fight like Chimaev's last against Burns where he was the first person to go the distance with him. Khamzat definitely wasn't expecting that. Diaz has only been knocked out once I believe and even that was a ref stoppage (though he was getting battered on the floor and his corner threw in the towel as the ref went to stop it). All other fights I think he's either won or lost on points so this fight going the distance is certainly a possibility.

According to Diaz Dana is wanting to make the trilogy fight happen with Connor so win or lose this might not be the last we've seen on Diaz:

https://www.express.co.uk/sport/ufc/1642611/Conor-McGregor-UFC-fight-news-Nate-Diaz-Dana-White-Brad-Pickett-MMA-NEWS

I Believe you I really do, maybe I am just infected because of the hype, I have seen Curtis Blaydes's records I have seen his amateur fights and all the hard fight he fought surely Curtis Blaydes have the experience but why he is not the favorite here? This is like Cyril Gane the hype train is on him, but I am just seeing a different picture and I think I have seen something new to Tom Aspinall and if he can win against Curtis Blaydes then I think he proves that he truly can become champion, but I still think he can not win against Ciryl Gane but for me, I think he hasn't shown his 100% yet and this is truly something that I am holding with Tom Aspinall, but yeah this is a big gamble that I am taking,


Nate Diaz can really show heart in most of his fights, in this last fight I think even if he lost this he just needs to show what he really is made of, he might get bloodied but Nate Diaz will surely not going to stand down and will keep on moving, this fight could go on if Khamzat Chimaev decided to finish this on stand-up, but if this continued to the ground it is goodbye for Nate Diaz, but surely Nate Diaz will show his 100% on the fight just like what Glover Teixeira did on his fight with Jiri Prochazka, maybe this could be a banger of a fight, and recently Jake Paul has tweeted that he will be putting money on support with Nate Diaz to win versus fake Khabib,