Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 443. (Read 97020 times)

Looking at the face off it looked like Mcgregor was raring to go. I cannot wait for the main card I know that Wonder Boy is fighting too and I loved him when I have seen him fight. Poirier looks much thicker than Mcgregor though and I am concerned that he will have the best of Mcgregor again. Apart from the main event what other fight is really interesting tonight? I am probably not going to be able to dedicate all my time to watchin tonight so might just pick times where the most interesting fights are happening. I have a bet on Mcgregor just because I am a fan and do not really know anyone outside him, poirer and wonder boy.

Don’t change your picks on my account but I’m on the other side with Kunitskaya and Gilbert Burns.  Aldana missed weight by 3.5 lbs while Thompson vs Burns should be closer imho.  At 2.45, the books are giving Burns too much value.  The only concern, Burns just got starched by Usman...  Then again Thompson got starched by Pettis.  Pettis!  The guy isn’t known for knocking out people.

The way UFC is hyping the fight is that Conor McGregor always performs in the biggest stage and the last defeat against Dustin poirier there were no fans and he was a different person during the pre fight press conference as he was respecting the opponent but now he turned that face and he is talking trash and the hype is that whether these trash talk can make any difference in his performance because these mental games could have an impact on how they fight.

Irene Aldana VS. Yana Kunitskaya

Well, my take on this fight and my opinion is that Aldana is great with her striking that she beat Ketlen Vieira with KO punches but Yana Kunitskaya, in my opinion, is a well-rounded fighter and she can weaponize that in whatever she like she can launch a takedown on a striker or take the fighting on the feat against a wrestler, I really think that it is tricky to predict on a women division on what they surely do but I will go with a more well-rounded fighter and that is Yana Kunitskaya but if we look at the odds on stake.com Aldana is the slight favorite with 1.91 for Aldana and 2.01 for Kunitskaya but I am ignoring the Odds and will go with Kunitskaya,

Gilbert Burns VS. Stephen Thompson

Well, my take on this match Gilbert Burn is good at his takedowns but Wonderboy or Stephen Thompson I think he is good at his takedown defense, and Stephen is pretty much good at his striking but I think that Stephen is pretty good at his striking than Burns because Burns is good at getting the fight on the mat but is he able to takedown wonderboy to the Mat with Thompson's good takedown defense and so sad to say Gilbert Burn is not good with his Durability so if Stephen Thompson could land a successful strike on him this could be over in no time because I think that Thompson will be aware that Burns is a wrestler so he could be cautious with Burn getting the fight to the mat and he will surely take the distance between them and because I think to see Wonderboy Thompson versus Usman so my take will be Stephen Thompson winning this, and at stake.com Burns have 2.44 but Wonderboy has 1.64 at the moment.

I think your Parley is great but I would rather bet for Kunitskaya than Aldana in my opinion.

Nice one, I think he should be a heavy underdog but because he is hyped and he talks too much, some fans still trust him to win. Dustin Poirier seemed to be a focused fighter and he has already figured out how to beat Conor so he can do it again. I'm not sure of the stats of a trilogy fights, but I think those who win in the 2nd fight most likely win the last fight.

I was picking Dustin Poirier to win the trilogy when it was announced but after the pre fight press conference Conor McGregor was back to his normal trash talking personality and it was showing in the face of Dustin Poirier but what i liked in that press conference was that there were fan questions that roasted Conor McGregor.

The best roast line by a fan was, after Barack Obama became president Conor McGregor only won one fight and how can the fans trust his prediction that he is going to win .

I'm looking for some prediction here as I'm going to bet in this game, I think McGregor will lose again and it's only his excuse that he loses focus on the 2nd fight. There's a reason why bookies make Dustin Poirier a slight favorite in this match, for me, it seems like McGregor is already done.

Interesting, I did not know that about the lawyers asking, that is actually not that crazy of him, I'd do the same. Regarding Conor being amped up about that, eh, I if was someone else I'd take it, but he knows how mental warefare interacts with fighting and I am sure he is doing everything to avoid that, not to become Aldo rushing into a punch.

Thank you for posting your predictions about these two fights but what do you think of Irene Aldana vs Yana Kunitskaya and Stephen Thompson vs Gilbert Burns fights? I don't know if you have seen it but along with the triple winnings bonus on Dustin Poirier vs Conor McGregor, there is a double winnings bonus up to 200$ on a treble from Marlon Vera on Stake.
He's betting :
Irene Aldana to beat Yana Kunitskaya @1.85
Stephen Thompson to beat Gilbert Burns @1.66
and Dustin Poirier to beat Conor McGregor @1.79
What do you think of this parlay?

It is quite certain that Conor will be very motivated to go head hunting for this fight. He was disrespected by Dustin when Dustin tweeted that Conor lied about the donation he promised for Dustin’s charity. However, it was only Conor’s lawyers asking for an complete list of where the money would go and how it will be spent. Dustin, who might need more experience in these matters might have assumed Conor was avoiding the promised donation and he went to Twitter telling everyone that Conor lied about the donation.



Conor McGregor has claimed Dustin Poirier made a “grave mistake” by calling the Irishman out over a charity donation he promised he would make to the Diamond’s Good Fight Foundation

Conor McGregor has blasted Dustin Poirier months after the Diamond called him over a charity donation he failed to make to Poirier’s Good Fight Foundation.

Following their bout at UFC 257 earlier this year, McGregor was expected to donate $500,000 to Poirier’s charity which helps underprivileged families in the American’s home state of Louisiana.

However, weeks after the bout McGregor still hadn’t followed through on his promise, which led Poirier to respond to the Irishman on Twitter and call him out.

“That’s a fun prediction! You also predicted a donation to my foundation and you and your team stopped responding after the fight in January," Poirier stated.

McGregor replied to Poirier at the time, claiming the Diamond had never shared what he planned to do with the donation.

“A donation, not a debt,” he said.

“ We’ve been awaiting the plans for the money that never came. I do with all my donations. Know where it’s going dot for dot. Otherwise it goes walking. As is the case with a lot of these foundations, sadly.”

Source https://www.dailystar.co.uk/sport/ufc/conor-mcgregor-poirier-donation-ufc-24496464

I remember two fights where Conor McGregor won when he got past the second round and that is against Max Holloway way back in 2013 and the next fight was against Nate Diaz in their second fight where he won a decision which was a 5 round fight and it was a really close fight, he does not have a history of winning fights after the second round and if Dustin Poirier is able to weather the first round then he will win the fight as i am expecting Conor McGregor to come out guns blazing power shots .

Yeah, I've in between a Conor TKO, and a late round submission by Poirier. Although, I keep changing my mind, even if Conor comes in at his best, Poirer is still a formidable foe, and we know what we are going to get from him, Conor on the other hand he's just so unpredictable, and while that can work to his advantage from a betting perspective it makes it even more difficult.

The sensible option is avoiding this fight altogether from the betting perspective I think.

What is funny is that whatever Conor McGregor says all the media and the experts support those excuses especially Joe Rogan who will support all of his excuses about not really focusing on his opponent whenever he looses and i always see that they always undermine the victory by his opponents with the help of media by focusing on other things.

This time Conor McGreogor is back with his usual gimmick personality and i hope Dustin Poirier will not fall for that out of the world persona Conor McGregor is having when it comes to the fight game. Next loss and Conor McGregor can come up with another excuse that he was too much focused on Charles Oliveira and so is the reason he lost  .

You certainly have a point there, Ryan Hall is extremely good at his forte with the submission moves and that leg hook that he is so well known about, but I am going with the Ilia Topuria bet from a Ryan Hall because Topuria can also do it, he can also throw a submission move on Ryan Hall and he can also throw strikes we can say that Topuria is an all-rounder, but I also know that Ryan Hall is pretty good at his striking department mostly with his kicks, but if Ryan Hall can have a successful submission but Topuria can counter it with his own, I just shift from Hall to Topuria, not because Topuria is undefeated but I have seen something about Topuria, and I just have a gut feeling about it, but I still like Ryan Hall in what he does, but shifting my decision on going with Topuria I wish I am not wrong, but certainly anything can happen.

All fights are confirmed after weight-ins with only Irene Aldana missed the weight and she will be charged 30% from her purse.
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^  At the current line at 1.80, I wouldn’t bet on Poirier.  If anything McGregor at 2.17 is the slight value play imho.  But would I bet it?  Nope, I’ll just pass.  There are a couple of spots I like better in this card like Kunitskaya and Giles.  I kinda like Gilbert Burns too.  I think the line should be a tad closer.

That's true, conor need to win before the 3rd round, but I think this time Conor will lose again, he already makes me lose my last fight's bets, so, this time I will bet he loses. Let's see how it goes. Happy gambling for all.

^  The thing with McGregor is he doesn’t really have the gas tank to last the whole 5 rounds.  If the match goes deep to rounds 4 and 5, rest assured Poirier has the advantage.  I got Poirier but if Conor wins..?  It will mostly be before round 3 imho.

Btw both main event and co main event fighters made weight.  Lezzz go!

Conor did struggle with those leg kicks though. However, when he went back to the corner his team or himself didn't mention it, and in the next round they didn't make any adjustments to avoid those leg kicks. I'd like to think that they have a game plan to reduce the amount of leg kicks hes taken, at least on his one leg, but I'm not convinced since they didn't adjust in that fight. Fighters most certainly practice how to adjust, so it was just odd that he continued to take a beating on that lead leg.

I felt the confrontation was more forced, than Conor is usually so I really don't know how to judge it based on what has happened prior to the fight, and going off the adjustments Conor has made previously, he doesn't really make all that many. The thing is, Conor most certainly has the talent to beat Poirier even without any adjustments, but I want to see Conor react intelligently, and actually come in with a game plan other than trying to knock him out in the first few rounds.

I wasn’t really too excited for this main event but man...  McGregor sure knows how to hype up a fight.  But I still don’t think it’s worth actually buying the PPV.  Lol.  I mean I’d like to see something different..  I guess?  But it’s still gonna be more of the same imho.

Anyway, live weigh ins starting in around a couple of hours followed by the ceremonial weigh ins a few hours later.  If you guys are betting on these matches, it’s always good to see how they look at the live weigh ins if you have’nt made your bets yet.

UFC 264:  Live Weigh in Show
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCZ3gk-el9M

UFC 264:  Ceremonial Weigh in
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TVU-os1PPRY

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