Topic: The UFC Info and Prediction Thread - page 491. (Read 96959 times)

I hear you on that. It's always kinda hard for me to even bring up gas tanks in heavyweights, for two reasons, first of wich is that besides the handful of guys at the top, heavyweights tend to act like they are not really athletes and they most times than not, come severely unprepared for multiple round fights. The second is that gas tank or not, with heavyweight, it only takes, sometimes not even a full punch but just a slight nod to end it.

The question between gas tanks in the Oleynik / Daukaus fight gets a bit blurry if we take into consideration (and that's just my opinion), that Oleynik can preserve more energy when on the ground, even in the bottom position, as that's where he feels more comfortable. Now, I know Daukaus is himself a blackbelt in BJJ so it's not like he will be out of his element, but Oleynik seems, for the most part, more experienced.

The key to victory for Jan Błachowicz is that to test the ground game of Israel Adesanya, no one tested that till now and everyone fought his fight and in the stand up battle it is a task because of the experience he has in striking but any kicks by Jan Błachowicz will hurt and he coming up a division and it wont be comfortable as these fighters are cutting down in weight to be in the division and the walk around weight will be heavyweight and Jan Błachowicz is a black belt in BJJ and he started with Judo so his ground game is more than enough to challenge Adesanya and it all depends upon the game plan on how to retain his belt.

I’m more comfortable on laying the chalk and betting on Chris Daukas than Tom Aspinal.  Daukas is light on his feet and has some power in his hands.  Yeah sure his gas tank is questionable since we haven’t seen him fight for over two rounds in the UFC but Oleinik’s gas tank isn’t great in his old age either.

Arlovski on the other hand is faster than some of the guys at HW.  Sure Aspinal could find that chin and knock him out but something tells me he won’t.  Arlovski is a clever guy.  His last match was vs top prospect Tanner Boser.  He won that fight as a 3 to 1 underdog.  Aspinal, like Daukas, we really don’t know if he has the gas tank to go beyond a couple of rounds since his fights end early.

What about Adesanya vs Romero fight ? Wasnt it more 25min marathon than fight? The only one who was happy about this fight was Adesanya. Romero said he is tired of shadow boxing in this fight (meaning Adesanya avoided fighting), press said about this fight "if anyone wants to see running, to go see Usain Bolt". Maybe this fight was not really boring, but running dominated over fighting in this one

It appears that Khamzat Chimaev’s fight vs. Leon Edwards will be cancelled again because of Chimaev’s complications from the coronavirus. Hyped or not, this is very disappointing considering that Khamzat is the only fighter that will make the welterweight division very exciting again.



Khamzat Chimaev was forced to withdraw from his scheduled bout against Leon Edwards twice due to health complications after contracting COVID. After the latest withdrawal, it was clear that this was no mild case of the virus and/or that Chimaev returned to training prematurely. Due to the long-lasting effects that Chimaev is experiencing, ESPN has reported that the UFC has decided to fly Chimaev out to Vegas to receive medical care. The report also states that Chimaev and his management are hopeful that he will be able to compete by June.

Source https://www.mmanews.com/2021/02/update-on-khamzat-chimaevs-status-the-extent-of-his-covid-battle/

I don't think I've seen many boring fights with Israel. I guess, some people might consider total dominance, or keeping distance, and picking his shots as boring. However, I consider that one of the best things about him. Of course, I love a war, but Izzy's striking is just a joy to watch, and of course his kicks are fantastic too. Honestly, the way to defeat Izzy other than catching him, since he moves around so much would be to take him down. However, many have tried, and many have failed. Hes got one of the best takedown defences, but I do believe that's where Jan could take him surprise.

I think we are all expecting Jan to come in there, and go for a few big shots trying to catch him, but I think working the lead leg of Izzy, and then shooting for a takedown unexpectedly would be a way of going about to defeat him.

Despite this, and the fact I consider Jan to be very tough. I'm somewhat expecting Israel to TKO him. Just because I'm so used to him proving me wrong, whenever I start to worry about him. I honestly thought Costa would pressure him out last time, but you could almost see the hesitation in Costa, just because of those lethal leg kicks from Adesanya.

The odds shows that Adesanya is a favorite in this fight. I also was surprised when Blachowicz won, but he deserves that, he was better that night.
I think two factors that Adesanya has and what will help him to win this fight is speed and distance. I think it will be easy to perform that strategy, as "‘The Last Stylebender’ will enter the bout at his ‘normal, walk-around weight’ as City Kickboxing believes it will give Adesanya a competitive advantage on fight night". Mostly kick and a series of 1-2 punches. This fight will end with Adesanya winning by unanimous decisions (but it will be a boring fight I think).

Hi everyone, new guy here, hope to stay

We have an upcoming event on our doorstep that might be of some worth for discussion.



Sure, this is a fight night so it's a smaller event but still.

Heavyweights are a coin toss and do not fall in the category of normal predictions, but let's give it a go.

Lewis is on a winning streak with most of his fights going the distance, and we know he can take a beating and somehow pull throw and win (Volkov), but what goes against him this time is that the fight is in the Apex, and with a smaller cage like that, and them being huge guys will make Blaydes take him down so much easier. And I do belive Blaydes will not risk acting like a boxer and stick to his wrestling in this one and not risk it, as he would be the next in line for a title fight no matter if Stipe or Francis win.

I will not count out Oleinik out on this one, he can pull submissions out of his ass and I think he brings more experience to the table that can prevail in the end, opposed to Daukaus. Again, smaller cage, more chance of a takedown.

Arlowski on a new winning streek? You know what, I'm in!

Kunitskaya has been subbed multiple times in her career and I just think Vieira has the toolset to get her to the ground and from there on, with such a big skill gap, it's game over.

What do y'all think?

Adesanya fought in higher weight divisions in kickboxing but the level of competition might not be that big and there are footage's of him getting knocked out in the higher weight division most probably in heavyweight and i expect it to be a competitive fight.

He is not playing safe as he was willing to face anyone, usually everyone avoids Yoel Romero but he called him out despite being the champion shows his confidence. I am also expecting a master class from Adesanya and he will have the speed advantage but Jan Blachowicz is huge and his body kicks are nasty and the way in which he picked apart Dominick Reyes with heavy body kicks was a beauty and that shut the entire game of Dominick Reyes.

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If he is able to beat Jan Blachowicz then Jon Jones will be his biggest challenge and no one beats Jones and with the level of intensity i am expecting a motivated Jon Jones and that will be the biggest fight in the UFC if you take into account the level of competition.

Yeah, Adesanya has had quite the career. I believe I've only seen him knocked out once in his kickboxing career, but I forget who it was against. MMA is a little different though, because if he gets knocked down, or even taken down Jan could seriously do some damage with his frame. The dude is very top heavy compared to the likes of Adesanya, and that's something Adesanya knows.

I am expecting a masterclass from Israel. I think he'll pick his moments, and basically pick Jan apart. However, I'm a Izzy fan so I'm going to be nervous during this fight just because I know how good Jan is. I actually think Jan has been underestimated for far too long. Commentators seemed quite surprised he won the last title fight, and the bookies seemed too as well, as I netted a nice bit of profit.

I'm really hoping we get to see Israel get to Khabib numbers, without taking a loss, but the dude definitely isn't sitting on his hands, and picking easier fights. This will definitely be a test, although I thought that about Costa last time, and we know how that ended.

This is not the first time Adesanya fight heavy guys. When he was in kickboxing, he has competed in 80+ weight class. His early kickboxing career and few boxing matches he fought as a Cruiserweights - that is a minimum of 86kg (depends on an organization). Light heavyweight in UFC is between 84 to 93kg. But I agree that he will keep distance most of the fight, due to his reach advantage.

Yeah that Anthony Hernandez fight was absolutely unreal. I think it was 1 round in which he got totally man handled, and then from there on out he dominated. For him to submit what I believe is a black bet is absolutely incredible. I'd be lying if I've watched much of Hernandez, but the guy might have a bright future basing on that fight.

What was the odds for him submitting his opponent, wasn't it incredibly long odds?

I'm expecting him to win, but I feel if he gets caught by Jan at any point, I think its game over. Jan is a big dense guy or carries some weight in his punches. Not that Adensanya doesn't throw big shots, but Jan is a dangerous man in the division. I do think Adesanya's leanness will actually pay dividends, and he'll be able to keep distant, and pick his shots.

There are no contenders for Israel Adesanya in the Middleweight division and he defeated all the top ranked fighters in the division and hence he is moving up to face Jan Błachowicz and it is a really tough fight and everyone is expecting Israel Adesanya to be the double champion and then go on and face Jon Jones, but i have a feeling that Jan Blachowicz wont be an easy fight and if Adesanya wins then the Jon Jones super fight is inevitable.

Bruce Buffer is the face of UFC and his announcement gives you chills and i wanted to watch one main event when ever they put up a fight card near my area for the feel of it.

Even i am picking Curtis Blaydes because i feel he will take the fight to the ground with his superior wrestling and control Derrick Lewis and avoid his big punches because Lewis can knockout anyone with one punch.

It is the biggest card this year and Israel Adesanya moving up will stall the middle weight division but i want to see him win the belt and then challenge Jon Jones to come out and that is another huge fight with all the battle they are engaging in twitter  .

Fun fact is that Bruce Buffer, famous for announcing fights with IT'S TIME, celebrated his 25th years working for UFC

I am going to watch just the main event for next fight card Blaydes vs Lewis, and I am giving advantage to Blaydes to win just like bookmakers are showing him as  favorite.
Waiting for next UFC259 like Welsh said, this is going to be big card with 3 title fights, and I am especially waiting to see Adesanya for first time in Light Heavyweiht division against Blachowicz, Thiago Santos against Aleksandar Rakic, and even prelims look good and should not be missed.
Check out official trailer:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IGLyxoNQT4E

I have a subscription and hence i am able to watch the fights live because i am wagging bets in other sports as well and i am spending more time on live sports, earlier i used to download files but not anymore as you can watching the fights in youtube before they take them down.


I am not sure whether it is adrenaline dump or the affects of COVID, Usman was tagged really bad in the first round but he was able to come back and showed his class, Burns tried to take him down after gassing out and he was able to defend it and the entire fight was basically a stand up battle.

The game plan of Maycee Barber was the reason for her defeat and i could have gone with rounds betting rather than going for Barber to win.

^  I didn’t watch the PPV live cos I didn’t want to pay for it.  Lol.  And it’s still locked in Fight Pass.  Had to wait to download the vid from somewhere not exactly legal.

Anyway, I feel like Burns got adrenaline pumping because of a good first round and abandoned his game plan then tried to go for the finish til he gassed out.  Middle of the second round he looked a bit tired.

Maycee Barber looked like she was taking it easy the first two rounds before fighting like ‘Maycee Barber’ at the third which she won.  Her team should’ve warmed her real good before the fight.

And it’s another Pitolo disaster.  Looking good til he isn’t.

Edit:  And that Anthony Hernandez win.  Lol.  Who would’ve known.

Come on man I think not, I am not thinking that way we all have our own opinion here and what may happen in the fight, but in reality, we are not expecting Sandhagen to do something like that, it really blows my mind seeing Edgar to be KO'ed so quickly

And about Dillashaw after a 2-year suspension, I don't know if it's already 2 years about testing positive for EPO prior to his fight with Henry Cejudo I personally think that you are right it will be a hard sell for viewers, especially what he did back then if he really is clean to fight again and the length of that suspension may personally have affected his physical and mental condition now.


Right Overeem back then was a total monster but yes just like me I think Overeem did gain fat, but as an athlete, he should still maintain his figure to box a little making progress in training even though he inside the house and diet for his upcoming fight but I think the lockdown really hit him hard, and If he's not back in shape before his next fight I think he should rest and retire because I don't know what to say anymore he looks like wreck it ralph in my opinion.

Usman actually challenged Masvidal in post-fight interview. He also pointed out that Masvidal rejected previous negotiations prior to their first fight and only stepped in as replacement in order to have an excuse if he loses. Usman's not happy how he's been going about the "on short notice".

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis



Date: FEBRUARY 21
Main Card: SUN, FEB 21 / 3:00 AM EET
Prelims: SUN, FEB 21 / 12:00 AM EET
Venue: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Main card (ESPN)
Heavyweight: Curtis Blaydes vs. Derrick Lewis            
Women's Bantamweight: Ketlen Vieira vs. Yana Kunitskaya            
Featherweight: Charles Rosa vs. Darrick Minner            
Heavyweight: Aleksei Oleinik vs. Chris Daukaus            
Featherweight: Rafael Alves    vs. Pat Sabatini            
Heavyweight: Andrei Arlovski vs. Tom Aspinall

Preliminary card (ESPN+)
Middleweight: Phil Hawes vs. Nassourdine Imavov            
Featherweight: Danny Chavez vs. Jared Gordon            
Lightweight: Drakkar Klose vs. Luis Peña            
Bantamweight: Eddie Wineland vs. John Castañeda            
Featherweight: Julian Erosa vs. Nate Landwehr            
Women's Flyweight: Shana Dobson vs. Casey O'Neill            
Featherweight: Chas Skelly vs. Jamall Emmers            
Bantamweight: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Drako Rodriguez            
Heavyweight: Sergey Spivak vs. Jared Vanderaa

source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UFC_Fight_Night:_Blaydes_vs._Lewis

Besides main event, I suggest to watch two veterans fight: Arlovski and Oleinik.
Finally, lots of heavyweight or heavy guys in the card   Hope to see a lot of people going to sleep that evening.