Topic: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Qualifying - page 49. (Read 12053 times)

Real punters been having a blast past 3 seasons, great odds and to take 2/3, phew.

City's never been worth the outright being favs every recent season I can recall. PSG too, overrated and unfortunately, now Liverpool too after making 3 finals in last 5.

Might go for some all-ins from Group stage on 3 or 4 favs (bet on win, bet it all again for 3 or 4 consecutive). Compound that crap haha.

What a low scoring matchday. 4 goaless draws, 2 minimal 1:0 wins and one game with 3:0 results. So, 5 goals in total in 7 games. Terrible day in betting. To summarize first round, probably just 3 teams are close to the next round after 3:0 wins - Bodo/Glimt, Shkupi and Shamrock Rovers. In other pairs everything will be decided in 2nd leg.

Am going to rule out Real Madrid for this season of the EPL to be some real competitor for the trophy. Personally, I think they've done enough and other contenders are sure to pick up the pace this season.

Liverpool and Manchester City would have been some real favourites but with Sadio Mane already gone to join Bayern Munich, I doubt much could be done as per the team quality to winning the trophy this season. Manchester City on the other hand seems to have all in place and the trophy is Guardiola's main focus, haven't proven himself severally wth the EPL.

Looking at PSG, these guys have still got most of its team in tact and probably the best attacks there is, in Neymar Jnr, K. Mbappe and Messi. Its had to imagine hard luck or lack of experience being there issue this time. They could certainly make the rounds with a little coordination of the team.

So I did little accumulated bets today and Bodo / Glimt did impress me tonight. Off working, So I didn't watch the game but they won both halves of the game.
A youngin ( 23 age ) named Boniface impressed by scoring all three goals for the team. And according to statistics, Ball possession, Goal attempts, Shots on Goal, and Dangerous attack's where muchly dominated by Bodo Glimt.
Bodo Glimt should have really played some nice combination of passes amongst themselves, how far isn't nothing at all, we'll see how well they can go!

The poll looks quite funny.

Everyone agrees that City was already great, but they lacked a pure striker that could score a bunch of goals.
Now that they have Haaland, everyone thinks that it is not even a competition.

At this point if City somehow loses, which is still possible because this is football and anything could happen, then I feel like it's going to be quite a tough challenge for them to recover from this. I believe Pep's contract will be ending at the end of the season right?

Well, I believe that it could be his last season and would probably not get renewed if he loses with this roster as well, he needs to prove to the world that he could get it, otherwise he is probably out.

Have the exact same bet, btts,...the odds for O2.5 went up a bit in the last few hours, but i'm confident we'll see goals in this one. RFS impressed last season with their wins over Puskas Academy and how tight they played Gent.

HJK Helsinki - FK Rigas Futbola Skola BTTS @1.89 X


Went with total corners on this one, i share your sentiment that we can expect to see Klaksvik playing deep into their own half with Bodo/Glimt trying to break them.

Bodo/Glimt - KI Klaksvik Total Corners O9.5 @1.73  won

---

Despite being considered underdogs in this round, Zrinjski Mostar and Dinamo Batumi are capable of putting up a fight. I actually expect both teams to advance...to the surprise of many.

SK Slovan Bratislava - FC Dinamo Batumi BTTS @1.88 X

HSK Zrinjski Mostar - FC Sheriff Tiraspol BTTS @2.04 X

I think we should should wait until the season starts when lots of people will have time to vote, as for now the major contender that I'm seeing is Bayern Munich and I voted for them, adding Sadio Mane to their attack is really awesome, I feel Lewandowski will stay, Manchester city will likely flop as they have been doing before.

As for Chelsea, Ronaldo and Neymar will not win the champions league for them if eventually they try to get both of them, I don't think that winning the champions league is based on star players, team work and the ability of coaches to use their players in best way respectively is truly important, a typical example is PSG and Man City

At least for now I agree with the vote in which Manchester City lead, but I personally will still wait at least until this transfer window closes. The issue of Neymar and Ronaldo is still interesting to look forward to, as both are linked with Chelsea. So, if in the end Ronaldo and Neymar might actually play for Chelsea, then this will certainly make Chelsea have a good chance in the Champions League. I'm also aware of rumors that don't guarantee 100% will happen, but I think it would be better for me to wait to vote, because the preparation of the big teams to fight for the Champions League title next season is really amazing at this time.

There is plenty of games today, one in action already, Tobol - Ferencvaros 0:0 at halftime. HJK - Riga FS, HJK is favorites here, but here I go with BTTS @1.85. Bodo/Glimt is heavy favorites against Klaksvik, but I tend to go with under 3.5 bet @1.77. Teams from Faroe islands is difficult to play, they can park effective bus and they're playing dirty football. I go with home ML in games Slovan - Dinamo Batumi and main bet is Maribor win @2.00 against Shakhtyor.

Not sure about them. They have beatable opponents in their path to 3rd round, but I wouldn't be very surprised if they won't go through. I'll skip their today's game, to tricky.

Yeah, almost every time when I see draw of qualifiers, I laways confuse these teams. But this time Hibernians is team from Malta, not Scotland.

Need I say more?



To make matters worse, this was an early bet made very very carefully. But I knew something was up when the odds went from 1.22 to even 1.4 and as some of you wrote, 1.5 was even possible, I'm sure this could have been 1.55 at least with price boost.

Group Stage hasn't even started and already losing lol

Usually at these early stages not a lot of surprises happens in qualifying because the teams playing against each other have a noticeably difference in quality.We can see that from the odds.

Lech Poznan just got the result they needed and although they were not significantly better they go to the return leg having a big advantage psychologically in their pocket,they start the second leg in advantage and should just play normally and use counter attacks,I think they will qualify further because Qarabag is not what it used to be anymore in terms of quality.

Who else hates Cluj?


Hands up here I had no idea where they're from (wish I could say I'm knowledgeable enough to know where Red Imps were from but I recognised them already from 2 or 3 seasons ago, they're actually a Gibraltar version of Sheriff, minus the money haha). Saw the red card on a guy with a Georgian name and I thought I was being smart thinking I got their name... but turns out they're from North Macedonia.


Didn't quite recall all of the odds, but yeah, certainly seems like all the favourites more or less took home wins. Qarabag was not the favourite, I do remember. Hibernians had me fooled at first (NOT, as it turns out the same as Hibernian from Scotland).

Not great, not terrible day in betting - 2 wins and 2 losses. In general, probably there was just one surprise that Cluj failed to beat Pyunik. I watched few games. Ballkani - Zalgiris was terrible level game. Away draw for Zalgiris isn't bad result, considering that Ballkani dominated game. As I said, Lech - Qarabag is tricky game, Lech won it 1:0, but they weren't significantly better. Shamrock Rovers beat Hibernians 3:0, well, it was game of different level teams. Vikingur remains in the fight. They were losing 3:1, had 10 players on the pitch for 10 minutes, but late goal made score 3:2 and 2nd leg still will be interesting.

Tuned in the last 20mins of the second half to see what's up with 0-0 score, their starting forward Debeljuh hit the crossbar with a bicycle kick and 5 mins later missed from close range, Pyunik managed to get a corner in those 25mins, pretty lopsided match, annoying they couldn't score at least for me to get the push.

Waiting on the mighty Shkupi to not fuck up in the second half  : https://i.imgur.com/PiV99yN.png

LTU_btc has my money, TNS did really well last season too, but I knew something was going to give and it's on the first leg... Cluj was a solid 15/10 and I thought it was good value. 15 shots and couldn't score though, so the draw kills all my other legs. Malmo half time hope they hold on to the lead as I do have one other smaller ticket (freebet):


No one likes last season's conquerors of Real Madrid? Sheriff should make it at least to 3rd round, no?

The only club I know is Swedish Malmo, who play against Vikings Reykjavik. So I can assume Malmo will win because they did well in the Europa League last season. Maybe Ludogorets will still win today. But so far, the Champions League matches are not very interesting.

CFR 1907 Cluj (-1) @1.86 X

Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad (-2) @1.85  push

Malmo ML + Lech Poznan 1X @1.64  won


I've got Cluj and Ludogorets to both win comfortably before the reverse fixtures, both teams would want to at least qualify for the Europa League group stages, anything less would be considered a disappointment. Pyunik and Sutjeska, no offense to their fans, are inferior in every aspect of the game.

Last season Malmo made it to the Champions League group stages. I was looking at Malmo's stats from their last league game, a loss to Sundsvall, and noticed that they had 37 goal attempts and 20 corners.    This could get ugly for Vikingur, i only have them at the moneyline, but i won't be surprised if it's a blowout victory for the home side.

There is some games with really good value. I'm going with TNS win at home against Linfield @1.85. Last season TNS played very solid in qualifiers, while Linfield is playing Brittish football and they're not good level.
Odds for Malmo and Shkupi wins is low, so I'm making parlay with them.
Another my bet is Cluj away win @1.53 against Pyunik. Lech - Qarabag is most interesting game today, but I skip it, too tricky. But I'll risk with Zalgiris win away against Balkani @2.20.
When betting it's important to pay attention that for some teams it's first game of season, while for others it's mid season.

This thread have buried quickly, too a while to get it out, lol.


PSG are overrated, and it's surely due to the quality of the squad they've got, on paper you've got to agree they've got probably the best squad in the world right, I mean almost like a complete team with multiple options in every position and their 2nd-3rd team combination would still make a pretty decent team, and it's only Liverpool and Man City that tends to be very close to that to that level too.  I would gladly take anything ~1.50 Odds for PSG not win the trophy.
Real Madrid odds looks okay to me I don't think they're are underrated, not to take away the efforts of the team last season in the competition, but they really seemed to be rather lucky with in the trophy, they were outplayed in almost every of those knockout games and should easily have been eliminated, but somehow they just have everything work out in their favour at the end of the day.


That said, we've got series of qualifying matches lined for today. Some of the teams, I'm quite familiar with from their leagues and the odds are enticing enough, the only down part is that it's a 2-legged fixtures now unlike the preliminary rounds.

CFR Cluj, TNS, Ludogorets and Malmo all look like the teams I'd likely back to win today, the odds for Malmo and Ludogorets aren't somewhat very low btw, but the Over 2.5 might a better for them as it would be expected of them to make the most of the advantage playing the 1st leg at home and are also high scoring teams when playing against relatively weaker teams.

Honestly, most of the teams we see these early stages usually are the teams that would end up seeing the europa or even maybe conference leagues and that will be fine. I personally believe that the starting of conference league allowed UCL to be a lot better, because all those smaller clubs could finally have a place that they could fight with the amount of money they have.

Definitely Roma won it last time and they have a good chunk of money, but to fight against 7th of serie A is definitely better than trying to fight against premier league and la liga champions. They will start to play early on for elimination stages, but the ones who go further, will eventually go to europa for sure, and then to conference if they are smart.