Topic: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2022/23 | Qualifying - page 5. (Read 12053 times)

Celje had 4-5 starters from the first match sitting on the bench. I picked them live at the start of the second half, with reasonable odds for o1.5



I can't believe Vikingur are out! They missed a penalty in the 98th minute (struck the left post), with Shamrock down a man. Sparta Prague will ship those lucky leprechauns at least ten goals next round, mark my words.

Not sure about it, for me it's difficultto count on Belarus teams when I see their performance in UEFA cups. Here I went for Pyunik to qualify @1.67. Another my bet is Celje total goals over 2.5 @1.60. Considering that they won first game away 5:0, it shouldn't be difficult for them at home to score some goals,
Struggling a bit to find interesting bets...

Decic +0.5 @1.72  🤑

Scorching hot in Montenegro with temperatures reaching into 40° throughout the day, and around 30° expected during the match, which is far from ideal for football. Regardless of the result of the first match, i think both teams are fairly evenly matched. The home factor and the extreme weather conditions are what i'm banking on here, i can't see Decic lose.

Vikingur Reykjavik to Qualify @1.73  ❌

Vikingur has far more quality than its opponent, honestly unlucky not to lead by at least two or three goals after the first game. I believe oddsmakers have grossly mispriced Vikingur, as evidenced by the opening odds, odds which have since dropped/corrected from 3.20 to 2.20 for the Icelandic squad.


My favorite bet, which i have not locked in yet, is BTTS on Pyunik/Din. Minsk. Of all the match highlights i've seen, this was the most open, end-to-end, with countless chances and final third entries from both sides, that 0-0 doesn't do justice. The two things that concern me are the weather (it's forecasted to be around 30°) and the pitch quality.  It's a wait and see...

The pre-qualifiers for the Champions League is going to start early and to be honest this is ruining the plans of all teams for the season. For example let's take Fenerbahçe players as an example. Ferdi Kadıoğlu joined national team camp for Euro 2024 right after finishing the season. Now he is going to join Fenerbahçe camp shortly. Because Fenerbahçe are going to play in the Champions League pre-qualifiers this season. I think these players need to rest.

When it comes to Fenerbahçe, I guess we have never joined the groups by getting past pre-qualifiers. I hope we can do this with Mourinho who is a winner manager. I think we have a very good squad.

I watched the first 5 minutes of TNS/Decic and Santa Coloma/Ballkani, kinda wanted to get a feel before finalizing my ticket. I missed out on better odds on TNS o1.5 goals by mere seconds, heavy rain pouring on that artificial turf, it was bound to have goals in that one.

Lots of folks got rekt on HJK ML, glad i didn't touch it. Panevezys' having a shit season wasn't enough to turn me against them.

Steaua conceding a late goal in San Marino is a bit suspicious, need to check what happened. Both teams to score No...was somewhat of a popular bet.

Anyway, glad i started with a win, low odds but i will take it...better matches to choose from tomorrow.

37 days after 2023/24 season final in Wembley, qualification of 2024/25 season begin. This season Champions league will have new format, there will be no more groups with 4 teams, but all teams will ne placed in one big group. But qualification format will be same as always.
Today we're starting with 6 games, little warm up before EURO 24 semifinal

After watching EURO, level of these games might look shocking low . Won't put much money on these games, just went with Blkani ML and Virtus -FCSB over 3.5 goals.
P.S. sorry that I bumped this old topic, but didn't wanted to post in any of these spam megathreads.

There is a really short time left for the match week 5 to start in the Champions League. It is nice to be back again after a long break of national matches.

There are some groups which are still pretty complicated and tough. For now I can say they are Group A, E and F. Maybe Bayern Munich have secured their lead mathematically. But the race for the 2nd place still goes on among 3 teams. The Galatasaray - Manchester United match ahead can be very decisive on this. I'm favouring Galatasaray here as they have already defeated them away.

In Group E the fight among top 3 teams is really tense. The Feyenoord - Atletico Madrid match can change things a lot. Atletico Madrid won before maybe but it wasn't easy at all. I'm still favouring them though by trusting their experience. They should be able to put an end to their sadness in the Champions League in the recent seasons.

And in Group F every team have a chance to move on. It feels like PSG will defeat Newcastle home to increase their chance for next round quite much.

on my side I see the odds being the same for both teams, Milan have 2.60 odds while Newcastle also have 2.60 odds, both teams have not been doing well and even though Milan only had one defeat, even so when we look at the games before that defeat and the state in which each team they beat were in, so we will see that Milan may have been lucky, but Newcastle are also not doing well in the Premier League, at least when I compare them with their performance in the Premier League. last season. So in this game it will be very difficult to predict the winner, for me there shouldn't even be a favorite before the game starts. I think the current value of each team's odds is fair, if Milan had beaten Inter, they would probably be considered favorites in this game

But in my opinion, anyone who would bet on Milan winning this game based on Milan's performance in the Inter game could be making a mistake, this is more like a game in which putting money on whoever wins is like trying to guess which lottery ticket it will be. the winner and I wouldn't bet on who will win this game. This is a group of unstable teams this season, PSG are not doing well in Ligue 1 and are coming off a defeat, Dortmund haven't had many wins but haven't had any defeats and are coming off a win, so I hope they can beat PSG, but strangely the bookmakers are putting PSG as the favorite, if it was just that I don't see the problem

but they are giving 1.78 for PSG and 4.10 for Dortmund, the bookmakers are greatly underestimating Dortmund and are placing PSG as favorites when in practice PSG is not superior to Dortmund, in my opinion in this game the odds should also be equal, because both teams are at the same level. But anyway, the bookmakers know what they're doing. but one thing is certain for me: in this group the teams are very unstable and unpredictable and betting on games involving any team in this group is a very high risk. It is probably wiser to bet during the game rather than before the game

The Champions League is going to be underway by the matches tomorrow. There are really lovely matches like Milan - Newcastle and Lazio - Atletico Madrid as well. Especially one thing attracted my attention about Milan - Newcastle matchup. Milan were favoured @2.58 first but now it is the other way around. 

What do you think about this matchup? Milan have technically made a better start this season. I wonder if the reason why the favourite side has changed is Milan's huge defeat in the derby. I think there will be more people betting on Milan rather than Newcastle after seeing the attracting odds.

Hey guys, with group stage coming in just under 2 weeks, I'd like to invite you to join the coming prediction pool. Precise details are still being worked on but you can already check out the first post there to understand how the pools typically run. The new season shouldn't be much different but could introduce a more interactive section that I hope appeals to gamblers.

Check it out and register interest there: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/--5408229

Check the latest posts for updates on what to expect for the upcoming season.

Barcelona group its a fucking joke, seems like they build the group for them to finally see them passin to the group of 16 rounds after a few seasons of being droped to Europa League after the departure of Messi.

Atletico Madrid also have a very easy group to pass into the next stage, i hope to see them in the H2H round.

Very happy about group that Barca got. Most important that we won't face Bayern . Porto will be tough one, but rest teams - Shakhtar and Antwerp doesn't looks capable to compete, probably they will fight for Europa league spot.
Group F is simply group of death. Return of Newcastle to Champions league after 20 years will be tough and it's impossible to predict something there. While Group B - I feel strong Europa league vibe here .

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BTW, maybe I missed something, but are we going to have Champions league pool this year? @buwaytress

Benfica lost Gonçalo Ramos to PSG on loan for this season. He made a huge goal contribution in the Liga Portugal with Joao Mario last season also. The number of their goals combined was nearly the half amount Benfica scored. Because of that we can say that they have lost an important level of power in the attacking line.

But of course they are still a competitive team now. However Real Sociedad's progress shouldn't also be underestimated. They made a good progress in the La Liga last season. Benfica just need to play carefully against them especially in Spain. As long as they do this I also believe in Benfica to reach last 16 round with Inter.

Well, Benfica has to play very badly, really badly, to not get through this group.
In this group, I think that the ones who will pass are Inter and Benfica.
Don't forget that last year Benfica only left the competition after losing to Inter in the quarter-finals.

The groups have been determined in the Champions League. The most difficult group has become Group F indisputably. I want to write my predictions for all the groups now.

Group A: I think that Bayern Munich and Manchester United are going to qualify from the group together.

Group B: I'm waiting for Arsenal and PSV to qualify for the next round. When it comes to Sevilla I expect them to go to the Europa League. Everyone knows what Sevilla will do in the Europa League.

Group C: Napoli and Real Madrid should be qualifying from this group comfortably. I expect Napoli to finish this group as the leader by making a surprise.

Group D: It is really very difficult to make a prediction for this group. I can say that I expect Real Sociedad to qualify from the group beside Inter anyway.

Group E: Atletico Madrid should be the leader comfortably. I expect the 2nd team to be Lazio as well.

Group F: All football lovers will be eyeing this group. I think that Newcastle and Milan will qualify for the next round. And I think PSG will be eliminated surprisingly.

Group G: There is no need to talk about this group much. Man City and Leipzig should be qualifying for last 16 comfortably.

Group H: I think Barcelona and Porto will qualify from the group very comfortably. It would be a surprise for me if Shakhtar even make difficulties for Porto.

In addition to what you said, I would like to add the following. All the opponents we played in the qualifying phase were teams that had played 15-20 games in their league, but our league has just started. There was another important problem for us, our qualifying phase opponents Zalgiris and Molde had artificial turf pitches. As a result, 1- we were not ready yet, 2- our opponents had match fitness, 3- artificial turf was a disadvantage for us. I think it was important to qualify for the group stage despite the big problems. I have no doubt that we will perform better in the group stage once our new signings adapt to the team. I realized that I miss being in the Champions League as a Galatasaray fan. The group draws will be held tomorrow. I am already very excited.

AEK couldn't pull another escape like they did against Dinamo, at least they didn't ruin my acca, that would have been unfortunate...

And after Rangers scored their goal, I thought that they have chance for comeback. But it took just few minutes for de Jong to score his team 3rd goal and end all Rangers dreams. Rangers didn't looked that bad to lose so big, but own goal that they scored was something awful. WTF Goldoson and Butland were doing?
So, I think it's safe to say that there were no big upsets in playoff round and favorites managed to reach group stage.

It was a very easy game for PSV Eindhoven. I didn't think it would end so differently.

FC Copenhagen drew 1-1, but the score of the first game put them in the groups.

Royal Antwerp went to the groups by winning both games. I think they are a weak team for the Champions League.

Score 5-1 now PSV really went on a rampage at the Philips Stadium.
The second half was like a nightmare for the rangers as they kept getting pounded and had already lost momentum after 3 early goals which makes them even more devastated now.
With this result it looks like we already know who the teams will qualify because looking at the time that is almost over not only for PSV alone ensures to be in the group phase because other clubs also Copenhagen and Antwerp ensure they are in the Champions League following Braga, Galatasaray and Young Boys who qualified yesterday.

Hmmm Copenhagen conceded the ball after I wrote this 
But the aggregate is still 2-1 and the clock is now at the 90th minute with only extra time left.