In my opinion, the percentage or chance the team will qualify for the next stage is:
1. Barcelona 20%
2. PSG 80%
3. Liverpool 85%
4. Leipzig 15%
5. Juventus 60%
6. Porto 40%
7. Dortmund 60%
8. Sevilla 40%
9. Chelsea 60%
10. Atletico Madrid 40%
11. Bayern Muenchen 90%
12. Lazio 10%
13. Real Madrid 70%
14. Atalanta 30%
15. Manchester City 90%
16. Moenchengladbach 10%
I don't expect everything I say to be true, some team might have lower or higher odds than I thought. In essence, all team still have a chance, both small and large.
I like your list except that I think Juventus will have a success rate of 100% in qualifying.The reason I say that is because I saw the game at Oporto and the only episodes Porto had were the goals.Juventus dominated the game there but bad luck and a great night for the porto striker stopped them from a win or a draw at minimum.Now in Turin they will win for sure.