We can say that England beat Italy 3-1 in Group C and guaranteed the leadership. Although Italy started the match fast, England, who immediately partnered with harry kane's 2 goals and rashford's goal, knew how to get 3 points by beating 3-1. Ukraine, on the other hand, won 3-1 away from Malta and increased its score to 13 and is now superior to Italy with more than one match. Italy have now lost both of their matches against England. Italy must win their remaining 2 matches if they want to get out of the group. Especially after winning the Macedonia match, they will face Ukraine. It will be a match where the winner of this match will get out of the group.
Italy shall win against macedonian by scoring as many goals as possible. It's caused by italy and ukraine has same points right now. Winning against macedonian will put italy at the second place but the match against ukraine will become most important thing to determine which club that will be qualified for the final tournament. I can't wait lord mudryk will be showing up all of his skill against italy. It will be very interesting and i do believe both italy and ukraine will be using all what they have to win the match.
I expect italy to win against macedonian easily even with narrow score but this is enough in helping italy to have more goals than ukraine.
The game with Macedonians will be passable for Italy, they can win with any score, the main thing as you correctly wrote to beat Ukraine. it is in this match everything will be decided for both teams, of course if Italy does not lose to Macedonia.
In general, Italy can come out to euro even from the third place in the group, because of the Nations League, unlike the Ukrainians.
Italy will be able to play at the Euros even if it takes the third place, but I think that Italy will still play to win, both with Macedonia and Ukraine.