You are right, if this match had taken place last year, I would bet against Barcelona, but now the situation is different.
Xavi have really raised the level of Barcelona’s game and I would say they have a small advantage in this match.
In fact, Barcelona can no longer win any trophies this year other than this trophy, and I think they will do anything to win this competition and thus save the season.
I think this is Barcelona’s most important match of the season.
For a team like Barcelona, winning the Europa League doesn't save the season. This team has to fight for the main competitions, Spanish championship and champions league. Both that this year are lost. Winning the Europa League will be more like a consulship award than anything else.
I don't see it being the most important game, because the most important thing for them is to improve their ranking in the Spanish league as much as possible, in order to ensure that next year they go to the Champions League.
I think we all can agree that Barcelona had a lot of problems in this season. But right now they seem to be overcoming the problems and I can say that they are going to do much better in the next one.
If Barcelona wins this competition, they will automatically win a place in the Champions League next season, regardless of their place in the Spanish championship.
I even think that Barcelona could win the Champions League easier this season through this competition than through a very uncertain and difficult Spanish championship.
Given this, Barcelona will not give up this opportunity to win this competition and thus secure a place in the Champions League next season.
I think that Barcelona is really motivated right now and I believe they can win this competition. I think their main goal should be to win this competition and after that, they will concentrate on the league title next season.
Barcelona have very serious financial problems and in order to survive financially they have to qualify for the Champions League next season.
Does anyone seriously think that Haaland and other top players wants to come to a team that is bad, doesn't win titles and can’t even qualify for the Champions League?
That is why Barcelona has no choice and must qualify for the Champions League, it is their question of life and death.
There is fierce competition in the Spanish league and the fight for the first 4 places in the rankings and that is why Barcelona will not give up trying to win a place in the Champions League by winning the European League.
Xavi has managed to stabilize the team, and even raise the level of the game a bit lately, and it remains to be seen if that will be enough against Napoli.