If this trend continues, then within another decade the exchange rate will be like €1 = $0.50. European economy is in decline. And this is having an impact on the currency as well. There is no short fix here.
And in another decade €1 = $0 , because that's how math works, Mr 40 days in a month?
Check what the parity rate was on x-mas eve in 2016!
As I mentioned in
my previous post, the euro seems to have rebounded a bit following the ECB's announcement last week of a rate hike, in this case by half a percentage point. We will have to see how this turns out, but in any case I believe that rate hikes are healthy, after the massive printing that has taken place in recent years. Will they be able to continue this policy for long? I think it is unlikely.
They've chosen the worst moment to hike rates, why not wait for the US as they were already clearly ahead with those, and then rise the rates for the first time? I said a week ago, that the moment is bad and it won't achieve anything spectacular, let the currency go down as the increased price from 500 billion in energy imports means nothing compared to 5 trillion in exports.
For the first time in the last 5 years, Chinese buyers are again looking for meat products on the European market since their imports from the US are getting to expensive and we have tons (in millions) to sell them, if we balance exports and tourism with energy price hikes I say let it slide down to 90, 95.
I don't know why everyone is focussing on the 1.5 rates when in reality for the last 8 years the euro hasn't been stronger than 1.25 and that just because the US was really in trouble.