...what’s up with the 30k chorus these days… heard it from more than 4 people already
Adolescents think it's cool to be pessimistic.
Some people think that they are engaging in "critical thinking" when they apply such outlier assertions, when in fact they are showing their ignorance of the topic.
Many of us might observe that during a bull market the BTC price mostly does not get within 25% to 50% of the top of the 200-WMA, especially while the bull market is underway, yet at the same time, past happenings and patterns could end up getting broken. Right now
the 200-WMA is about $42.4k and it is moving up around $30 per day. We are about 130% above the 200-WMA.
Of course in the bear markets, the 200-WMA maybe be touched and it may well even end up being breached... so currently the upper $30ks are less than 10% distance from the 200-WMA, yet the lower $30ks are about 30% from the 200-WMA, which the bear market would need to be quite severe for such lower $30ks to be feasible even on the fringes.
Even with our current correction, there are a lot of discussions of buying from governments and institutions, that contribute towards upwards momentum, and sure it could be that sentiment could reverse to the extent that sentiment might affect bitcoin momentum on the margins.
I am still having trouble seeing scenarios in which the so many diptwats selling at or around $100k would be buying back, which maybe their starting to buy back might not meaningfully begin until around $85k or so... Sure it could happen even if I am not considering such scenario to be very likely (but what do I know?).
...what’s up with the 30k chorus these days… heard it from more than 4 people already
Adolescents think it's cool to be pessimistic.
Hmm...preparing for the worst , even when it seems unlikely , isn't bad
I have no problem with ideas of preparing for the worst... financially and psychologically, yet any newbies to the space should be buying regularly, and so hopefully, for their own good they are not employing waiting rather than buying strategies, especially for such pie in the sky scenarios such as $30ks.
Even you, promise444c5, have less than 1.5 years registered in the forum and presumptively similar times in bitcoin, so hopefully you understand the trade-offs involved in regards to figuring out how much value (if any) you should be holding back for buying dips, versus if you are just buying regularly (such as weekly), then it is likely that you regular buys would capture any severe dips that might end up playing out.
There could be scenarios in which even newer bitcoiners save some of their funds for buying dips, yet they have to appreciate the trade offs of holding back such value. I frequently consider a person who is able to lump sum invest, and who ends up lump sum investing a decently large amount into bitcoin, then such lump sum person is in a better position to hold money for buying on dips if he already lump summed a lot of value into bitcoin. Each of us has to figure out the extent to which our already investment into bitcoin might justify holding some value back for possibly buying on dips rather than just buying regularly, consistently and persistently with our money as it comes available each week or however frequently we choose to buy our cornz.