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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 13104. (Read 26719837 times)

legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1501
So what happens now ?


The Mayor is gonna be more sad than usual today ?



This is gonna be a market shark. All the big btc holders gonna continue eating little fish in the cryptocurrency sea.
legendary
Activity: 2145
Merit: 1660
We choose to go to the moon
Unless we stab the toe...
hero member
Activity: 1276
Merit: 622
Looks like a foot.

Bullish.

So you're telling me that the bullish trend is afoot... ? Cool
legendary
Activity: 2145
Merit: 1660
We choose to go to the moon
Looks like a foot.

Bullish.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
I'm such a dumbass. I've been doing it for free...

Merited for a great sense of humour.
legendary
Activity: 1891
Merit: 3096
All good things to those who wait
Or just a bear trap. This is a classical falling wedge pattern btw.  
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wedge_pattern
"When this pattern is found in an uptrend, it is considered a bullish pattern, as the market range becomes narrower into the correction, indicating that the downward trend is losing strength and the resumption of the uptrend is in the making. "
Since the creation of Bitcoin we are in an uptrend, so its resumption is in the making.
I expect a strong breakout soon. Moreover, any moment CFTC will approve ICE futures (the so called bakkt) which is with an actual buying of bitcoins. So we may see above 10K sooner than expected!

If we break out to $10k+ very soon, we're probably not going to hold that price point for long. It would most likely lead to lower lows (sub $5k).

I'd much prefer we go sideways for a while.
Sub 5K is too much. Even now the miners are with a very slim profit. At 5K only those who have free electricity (may be less than 1%) will have any profit in terms of cents. Once we are out of the falling wedge pattern, the trade differs of what we've had before. So even if we don't hold 10K for long, the correction will not be in the 6K area, but much higher - say 8K. Then the upward trend will resume until the next resistance and so on.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo

So what happens now ?




... bitcoiners accumulate, everyone else wets their pants.
hero member
Activity: 1276
Merit: 622
Or just a bear trap. This is a classical falling wedge pattern btw.  
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wedge_pattern
"When this pattern is found in an uptrend, it is considered a bullish pattern, as the market range becomes narrower into the correction, indicating that the downward trend is losing strength and the resumption of the uptrend is in the making. "
Since the creation of Bitcoin we are in an uptrend, so its resumption is in the making.
I expect a strong breakout soon. Moreover, any moment CFTC will approve ICE futures (the so called bakkt) which is with an actual buying of bitcoins. So we may see above 10K sooner than expected!

If we break out to $10k+ very soon, we're probably not going to hold that price point for long. It would most likely lead to lower lows (sub $5k).

I'd much prefer we go sideways for a while.
legendary
Activity: 1891
Merit: 3096
All good things to those who wait
Or just a bear trap. This is a classical falling wedge pattern btw.  
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wedge_pattern
"When this pattern is found in an uptrend, it is considered a bullish pattern, as the market range becomes narrower into the correction, indicating that the downward trend is losing strength and the resumption of the uptrend is in the making. "
Since the creation of Bitcoin we are in an uptrend, so its resumption is in the making.
I expect a strong breakout soon. Moreover, any moment CFTC will approve ICE futures (the so called bakkt) which is with an actual buying of bitcoins. So we may see above 10K sooner than expected!
hero member
Activity: 1276
Merit: 622
Now we fall... Wink

More likely we just keep breaking sideways until we achieve a trigger.

It's complicated ... we need new bulls to return bullish  Angry   HOLD FOREVER  Grin

You spelled n00bs wrong  Wink

You sound like someone who sold the top of the market at $3k.  

1. Feels like it's 50/50 for sideways/down.

2. Nope, I did sell some. But it was all at $10k+.



It means he's a nocoiner or panic-sold low or a paid bear shill  Grin

I'm such a dumbass. I've been doing it for free...
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1230
Privacy Servers. Since 2009.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 13660
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 2758
Merit: 13660
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
@infofront



you just simply do NOT let one hanging on the NR of the beast  Shocked    
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Now we fall... Wink

More likely we just keep breaking sideways until we achieve a trigger.

It's complicated ... we need new bulls to return bullish  Angry   HOLD FOREVER  Grin

You spelled n00bs wrong  Wink

You sound like someone who sold the top of the market at $3k.  
hero member
Activity: 1276
Merit: 622
It's complicated ... we need new bulls to return bullish  Angry   HOLD FOREVER  Grin

You spelled n00bs wrong  Wink
hero member
Activity: 1344
Merit: 500
28K=Buy | Wallet=100% BTC
It's complicated ... we need new bulls to return bullish  Angry   HOLD FOREVER  Grin
hero member
Activity: 1276
Merit: 622
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1188

So what happens now ?


legendary
Activity: 2534
Merit: 1129



These so far unsuccessful about 5 attempts to break below $6k don't necessarily play well for the bear case, but they do not come anywhere close to guaranteeing a bullish scenario either, because for me to feel comfortable and out of the woods, then BTC price is going to have to return comfortably into the area in which it is testing $10k resistance and even perhaps breaking through such resistance - even if such breaking through is NOT sustained, I might become a bit more comfortable that the bottom is already in, and that our current crypto winter (baby winter) is NOT going to be as bad as the 2014-2015 crypto winter (arguably dragging into 2016).




I like your analysis generally. 

Most posters, as you point out, come out with proclamations based on either nothing, or misread/false facts.

Given that nobody has a crystal ball, it takes a bit of skill and experience to express a cogent scenario. Making cases for alternative price moves is nearly always the best way.


'Baby Winter'  :  could be possible, and it helps the case for the bottom being already in. If its a full Winter, then a bottom in the 2-3k range is more possible. I hate the idea of that, but the market often makes us take the worst tasting medicine.

Whichever way, it will be a long climb out, and patience is needed.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
Would you prefer Proudhon?
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