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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 20632. (Read 26710604 times)

legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
$300 printing up ~ could we see $420 party ... Soon™   Cool   lol



We need to receive some free beers from Adam, to inspire us.   Wink Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1320
Merit: 1007
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Posting guild lines:
 Please lets keep this thread clean. ( I will be removing any off topic posts )
The only reason why this thread has outlived all the others on bitcointalk is that the "topic" extends from the walls at least fifty miles in every direction, so it is pretty hard to get "off" it.


That's true.   We are all over the place.

But then again, bitcoin is really a paradigm shifting development that has the potential to touch upon and affect all aspects of life.

 Wink Wink
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000

https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/chinas-cyberspace-administration-acknowledges-bitcoin/
But the CAC is NOT the PBoC, so it was kind of "buy the rumor" thing. I expect sometime in the next weeks an official statement of the PBoC on this. Wink


The thing is I would say the CAC is probably more political and hardline than the PBoC, afterall these are the guys responsible for the great firewall of China. The PBoC is more concerned with economic matters and not civil freedoms. If the CAC is saying it's okay then you might as well accept the Chinese government itself is endorsing it.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
yeap, chinese gov unbanned something that got banned like 10 times.  Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1094
...
My guess is that the month-long rise from ~220 to ~270 was due to MMM's "Republic of Bitcoin" ponzi, while the spike to ~280 over the last two days was due to the VAT decision.
It seems that the VAT news have already been forgotten.  "Wat VAT?"  Cheesy

Most of the rise was a normal market movement after the rather deep correction before.
But the huge buys in China are probably related to this, interpreted as bullish news (authorities friendly towards bitcoin):
https://www.cryptocoinsnews.com/chinas-cyberspace-administration-acknowledges-bitcoin/
But the CAC is NOT the PBoC, so it was kind of "buy the rumor" thing. I expect sometime in the next weeks an official statement of the PBoC on this. Wink
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
story time

Just stumbled over a private tracker site that I thought about signing up for. Polish, pretty active by the looks of it. They ask for a 0.01 BTC sign up contribution. Not overly greedy, which I liked. Made me grin as well. Just like that, some millennials over in Poland, asking me "Want to sign up? Send us a small amount of BTC, it's hassle free and doesn't get blocked."

I don't really care much whether the ETF starts trading this year or not, or if the sound money zealots will have their field day anytime soon. As long as a bunch of kids likely around half my age at the other end of the EU use the Blockchain as an overengineered tipping jar, I'm happy for now.

No sarcasm or bitterness in that last line. Some humbleness maybe, compared to the thoughts I had on the matter two years ago, but only the most cynical of assholes will conflate these two.

/story time

Well, as a representative of the pointing and laughing crowd I can tell you that this story and what it portrays totally makes sense even to me.
I'd even say that I totally support bitcoin for that kind of usage, still.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1316
Merit: 1004

I would be worried if chinese were moving their $ using bitcoin because those millions of coins got to end somewhere.

the truth is that we are building ponzi (MMM) upon ponzi (OK Coin).

Maybe they will put some of those coins back on the market just to have fiat, but I'm starting to think everyone is speculating that the prices are going up very soon, so maybe they will keep a majority of those coins and hang on for the ride... who knows... it's going to be fun to watch, that's all I know.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
story time

Just stumbled over a private tracker site that I thought about signing up for. Polish, pretty active by the looks of it. They ask for a 0.01 BTC sign up contribution. Not overly greedy, which I liked. Made me grin as well. Just like that, some millennials over in Poland, asking me "Want to sign up? Send us a small amount of BTC, it's hassle free and doesn't get blocked."

I don't really care much whether the ETF starts trading this year or not, or if the sound money zealots will have their field day anytime soon. As long as a bunch of kids likely around half my age at the other end of the EU use the Blockchain as an overengineered tipping jar, I'm happy for now.

No sarcasm or bitterness in that last line. Some humbleness maybe, compared to the thoughts I had on the matter two years ago, but only the most cynical of assholes will conflate these two.

/story time
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011



I would be worried if chinese were moving their $ using bitcoin because those millions of coins got to end somewhere.

the truth is that we are building ponzi (MMM) upon ponzi (OK Coin).
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
I would guess the MMM had between 0 and 0/1 effect on price.

Then what is your explanation for that rise?

Pretty god damn obvious, at least 500 billion dollars attempting to leave China, some of which is going into Bitcoin, and the halving is just beginning to start to have an initial price effect.  Negative interests rates gaining steam + more China fever + halving all at the same time = the perfect storm beginning.

http://www.armstrongeconomics.com/archives/38474
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 3056
Welt Am Draht

Thanks for the ELI5.

That's what professors are for. Nice to see him practicing his craft here.
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
Demand (is about to become) > Supply
Saying that "the price rose because of supply and demand" is like saying that the weather is hot because the temperature got higher...

Thanks for the ELI5.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1007
won't make 255 on this run, but will continue to trend up for 8-12 days, to a big test at 270.  fails the test.  retraces to 240, then continues up.
Seems legit.  Should make another run past 270 before any drop, though.

Okay, going out on a limb here.  I expect it to decline starting today.  Top is in for the next few weeks, if so.  My 40% alternative scenario is for 3 more weeks going up, touching 300.  I am playing both of these scenarios, with 60/40 allocation, personally.


So you're saying we either go up or down from here? Pure genius

While I personally disagree (more likely we have another leg up, imo), bolded above is what turns a tautology into a (tradeable) prediction.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1003
I would guess the MMM had between 0 and 0/1 effect on price.
Then what is your explanation for that rise?
Demand (is about to become) > Supply

Demand has always been exactly equal to supply; otherwise you would see unwanted bitcoins scattered on the ground around the bitcoin mines, or kings on their knees begging in vain for bitcoin holders to sell them a single satoshi for all the gold in their kingdoms and the hands of their princesses too.

You mean that more people are now more willing to pay more dollars for 1 BTC.  Fine, but why?  Saying that "the price rose because of supply and demand" is like saying that the weather is hot because the temperature got higher...

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