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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 27732. (Read 26711588 times)

full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
I'd love to see one more drop to the 430-435 range before we go back up again.

Don't get greedy.  Wink

I just want to see my orders filled and after that I'm along for the ride!   Cool
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
I'd love to see one more drop to the 430-435 range before we go back up again.

I guess we see that this weekend.
sr. member
Activity: 270
Merit: 250
huoby outa steam ! ... drop trickle incoming

and

hey ! boy !
member
Activity: 92
Merit: 10
I'd love to see one more drop to the 430-435 range before we go back up again.

Don't get greedy.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
I'd love to see one more drop to the 430-435 range before we go back up again.
legendary
Activity: 1178
Merit: 1014
Hodling since 2011.®
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 250
I am by no means an expert in chart analysis or indicators. But when I look at the 3d chart and the RSI indicator all I see is the fractal repeating itself one more time:



I find this chart particular interesting because there are other indicators the could point to trend reversal (such as the way we have been right at the top of the descending channel and possibly even broken out a few times).

Looking across the 3 sections where we have been overbought you notice that the volume has increased every time. It don't think this means anything...  It is just because Kraken has gotten more customers (which of course is a good thing Smiley)  If you think my interpretation is wrong then please enlighten me.

I think that if you want to do long term analysis thats fair over a period of time you should use an exchange that gets more than a peak of 5700BTC on the 3d chart.

Not saying your observations aren't legit just that volume can tell you a lot and kraken doesn't have much.

Thanks for the feedback. I tried the same thing on Stamp and I think it shows the same pattern. However on Stamp the volume has been decreasing when looking across the 3 sections.
full member
Activity: 126
Merit: 100
huOOobii + biiTTtstammPpeedde =

legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
At last, this thread finally starts looking familiar again! Wink
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1484
Merit: 1002
Strange, yet attractive.
PREPARE TEH TRAINZ!!!1



CH00CH00!!!1
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
I hate huobi. Why is it on the order book I can see 200CNY of the ask side but only 30 CNY of the bid side.
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
Someone want to buy @ Stamp  Cheesy

Edit: It was a 1400 buy wall at 445, but it was removed and divided into smaller bids.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
I am by no means an expert in chart analysis or indicators. But when I look at the 3d chart and the RSI indicator all I see is the fractal repeating itself one more time:



I find this chart particular interesting because there are other indicators the could point to trend reversal (such as the way we have been right at the top of the descending channel and possibly even broken out a few times).

Looking across the 3 sections where we have been overbought you notice that the volume has increased every time. It don't think this means anything...  It is just because Kraken has gotten more customers (which of course is a good thing Smiley)  If you think my interpretation is wrong then please enlighten me.

I think that if you want to do long term analysis thats fair over a period of time you should use an exchange that gets more than a peak of 5700BTC on the 3d chart.

Not saying your observations aren't legit just that volume can tell you a lot and kraken doesn't have much.
sr. member
Activity: 270
Merit: 250
Why is it that bulls speak so emotionally and inappropriately while bears speak so calmly and rationally?

Yeah why is that, fonzie and igoor and mah37 are all such rational posters.


yeah right.

I want fonzie back ! Now !!
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
^^^ notice the difference between the two charts: In 2013 there was a spike down from 100 to 80 after the bottom but it immediately rebounded back up and spent all of the consolidation time near the high of 100 rather than near 80. In 2014 there is a spike down from 540 to 420 but there was no rebound and it is spending all of its consolidation time near 420 and nowhere close to 540.

In 2014 the spike down was from 440 to 340. It rebounded and the consolidation is here now.
I am referring to the first spike down that occured AFTER the reversal

2013:  66 ->105 -> THE SPIKE=80  ->100 ->100->100->100->100   consolidating at high of spike
2014:  340->540-> THE SPIKE=420 ->440->440->440->440->440   consolidating at low of spike

OK. I understand you. But the spike to 80 didn't rebound to 100 immediately.
It rose steady in a diagonal line for 2 weeks .
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
^^^ notice the difference between the two charts: In 2013 there was a spike down from 100 to 80 after the bottom but it immediately rebounded back up and spent all of the consolidation time near the high of 100 rather than near 80. In 2014 there is a spike down from 540 to 420 but there was no rebound and it is spending all of its consolidation time near 420 and nowhere close to 540.

In 2014 the spike down was from 440 to 340. It rebounded and the consolidation is here now.
I am referring to the first spike down that occured AFTER the reversal

2013:  66 ->105 -> THE SPIKE=80  ->100 ->100->100->100->100   consolidating at high of spike
2014:  340->540-> THE SPIKE=420 ->440->440->440->440->440   consolidating at low of spike

OK. I understand you. But the spike to 80 didn't rebound to 100 immediately.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
My new view of the market:



I wouldn't be suprised to see flat for an entire year.

I wouldn't be surprised to see that you're fucking wrong for the 10th time.
Remember your case-in-point during October?



Anyone who thinks bitcoin is staying 500 for a year is delusional. You're not fooling anyone.

Yes I could be wrong. My type of assertion is 'I wouldn't be suprised' and you don't see me placing any bets do you. And why do you think I'm trying to 'fool' someone? What motive could I possibly have for claiming the market will be flat?
You drew a flat line back in October 2013, and you drew a flat line now, have you ever asked yourself that in order for your prediction to be so dead wrong back then, that there must be some personal bias, or fundamentals that you've yet to grasp?

Here's a question: what makes you think prices will flatline around 500, with the huge out turn of adoption news capped off by a possible exchange or two opening in the US?
I'm thinking of a slow transfer of wealth between China and government/hacker/gox coins to the new adopters in the west. There are a ton of huge blocks of coins floating around in the market that have been unaccounted for and alot of it probably needs to be sold. However, it is apparent now that they are in no rush to 'dump' and cause a price drop. So it'll be a slow grind as all the coins are bought out at current rates.

^That's my funadmental-based in speculations.  In charting terms, I see a lot of negative indicators on the weekly chart. We are about to go below the weekly ichimoku cloud even. However, the fundamentals of bitcoin are bullish. So the bullish investors counteracting against the bearish chart = flat.

In 2013 I didn't know what I was doing. There weren't even any negative indicators on the chart then. It was completely bullish, and I was just drawing random lines.
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