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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 31709. (Read 26723770 times)

hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
2k wall at 800. that whale is really trying to push up the price  Shocked

900 or at 800, I'd assume you could lure people down with cheap coins the disappear in the rush on the way down
newbie
Activity: 7
Merit: 0
Can someone explain to me how such a low volume of trades (compared to april of last year) can raise the price this high?
http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadafjaa

You have to measure volume in USD my friend, as the price is going up.
Even in BTC terms, trading volume is historically high.

You've just got to consider all the exchanges.

I guess I didn't take into consideration the other exchanges. Thanks for those charts tho!

legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000
2k wall at 800. that whale is really trying to push up the price  Shocked

legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
sombody just took a chomp out of 875 on gox


Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this $875 wall!
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
i am also wondering, since GOX cannot withdraw money, then it can only mean everyone will buy on GOX and take bitcoin out

if that is the case, GOX should be running out of bitcoin?Huh?


anyone???
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
Roll Eyes

Quoting in context:

Quote
If we go crazy from here (we are already well above/ahead of the long-term trend), the inevitable result is crash. That is the way turbulence works. This makes it relevant to try to estimate the top and the bottom.

My take:
- Top $2200, bottom $475. Before Christmas.

I was following your posts, there is always a crash in your post, each day you post the same prediction,
(emphases mine)


Man, Bitcoin distorts your sense of time beyond remedy...  Cheesy

My first bearish post was this:

I have also increased the odds that we are in a bubble correction to about 75%. That said, I expect the following things happen:

- Lowest recorded trade will be in $2XX range, bigger volume around $300.
- It will take only 3-6 months to regain the old highs.
- Volume will all the time be lower than in previous situations, there is no widespread panic or general capitulation

Two bubbles in 2013  Cheesy Who could have thought...

Beating the yesterday's intraday high (BS: $640, Gox: $750, BTCC: $1000) makes me increase the odds that this is just a weekly consolidation. Every day in declining trend erodes the new investor confidence and induces more and more sales from the earlier investor community.

Check the timestamp - it is 43 hours ago. Not even 2 days!

I previously was a bear for less than 2 days when the April bubble initially popped (correctly), then a short time at $48 last March (failed), a little bearish before the final capitulation in June (correctly), and during all of the bear market in 2011 (correctly, with stellar results). Even if this one proves to be false, I still have 60% track record. (52% is enough to make money, needless to say that the majority is not even close).

Even if I am wrong on this one, I will admit it latest next Monday. This leaves maximum about 10 days (out of 1000) that I have been a bitcoin bear with no reason. 1% of the time. Bear with it.


Yes, I admit that Bitcoin will never go to 2XX anymore. Henry Brade (Technomage) was right, I was wrong. We had a FB debate last week.

I still think that $2200 by Christmas and crash afterwards is a possible and probable scenario. My analysis says that each crash low is 2x the pre-bubble ATH. So the essential content of that post still holds, and I am not about to deny that one.

I give better odds that we see my sale price of $672 that that we don't see it.

$2200 by Christmas!
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
Roll Eyes

Quoting in context:

Quote
If we go crazy from here (we are already well above/ahead of the long-term trend), the inevitable result is crash. That is the way turbulence works. This makes it relevant to try to estimate the top and the bottom.

My take:
- Top $2200, bottom $475. Before Christmas.

I was following your posts, there is always a crash in your post, each day you post the same prediction,
(emphases mine)


Man, Bitcoin distorts your sense of time beyond remedy...  Cheesy

My first bearish post was this:

I have also increased the odds that we are in a bubble correction to about 75%. That said, I expect the following things happen:

- Lowest recorded trade will be in $2XX range, bigger volume around $300.
- It will take only 3-6 months to regain the old highs.
- Volume will all the time be lower than in previous situations, there is no widespread panic or general capitulation

Two bubbles in 2013  Cheesy Who could have thought...

Beating the yesterday's intraday high (BS: $640, Gox: $750, BTCC: $1000) makes me increase the odds that this is just a weekly consolidation. Every day in declining trend erodes the new investor confidence and induces more and more sales from the earlier investor community.

Check the timestamp - it is 43 hours ago. Not even 2 days!

I previously was a bear for less than 2 days when the April bubble initially popped (correctly), then a short time at $48 last March (failed), a little bearish before the final capitulation in June (correctly), and during all of the bear market in 2011 (correctly, with stellar results). Even if this one proves to be false, I still have 60% track record. (52% is enough to make money, needless to say that the majority is not even close).

Even if I am wrong on this one, I will admit it latest next Monday. This leaves maximum about 10 days (out of 1000) that I have been a bitcoin bear with no reason. 1% of the time. Bear with it.


Yes, I admit that Bitcoin will never go to 2XX anymore. Henry Brade (Technomage) was right, I was wrong. We had a FB debate last week.

I still think that $2200 by Christmas and crash afterwards is a possible and probable scenario. My analysis says that each crash low is 2x the pre-bubble ATH. So the essential content of that post still holds, and I am not about to deny that one.

I give better odds that we see my sale price of $672 that that we don't see it.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 500
5k to 800. Not bad.
full member
Activity: 169
Merit: 100
Firstbits : 1Hannes
Even if I am wrong on this one, I will admit it latest next Monday. This leaves maximum about 10 days (out of 1000) that I have been a bitcoin bear with no reason.

 Roll Eyes
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1000
Is btc-e finally catching up? What's wrong with the price on that exchange anyways?

Deposit issues with btc-e :

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/btc-e-usd-deposits-not-working-307729
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1600
Merit: 1014
Forgive my spelling, but it might get interesting when the Chinese start to buy "hong bows" for Chinese New Year
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1070
Hold on a second.

Where are all the bears?  I just reviewed the last couple of pages of this thread and no bear posts?

4 days until $1000. Max.  Today was an important day, tested the bottom of the consolidation channel heavily. Met a ton of resistance.

There is definitely more resistance coming between $850-$1000 and Thanksgiving just makes everything weird, but it looks like the bears may have to live a fight another day.

And actually I am as bummed as anyone, as I'd love to buy some cheaper coins. But, some of us have been preaching the inevitable for days now.

Of course, I may still have egg on my face. Tomorrow will be an interesting day possibly.
legendary
Activity: 1600
Merit: 1014
Seriously, why should somebody still wire money to gox
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
broke the 870.. on a couple of bigger buys.. will it rally, nobody knows Cheesy  lol
legendary
Activity: 2833
Merit: 1851
In order to dump coins one must have coins
Is btc-e finally catching up? What's wrong with the price on that exchange anyways?

Gox is leading some whale has been throwing a lot of money at it. btc-e just follows blindly stamp is resisting a bit
legendary
Activity: 1600
Merit: 1014
Is btc-e finally catching up? What's wrong with the price on that exchange anyways?
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
RMBTB.com: The secure BTC:CNY exchange. 0% fee!
One thing is for sure: These sideways markets really fuck with your mind.

When I see Y5300 in China and shit myself when it goes down to Y4900, I try to remember that it is the same as $53 to $49
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1013
Can someone explain to me how such a low volume of trades (compared to april of last year) can raise the price this high?
http://data.bitcoinity.org/#caaadafjaa

You have to measure volume in USD my friend, as the price is going up.
Even in BTC terms, trading volume is historically high.

You've just got to consider all the exchanges.
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