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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 32558. (Read 26471179 times)

sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Born to chew bubble gum and kick ass
Guys, check my charts above, we have a huge BEARISH RSI divergence and look at how violent the last one was (triangle area in my pic - look what followed that divergence with RSI)

I am not an expert on indicators, but isn't the divergence you spotted a hidden bullish divergence? It certainly isn't a regular divergence (indicating bearishness).
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
Must - resist - short - selling.
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
You guys gonna buy the $92 wall or not?

Not buying with that big RSI divergence.
If it corrects at all like the last one, it is going to be ugly.

I'm ready  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
You guys gonna buy the $92 wall or not?

Not buying with that big RSI divergence.
If it corrects at all like the last one, it is going to be ugly.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
You guys gonna buy the $92 wall or not?
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
rpietila's online
BUY BUY BUY Cheesy

It is almost as if we were friends... Wink
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1801
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?

Bitcoin is a revolutionary technology that is either worth hundreds of $billions or not much. During whole of its history it has been worth "not much" and dissecting the current price movements that (literally) I can create at will, does not lead us anywhere. It is simply too small. 99.9% of money managers have not taken any position yet. It goes to much higher or zero, and it is difficult for it to go to zero, (as well as it is difficult to shut down the internet).

The recent runup in price was an event I did not see many predicting. If it now goes to zero due to (for example) a concerted crackdown on all the exchanges, it does not alter my perception of the long term value. Nobody is forced to sell at zero. I work in gold/silver, and the crash in prices this year has lead to people not selling their scrap silver any more. In 2008 silver was valued officially at $9 per oz, but in 2.5 years it went up to $50.

This is a percentage game. You got a certain percent of coins, good.
rpietila's online
BUY BUY BUY Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner


I think you need to zoom out a bit further... Wink



ya if you zoom out more you can see the smart money take good positions early

the volume  we got on the way down from 266 tho was Crazy!  Cheesy  bitcoin

Well, there was a lot of stupid money exiting those same positions that the smart money was buying into - we always have sellers to match the buyers after all.

The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?

It is not so much what has changed from January. But what has changed since the halving. The thing that is changing is market psychology as everyone tries to figure out how to price in the inflation rate being cut in half, because that fundamental is not going to change for another few years. I think that the price reflects the testing of some of those ideas, and I think there are yet some views about the economic effects of Bitcoin that have yet to be tested. TL;DR I don't think that the effect of halving has been fully priced in yet.  

the next halving will be earlier then predicted again... much earlier, ASIC is crazy shit!   Grin



But the question is, will aggregate supply get ahead of aggregate demand?

I think not. And the relationship of price to the ratio of aggregate demand versus aggregate supply is exponential—not linear.

Boom.

lol, exactly!
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?

Bitcoin is a revolutionary technology that is either worth hundreds of $billions or not much. During whole of its history it has been worth "not much" and dissecting the current price movements that (literally) I can create at will, does not lead us anywhere. It is simply too small. 99.9% of money managers have not taken any position yet. It goes to much higher or zero, and it is difficult for it to go to zero, (as well as it is difficult to shut down the internet).

The recent runup in price was an event I did not see many predicting. If it now goes to zero due to (for example) a concerted crackdown on all the exchanges, it does not alter my perception of the long term value. Nobody is forced to sell at zero. I work in gold/silver, and the crash in prices this year has lead to people not selling their scrap silver any more. In 2008 silver was valued officially at $9 per oz, but in 2.5 years it went up to $50.

This is a percentage game. You got a certain percent of coins, good.

+1
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Guys, check my charts above, we have a huge BEARISH RSI divergence and look at how violent the last one was (triangle area in my pic - look what followed that divergence with RSI)
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?

Bitcoin is a revolutionary technology that is either worth hundreds of $billions or not much. During whole of its history it has been worth "not much" and dissecting the current price movements that (literally) I can create at will, does not lead us anywhere. It is simply too small. 99.9% of money managers have not taken any position yet. It goes to much higher or zero, and it is difficult for it to go to zero, (as well as it is difficult to shut down the internet).

The recent runup in price was an event I did not see many predicting. If it now goes to zero due to (for example) a concerted crackdown on all the exchanges, it does not alter my perception of the long term value. Nobody is forced to sell at zero. I work in gold/silver, and the crash in prices this year has lead to people not selling their scrap silver any more. In 2008 silver was valued officially at $9 per oz, but in 2.5 years it went up to $50.

This is a percentage game. You got a certain percent of coins, good.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner


I think you need to zoom out a bit further... Wink



ya if you zoom out more you can see the smart money take good positions early

the volume  we got on the way down from 266 tho was Crazy!  Cheesy  bitcoin

Well, there was a lot of stupid money exiting those same positions that the smart money was buying into - we always have sellers to match the buyers after all.

The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?

It is not so much what has changed from January. But what has changed since the halving. The thing that is changing is market psychology as everyone tries to figure out how to price in the inflation rate being cut in half, because that fundamental is not going to change for another few years. I think that the price reflects the testing of some of those ideas, and I think there are yet some views about the economic effects of Bitcoin that have yet to be tested. TL;DR I don't think that the effect of halving has been fully priced in yet.  

the next halving will be earlier then predicted again... much earlier, ASIC is crazy shit!   Grin

legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Look at RSI between beginning of May and end of May. Same thing, price decreased and RSI came back up to same levels and then price fell shortly there after. So, bearish divergence?
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner


I think you need to zoom out a bit further... Wink



ya if you zoom out more you can see the smart money take good positions early

the volume  we got on the way down from 266 tho was Crazy!  Cheesy  bitcoin

Well, there was a lot of stupid money exiting those same positions that the smart money was buying into - we always have sellers to match the buyers after all.

The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?

what changed?
well nothing, bitcoin is bitcoin
but lots has happened in 6 short months
And more bitcoin stuff coming soon  Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
I think this (circled areas) is a bullish divergence between price making a lower high and RSI making a higher high. (Or do I have that backwards?)




yes RSI is looking good, it crossed the half way mark. ready to shot up and stay high for a while, i wonder what stocahasts looks like these days...


i say buy now and plan to buy more later  Cool
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100


I think you need to zoom out a bit further... Wink



ya if you zoom out more you can see the smart money take good positions early

the volume  we got on the way down from 266 tho was Crazy!  Cheesy  bitcoin

Well, there was a lot of stupid money exiting those same positions that the smart money was buying into - we always have sellers to match the buyers after all.

The question is though - what has changed since January? Granted, exposure has certainly increased - does that mean BTC is worth 6 times more, 7 months later?
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
I think this (circled areas) is a bullish BEARISH (edit) divergence between price making a lower high and RSI making a higher high. (Or do I have that backwards?)

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