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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 32667. (Read 26709367 times)

legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
Edit: Please explain how on the jump from 130-140+ I was able to buy in fully with my gbp holdings @ 85£ (131$) while the USD market was already at 136$ for a few mins?

With todays exchange rate a sell order at 85£ would show up at 132.0985 * 1,025 = 135.4009625 in the USD market.

Gox could have used an exchange rate so the order showed up above 136 USD.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
I personally think some big money is waiting in the shadows. Imagine if a couple billion moved in right now. Popularity would skyrocket, everyone would go all-in (because the initial billionaire pushed the price up to extreme highs already), pushing the price up even further, earning the billionaire who invested his money a huge ROI? Why wouldn't they do this? Prolly because the market is not liquid enough for this kind of money. Maybe the bitcoin ETF from the winklevii will allow this kind of money to move in.

Who would you even SEND a billion dollars to if you wanted to buy that much bitcoin? Gox? You'd log into your gox account and it would say 1,000,000,000? And you would click "Market order"? Not happening. Not now, probably never on gox.

Well read my post more closely and then you'll notice i said that the market (eg mtgox) is not liquid enough for this kind of purchase. Only a professional market with tons of liquidity would allow this kind of money to move in.
legendary
Activity: 1204
Merit: 1002
RUM AND CARROTS: A PIRATE LIFE FOR ME
I personally think some big money is waiting in the shadows. Imagine if a couple billion moved in right now. Popularity would skyrocket, everyone would go all-in (because the initial billionaire pushed the price up to extreme highs already), pushing the price up even further, earning the billionaire who invested his money a huge ROI? Why wouldn't they do this? Prolly because the market is not liquid enough for this kind of money. Maybe the bitcoin ETF from the winklevii will allow this kind of money to move in.

Who would you even SEND a billion dollars to if you wanted to buy that much bitcoin? Gox? You'd log into your gox account and it would say 1,000,000,000? And you would click "Market order"? Not happening. Not now, probably never on gox.
legendary
Activity: 875
Merit: 1362
It works like this.

In my example 1 EURO = 1.50 USD and Mt.Gox adds a 2.5% exchange fee between currenies.

I place a ask order @ 12.00 USD. This order will also show up at 8.2 EURO. (12 / 1.5 * 1.025)
I place a bid order @ 11.50 USD. This order will also show up at 7.475 EURO. (11.5 / 1.5 * 0.975)

When most orders are placed in USD, it will give a bigger spread at the EURO market because of the 2.5% exchange fee.


If I then place a ask order @ 8.40 EURO, it will show up at 12.915 USD. (8.40 * 1.5 * 1.025)


It's the same orders and the same actors on all Gox markets.

I'm sorry that's just not true they're different markets, you're thinking about funding I think

Edit: Please explain how on the jump from 130-140+ I was able to buy in fully with my gbp holdings @ 85£ (131$) while the USD market was already at 136$ for a few mins?

The front page of the Mt.Gox website states that it is "the only multi-currency Bitcoin trading platform where you can trade with the entire world in your local currency."

Unless they're deceiving us  Shocked
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
It works like this.

In my example 1 EURO = 1.50 USD and Mt.Gox adds a 2.5% exchange fee between currenies.

I place a ask order @ 12.00 USD. This order will also show up at 8.2 EURO. (12 / 1.5 * 1.025)
I place a bid order @ 11.50 USD. This order will also show up at 7.475 EURO. (11.5 / 1.5 * 0.975)

When most orders are placed in USD, it will give a bigger spread at the EURO market because of the 2.5% exchange fee.


If I then place a ask order @ 8.40 EURO, it will show up at 12.915 USD. (8.40 * 1.5 * 1.025)


It's the same orders and the same actors on all Gox markets.

I'm sorry that's just not true they're different markets, you're thinking about funding I think

No, you are wrong.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
It works like this.

In my example 1 EURO = 1.50 USD and Mt.Gox adds a 2.5% exchange fee between currenies.

I place a ask order @ 12.00 USD. This order will also show up at 8.2 EURO. (12 / 1.5 * 1.025)
I place a bid order @ 11.50 USD. This order will also show up at 7.475 EURO. (11.5 / 1.5 * 0.975)

When most orders are placed in USD, it will give a bigger spread at the EURO market because of the 2.5% exchange fee.


If I then place a ask order @ 8.40 EURO, it will show up at 12.915 USD. (8.40 * 1.5 * 1.025)


It's the same orders and the same actors on all Gox markets.

I'm sorry that's just not true they're different markets, you're thinking about funding I think

Edit: Please explain how on the jump from 130-140+ I was able to buy in fully with my gbp holdings @ 85£ (131$) while the USD market was already at 136$ for a few mins?
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Well i can imagine people having huge losses (or wins, but rather the former i think) using these bot strategies. After all, nobody knows what's going to happen next. All you can do is bet. Yes there are some indicators but markets love to disappoint.
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
It works like this.

In my example 1 EURO = 1.50 USD and Mt.Gox adds a 2.5% exchange fee between currenies.

I place a ask order @ 12.00 USD. This order will also show up at 8.2 EURO. (12 / 1.5 * 1.025)
I place a bid order @ 11.50 USD. This order will also show up at 7.475 EURO. (11.5 / 1.5 * 0.975)

When most orders are placed in USD, it will give a bigger spread at the EURO market because of the 2.5% exchange fee.


If I then place a ask order @ 8.40 EURO, it will show up at 12.915 USD. (8.40 * 1.5 * 1.025)


It's the same orders and the same actors on all Gox markets.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 1000
Interesting, at exactly the same time that 1262 btc buy was initiated on the USD market, an 883 btc buy was triggered on the euro market. Maybe someone had a bot configured the moment someone buys hard on the USD market?

It's the same market.

It's not the same market.

And yes, there are bots on EUR and GBP markets that follow strictly fast movements of USD markets because volume is so low on those they would always be behind on price otherwise.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Yes, they have more or less the same price, but they're still two different markets with different actors. It just struck me as interesting that those 2 buys were simultaneous.
legendary
Activity: 1193
Merit: 1003
9.9.2012: I predict that single digits... <- FAIL
Interesting, at exactly the same time that 1262 btc buy was initiated on the USD market, an 883 btc buy was triggered on the euro market. Maybe someone had a bot configured the moment someone buys hard on the USD market?

It's the same market.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
Interesting, at exactly the same time that 1262 btc buy was initiated on the USD market, an 883 btc buy was triggered on the euro market. Maybe someone had a bot configured the moment someone buys hard on the USD market?
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1000
I owe my soul to the Bitcoin code...
Hello 148!!   Shocked Shocked Shocked

Looks like some lag too.
sr. member
Activity: 444
Merit: 250
Rally time again! ~5000K buy? Sweet.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
I personally think some big money is waiting in the shadows. Imagine if a couple billion moved in right now. Popularity would skyrocket, everyone would go all-in (because the initial billionaire pushed the price up to extreme highs already), pushing the price up even further, earning the billionaire who invested his money a huge ROI? Why wouldn't they do this? Prolly because the market is not liquid enough for this kind of money. Maybe the bitcoin ETF from the winklevii will allow this kind of money to move in.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3122
Merit: 1538
yes
1 hour indicators have cooled. Whale may step in between now and a day.

Do you think the whale has been following the 1hr chart more?

I don't know, but looking in the recent past, whales stepped in when the 1/2 hour indicators had cooled down or went slightly negative. This is the hardest part of waiting.
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