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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 32835. (Read 26468516 times)

legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
According to well-established sources:
If it keeps on raining
levee's going to break



nice metaphor
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Anyone think these circled patterns resemble (perhaps not exactly) symmetrical triangles on a falling price?
Not sure how accurate a 4hour chart is but I'd say we are about to break down a bit here...

yep! something will happen at the end of the triangle, but I don't think we can be 100% sure about a fall.. In the middle of your chart we can see also a triangle followed by a rise (between your 2d and 3d triangles)

Yes, but there is one noticeable difference that I didn't get in the picture. The 3 that I circled were preceded by high volume, not the other one. (Actually, you can see a bit of the 3 tops I'm talking about).

But I agree with you, we don't know...

According to well-established sources:
If it keeps on raining
levee's going to break
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
The only thing that can save your precious Bitcoin price now is another MtGox problem.

Mouhahahah!


I think the price will go up. I'm feeling bearish and I'm always wrong  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Anyone think these circled patterns resemble (perhaps not exactly) symmetrical triangles on a falling price?
Not sure how accurate a 4hour chart is but I'd say we are about to break down a bit here...

yep! something will happen at the end of the triangle, but I don't think we can be 100% sure about a fall.. In the middle of your chart we can see also a triangle followed by a rise (between your 2d and 3d triangles)

Yes, but there is one noticeable difference that I didn't get in the picture. The 3 that I circled were preceded by high volume, not the other one. (Actually, you can see a bit of the 3 tops I'm talking about).

But I agree with you, we don't know...
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
The only thing that can save your precious Bitcoin price now is another MtGox problem.

Mouhahahah!
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 250
Anyone think these circled patterns resemble (perhaps not exactly) symmetrical triangles on a falling price?
Not sure how accurate a 4hour chart is but I'd say we are about to break down a bit here...

yep! something will happen at the end of the triangle, but I don't think we can be 100% sure about a fall.. In the middle of your chart we can see also a triangle followed by a rise (between your 2d and 3d triangles)
hero member
Activity: 634
Merit: 500
Anyone think these circled patterns resemble (perhaps not exactly) symmetrical triangles on a falling price?
Not sure how accurate a 4hour chart is but I'd say we are about to break down a bit here...


The last one looks upside down. I'm going to say up.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
Anyone think these circled patterns resemble (perhaps not exactly) symmetrical triangles on a falling price?
Not sure how accurate a 4hour chart is but I'd say we are about to break down a bit here...

sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
Learn to use [img width=200] people.  Tongue
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
Judging from this thread, I think many people here are buying high.



The forums supply must be pretty good.
Have to converge with this.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1782
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
The only reason someone is buying on ox now is to cash out on a exchange with USD withdrawals.  That's why there's a continued spread against the non-gox exchanges.

Prices will continue to slowly decrease.  Note that it won't be a sudden crash because now that so many cash outflow conduits are cut, it's much more difficult to withdraw the cash.  On CampBX for example, dumpin 500 coins will slip the price almost $20.   ...so people will be unloading slowly.

There's no upside here.  Adoption of BTC is well below the hype, and the public mindset, post-crash, that it's more like a pyramid scheme than a currency.

The underlying demand for btc purchases can be sustained by a price of under $10 (especially now with all the capital controls).   ...but think about that for a moment.   A loss of over 90% of the current price over the next few months will have a deleterious impact on the cash flows with various exchanges, which could cause some significant turbulence even at the bottom.  Some exchanges / services allow for margin / leverage.  Those exchanges may not be able to tolerate wild price swings and may end up insolvent overnight.

...so all in all, it's going to be a turbulent time.  Make sure to only play with money you don't mind losing.

I don't doubt what you say. The thing we have to fear with a high price is that we get noticed. It is better to have a low profile for the next year or two, build the infrastructure up and then take off. I imagine there will be a bit of accumulation during that time and the next move up will make the last one seem tame by comparison. A lot of this depends on what happens with our economic system though and the world situation.

If it comes down and believers accumulate more and then later the price is sky high, I hope those with lots will help society to go forward as things might be getting ugly the next few years.
Let us not forget the true purpose here. We are slowly adopting a new system and supplanting one that has been responsible for enslaving mankind via wars, usury, etc. for thousands of years.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
The only reason someone is buying on ox now is to cash out on a exchange with USD withdrawals.  That's why there's a continued spread against the non-gox exchanges.

Prices will continue to slowly decrease.  Note that it won't be a sudden crash because now that so many cash outflow conduits are cut, it's much more difficult to withdraw the cash.  On CampBX for example, dumpin 500 coins will slip the price almost $20.   ...so people will be unloading slowly.

There's no upside here.  Adoption of BTC is well below the hype, and the public mindset, post-crash, that it's more like a pyramid scheme than a currency.

The underlying demand for btc purchases can be sustained by a price of under $10 (especially now with all the capital controls).   ...but think about that for a moment.   A loss of over 90% of the current price over the next few months will have a deleterious impact on the cash flows with various exchanges, which could cause some significant turbulence even at the bottom.  Some exchanges / services allow for margin / leverage.  Those exchanges may not be able to tolerate wild price swings and may end up insolvent overnight.

...so all in all, it's going to be a turbulent time.  Make sure to only play with money you don't mind losing.

Bingo
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
The only reason someone is buying on ox now is to cash out on a exchange with USD withdrawals.  That's why there's a continued spread against the non-gox exchanges.

Prices will continue to slowly decrease.  Note that it won't be a sudden crash because now that so many cash outflow conduits are cut, it's much more difficult to withdraw the cash.  On CampBX for example, dumpin 500 coins will slip the price almost $20.   ...so people will be unloading slowly.

There's no upside here.  Adoption of BTC is well below the hype, and the public mindset, post-crash, that it's more like a pyramid scheme than a currency.

The underlying demand for btc purchases can be sustained by a price of under $10 (especially now with all the capital controls).   ...but think about that for a moment.   A loss of over 90% of the current price over the next few months will have a deleterious impact on the cash flows with various exchanges, which could cause some significant turbulence even at the bottom.  Some exchanges / services allow for margin / leverage.  Those exchanges may not be able to tolerate wild price swings and may end up insolvent overnight.

...so all in all, it's going to be a turbulent time.  Make sure to only play with money you don't mind losing.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
there is also a strong divergence in the chaikin money flow
That is much more pronounced than on the chart I posted. Either way, we should have a move to the downside. In my chart it would be a correction but the break below 100 could start a stampede.

Yes we need need really strong support at 85 -100, so we do not end up under my 50 ...

We are going to end up under 50.
full member
Activity: 462
Merit: 101
A Top Web 3 Gaming Layer2 Provider
there is also a strong divergence in the chaikin money flow
That is much more pronounced than on the chart I posted. Either way, we should have a move to the downside. In my chart it would be a correction but the break below 100 could start a stampede.

Yes we need need really strong support at 85 -100, so we do not end up under my 50 ...
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
If you follow the market book / depth:

(Sort of using the bitcoinchannel.com guys' method)

The sales figures have been steadily rising. Today is the highest value since mid may, around 133k
The 100k sales mark in $$$ is the lowest level since mid may. This is bearish.
Sum of sales within a $5 range have vastly overtaken buys within a $5 range.

Basically, most of the indicators look bearish to me. It is not the end of the world bearish, but something to watch closely the next few weeks.

IAS

ps - If todays candle remains red it is a Bearish confirmation after the last two indecisive days. Further it encompasses yesterdays "top" formation body.
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 1000
Antifragile
there is also a strong divergence in the chaikin money flow



That is much more pronounced than on the chart I posted. Either way, we should have a move to the downside. In my chart it would be a correction but the break below 100 could start a stampede.

legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
Judging from this thread, I think many people here are buying high.



The forums supply must be pretty good.
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