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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 33405. (Read 26497166 times)

full member
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Here's a bottleneck for you "singularity" guys that ultimately limits the height of parabolic rises: Infrastructure. Remember when MtGox had an order queue of up to 75 minutes filled with market sells? Think this can't happen again in some other variation? Think again.

Infrastructure? What makes you think that MtGox past troubles in coping with demand will having anything to do with the patterns of future adoption?   Roll Eyes This was when Bitcoin had a central point that could be swamped like that. We are already seeing that change, we are already seeing the infratstructure rise, and it will only start coming faster. New exchanges popping up, many only in beta, and of course OpenTransactions stands to change the whole game. Infrastructure will rise to meet the demand much faster than you think because there is so much profit potential.
You underestimate the power(and speed) of hype, greed, competition, and logical thinking when applied to a digital free market with sound foundations.
Rome wasn't built in a day because they had to lug around rocks.

Actually, the link is even stronger. Competition -> Race to improve -> Increased infrastructure. Just look what the intense competition between miners has lead to: The biggest computational network in the world created, biggest by a fair margin. Bitcoin naturally incentivises competition, due to its fast transfer times (making switching between competitors easy) and its open-source nature (meaning one competitor can't monopolize some part of the client in some way). Now with miners the competition is induced in the protocol itself. I don't think the competition between exchangers will ever become as intense as that, so the exchanges will naturally lag behind a bit. However, it still is only a matter of time before Bitcoin exchanges obtain the type of infrastructure that the miners already have obtained. As such I don't think there is much need to worry.
legendary
Activity: 1148
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I said "in some other variation". Similar things could occur with the Bitcoin client network (see blocksize limit) for instance.

Also, while MtGox is throwing over a little crums for the other exchanges, I don't see it losing its status as #1 exchange anytime soon. In 2011, Tradehill popped up and took some of MtGox's market share. Tradehill vanished. A couple other exchanges that were highest in volume following MtGox got hacked or closed due to legal trouble.

It's too bad, but there is no singularity in Bitcoin infrastructure and it will be a limiting factor for quite some time.

Anyway, we should settle it and maybe one of us will remember the 300k USD prediction in December 2013 and laugh at the other. Grin

We will laugh for sure about the 300k usd prediction in December 2013, whatever the price will be

And we should ask rpietila to share with you a little bit of the shit he is smoking while he is not hospitalized, it may help you to control the butthurt 2011 bear syndrome inside you Wink
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
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I said "in some other variation". Similar things could occur with the Bitcoin client network (see blocksize limit) for instance.

Also, while MtGox is throwing over a little crumbs for the other exchanges, I don't see it losing its status as #1 exchange anytime soon. In 2011, Tradehill popped up and took some of MtGox's market share. Tradehill vanished. A couple other exchanges that were highest in volume following MtGox got hacked or closed due to legal trouble this year.

It's too bad, but there is no singularity in Bitcoin infrastructure and it will be a limiting factor for quite some time.

Anyway, we should settle it and maybe one of us will remember the 300k USD prediction in December 2013 and laugh at the other. Grin
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
bears might have a shot at winning this battle if they come together and start dumping now the FUD won't last much longer...
legendary
Activity: 2352
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1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 250
Here's a bottleneck for you "singularity" guys that ultimately limits the height of parabolic rises: Infrastructure. Remember when MtGox had an order queue of up to 75 minutes filled with market sells? Think this can't happen again in some other variation? Think again.

Infrastructure? What makes you think that MtGox past troubles in coping with demand will having anything to do with the patterns of future adoption?   Roll Eyes This was when Bitcoin had a central point that could be swamped like that. We are already seeing that change, we are already seeing the infratstructure rise, and it will only start coming faster. New exchanges popping up, many only in beta, and of course OpenTransactions stands to change the whole game. Infrastructure will rise to meet the demand much faster than you think because there is so much profit potential.
You underestimate the power(and speed) of hype, greed, competition, and logical thinking when applied to a digital free market with sound foundations.
Rome wasn't built in a day because they had to lug around rocks.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
I think of Bitcoin as a sort of future. The pricing will always be ahead of actual adoption rates, because if people expect there to be more adoption in a month from now, people will expect the price to be higher a month from now, so they will buy bitcoins now to profit a month from now, driving the price up now.
full member
Activity: 194
Merit: 100
Here's a bottleneck for you "singularity" guys that ultimately limits the height of parabolic rises: Infrastructure. Remember when MtGox had an order queue of up to 75 minutes filled with market sells? Think this can't happen again in some other variation? Think again.

Spot on. However... a solid infrastructure can ( must? ) be built on top a large ecosystem of users. Traders are kind of meta-users, if adoption starts to spread, then trading it's just there in it's corner and it's no biggie if Gox or whatever market is down.
It worries me to a certain degree that there doesn't appear to be a steady growth of services and stores accepting bitcoins.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
And who is to say this might not happen again, but for instance with "Bitcoin is illegal and it's dead"? Remember that those sentiments only are created once the price has already fallen for a longer time. Bitcoin was only declared dead by Wired near its very bottom at 2.

I'm willing to bet that we are going to see 4 digits within a few years, but boy, do most of the newcomers here have unrealistic expectations.

Here's a bottleneck for you "singularity" guys that ultimately limits the height of parabolic rises: Infrastructure. Remember when MtGox had an order queue of up to 75 minutes filled with market sells? Think this can't happen again in some other variation? Think again.

Fucking right.  Grin
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
And who is to say this might not happen again, but for instance with "Bitcoin is illegal and it's dead"? Remember that those sentiments only are created once the price has already fallen for a longer time. Bitcoin was only declared dead by Wired near its very bottom at 2.

I'm willing to bet that we are going to see 4 digits within a few years, but boy, do most of the newcomers here have unrealistic expectations.

Here's a bottleneck for you "singularity" guys that ultimately limits the height of parabolic rises: Infrastructure. Remember when MtGox had an order queue of up to 75 minutes filled with market sells? Think this can't happen again in some other variation? Think again.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
BMOT just created. VC's throwing in money. We have seen the rise of speculative interest go all the way to $266, wait 'till you see demand. Christmas 2013? 7 months? In Bitcoin time? Please.

Can you tell me where this "Bitcoin time" was when the price topped out June 2011 for nearly 2 years and lost ~94% of its value within 5 months? Sure sure, we will go way beyond 300k USD by Christmas 2013.

Date Registered:    10-04-2013, 11:37:30

Oh, that explains it.

in 2011 you'd go around and ask people about bitcoin on forums and stuff, and anyone that heard about it was convinced it was hacked and it was dead.

also trying to explain to someone ( avg joe ) the situation was not easy, even if they could be made to understand that it was a service that was hacked and not bitcoin itself, they had 0 faith that bitcoin would not work because of the central points of failure.

please though i was stupid for buying at the first sign of recovery. " your stupid for not having sold them at 32, sell them now they will worthless "
N12
donator
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1010
BMOT just created. VC's throwing in money. We have seen the rise of speculative interest go all the way to $266, wait 'till you see demand. Christmas 2013? 7 months? In Bitcoin time? Please.

Can you tell me where this "Bitcoin time" was when the price topped out June 2011 for nearly 2 years and lost ~94% of its value within 5 months? Sure sure, we will go way beyond 300k USD by Christmas 2013.

Date Registered:    10-04-2013, 11:37:30

Oh, that explains it.
sr. member
Activity: 454
Merit: 250


Guys are you forgetting, we will be at $300,000 by December  Roll Eyes


We will. Smiley

per mbtc, it is feasible..

BMOT just created. VC's throwing in money. We have seen the rise of speculative interest go all the way to $266, wait 'till you see demand. Christmas 2013? 7 months? In Bitcoin time? Please.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
chart buddy broken  Cry

ChartBuddy is seized by the US government


lets file a class action lawsuit, for mass emotional distress
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
chart buddy broken  Cry

ChartBuddy is seized by the US government
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 1819
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1037
Trusted Bitcoiner
(disclaimer: I'm ultrabull, non-hospitalized)
LOL! it's so typical for this thread, that one has to add this disclaimer and it's not even an exaggeration :-p

(disclaimer: I'm ultrabull, non-hospitalized)

(disclaimer: I'm ultrabull,  stopped taking my meds 6 years ago.)
hero member
Activity: 763
Merit: 500
(disclaimer: I'm ultrabull, non-hospitalized)
LOL! it's so typical for this thread, that one has to add this disclaimer and it's not even an exaggeration :-p

(disclaimer: I'm ultrabull, non-hospitalized)
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 501
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