How much UP movement in BTC price does it take before you personally are going to start to believe that the bottom for this particular correction is "in"?
By the way, if you have not looked at the BTC price charts recently (out of fear, detachment or for whatever other personal reasons) our current bottom is at $32,951 - nearly 4 days ago as I type this post.
Yesterday (or was it the day before? the days all mix together sometimes, no?), I had already provided my tentative answer to this question, but I would not mind hearing what other WO posters consider a sufficient UPpity BTC price threshold in order to start to feel a wee bit cocky that the bottom for this correction may well be "in" (sure your might want to account for time, too.. but mostly I am trying to focus on price in this here question with a kind of presumption that the threshold could get crossed in the next 1 hour to 6 months).
Here are the response options:
1) Already enough UPpity to proclaim the bottom is "in".
2) Getting above $38k for more than a few hours will be enough
3) Getting above $40k
4) Getting above $42k
5) Getting above $46k
6) Getting above $50k
7) Getting above $55k
8.) Getting above $62k
9) Getting above some other price level not listed above (and perhaps some additional criteria?)
Pray tell. Opinions matters, especially the opinion of uie pooie (I won't even make any exceptions here.. for the sake of inclusivity.. hahahahahaha)
I think your natural bullish bias (I can't blame you and completely understand) seems to be clouding your vision of general sentiment. I'm seeing a lot of peeps who were quite Bullish in August '21 now saying "it's crypto winter, buckle up for the long Bear cycle." Granted sentiment is not EVERYTHING, but it certainly a significant factor! I'm afraid we're going to see a bit lower numbers than $32,951... but I am also pretty certain that there are a lot of Dollar$ waiting to jump in at the high $20k to low $30k mark. So I expect we'll see the price retest the $28k support and find an unexpectedly strong level of new money entering in that area. Then if the right Hopium drops at the right time, we could see a sudden bounce to the low $50k's which could be enough to trigger a FOMO surge combined with a short squeeze. If not, we may drift along sideways a bit more and retest down to $24k-$25k arena. At which time I would certainly hope we'd get enough bounce to trigger a 2x daily candle leading into ano5her Bullish scenario.
So I guess if I was forced into the framenings of your specific (possibly misguided) question, my answer would be somewhere between 6&7... but I just think there are many more factors involved than your scenario allows for...
Dweeb!