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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 5319. (Read 26720633 times)

legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
Some perspective

BTC this time 12 months ago $9158.07

We still up 250%
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
Hey! Where's everyone? Only @ChartBuddy and @LFC_Bitcoin observing right now?
Come on!
Everybody is good at observing when the price is pumping.
The real WO gang is when price is boring!



Shorts are at a yearly high. I don’t really understand what’s going on. Do they know something we don’t, some kind of epic incoming FUD about to break?



There’s a massive whale on Bitfinex who keeps adding to his shorts.



$25,000 incoming or a massive short squeeze?
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
Hey! Where's everyone? Only @ChartBuddy and @LFC_Bitcoin observing right now?
Come on!
Everybody is good at observing when the price is pumping.
The real WO gang is when price is boring!



Shorts are at a yearly high. I don’t really understand what’s going on. Do they know something we don’t, some kind of epic incoming FUD about to break?



There’s a massive whale on Bitfinex who keeps adding to his shorts.



$25,000 incoming or a massive short squeeze?
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 17063
Fully fledged Merit Cycler - Golden Feather 22-23
Hey! Where's everyone? Only @ChartBuddy and @LFC_Bitcoin observing right now?
Come on!
Everybody is good at observing when the price is pumping.
The real WO gang is when price is boring!

legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
sr. member
Activity: 722
Merit: 389
Time to Bounce BTC... Otherwise...
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 4004
Merit: 4656
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 4354
Merit: 3614
what is this "brake pedal" you speak of?
It just seems likely that the coins will simply never move and the longer they don't move, the likelier that is to remain. And it keeps everything simple, nothing moves, nothing is really burned, they are just all where they are. Any coins that have not moved in the last ten years, would seem unlikely they will ever move at all, except for those few miners who were not Satoshi, and there will be news when a coin mined in 2009 moves.

satoshis early coins were P2PK (pay to public key) so are vulnerable to attack by quantum computers as the public key is known. but then satoshi went to P2PKH (pay to public key Hash) so will remain.. so satoshis early P2PK coins will be swept up when quantum computers get powerful enough. 10-20 years is whats ive read here and there.

...maybe. as i barely understand any of this. so someone correct me if wrong please.
legendary
Activity: 4004
Merit: 4656
Let's see what the weekend would bring.

I am amazed by all these unnecessary calculations with an uncertain premise.
The best decision was obviously buying in a lump sum for at least the latter half of 2014, 2015, 2016, first half of 2017, the latter half of 2018 and the first half of 2020, which constitutes more than 50% of bitcoin life. Why make it complicated when it was (and will be at some point when this bear is over) so simple?
I have pursued this stategy myself and I am happy with the results so far.

Buy in a lump sum when it is cheapTM. How to measure "cheap" is another question.
legendary
Activity: 3962
Merit: 11519
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
It is at 34K usd right now and i think it will go to 40K usd by the 3rd quarter of this year. Hoping so to gain some profit on my trading Grin

Seems to me, that you darkangelosme, need to think MOAR BIGGER.

🚨🚨Bearflag 🚨🚨

be careful guys

I am shaking in my boots.

So I saw this image and it hit me hard and really wanted to share with you guys


Source: Bitcoin.all

But I am little bit confused which dip she might be talking about? Grin.The cheese garlic one or the real one  Wink

That's the million dollar question...

how much dip is enough dip, and what should be my plan to deal with such seemingly ongoing (and never-ending) dippenings?
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
https://medium.com/blockstream-markets-weekly/blockstream-markets-weekly-june-25-2021-d79a159737c8

- Paraguay eyes BTC as legal tender
- El Salvador to distribute $30 of BTC to citizens
- Citibank launches BTC unit
- Cathie Wood buys the dip
- New ETFs launch in Brazil and the Middle East
- Sichuan turns up the heat on miners
- and Elon agrees to Bitcoin talk with Jack
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
legendary
Activity: 3416
Merit: 1912
The Concierge of Crypto
[...]
If you read a lot of FIRE related websites and blogs, you'll have an idea of a typical allocation like 60/40 equities/fixed income.


Wouldn't say 60/40 is typical with a 4% withdrawal rate. Too passive. You need to either decrease the withdrawal rate or increase the S&P500/VTI allocation.
Data from the updated Trinity study (pre 2020/2021 brrrrr):


https://thepoorswiss.com/updated-trinity-study/

The so called 4% SWR should be adjusted down now, because a lot of rates are down, and of course a smaller withdrawal rate ensures your money last longer, hopefully until you are gone. At least until then.

The original study also uses 30 years. I'd think that for those who are risk averse, the safest is to plan for as long as realistically possible, but then again many things can happen in 30 years and most people are flexible enough to prepare for it.

The safe thing to try to do is lower withdrawal rate, increase your FI target more than the 4% / 25x rule (meaning, save or invest more), and target longer.

If you can somehow get more than 30x to 40x your annual expenses, withdraw less than 3% or even 2% per year, then you are more likely to have your retirement money last longer than 50 to 60 years. If you don't live long enough to spend it all, your heirs will have something.
legendary
Activity: 2242
Merit: 3523
Flippin' burgers since 1163.
[...]
If you read a lot of FIRE related websites and blogs, you'll have an idea of a typical allocation like 60/40 equities/fixed income.


Wouldn't say 60/40 is typical with a 4% withdrawal rate. Too passive. You need to either decrease the withdrawal rate or increase the S&P500/VTI allocation.
Data from the updated Trinity study (pre 2020/2021 brrrrr):


https://thepoorswiss.com/updated-trinity-study/
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
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