as custodians and managers of their assets (fiat, Bitcoin or whatever else comes along).
Disagree. As soon as you have custodians, you have promissory notes and as soon as you have promissory notes, we're right back where we were.
I have no doubt this is a problem that can be solved without throwing the Bitcoin baby out with the bathwater.
There are two reasons we are not right back to where we are.
1. The underlying system is sound.
2. You are not forced to participate in any of these banks, and can indeed be your OWN bank if you wish.
I think that is the distinction that is part of the solution you are predicting. Custodians can compete to offer advantages to users. Security, reliability, etc.
The problem is not primarily that we use promissory notes. But that the foundation on which those promises were made was faulty.
Would you not agree that gold backed currencies had a stronger footing than ones backed by debt? The problem will be if and when governments figure out how to regain control over the base currency. I think bitcoin is going to make that VERY difficult.
Actually there is a very good reason for Bitcoin-backed banks to exist, issuing their own digital cash currency, redeemable for bitcoins. Bitcoin itself cannot scale to have every single financial transaction in the world be broadcast to everyone and included in the block chain. There needs to be a secondary level of payment systems which is lighter weight and more efficient. Likewise, the time needed for Bitcoin transactions to finalize will be impractical for medium to large value purchases.
Bitcoin backed banks will solve these problems. They can work like banks did before nationalization of currency. Different banks can have different policies, some more aggressive, some more conservative. Some would be fractional reserve while others may be 100% Bitcoin backed. Interest rates may vary. Cash from some banks may trade at a discount to that from others.
George Selgin has worked out the theory of competitive free banking in detail, and he argues that such a system would be stable, inflation resistant and self-regulating.
I believe this will be the ultimate fate of Bitcoin, to be the "high-powered money" that serves as a reserve currency for banks that issue their own digital cash. Most Bitcoin transactions will occur between banks, to settle net transfers. Bitcoin transactions by private individuals will be as rare as... well, as Bitcoin based purchases are today.