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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 5322. (Read 26709933 times)

legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
I've seen hollerith code stacks that had lines on them like that and never knew why!

Truth is, I've never seen a deck and I think I've only ever seen one punch-card in the wild that wasn't behind glass in a museum. Just some random info I picked up along the way. I got in in the 8-bit days so maybe I'd put my key on one of these:



I've got an idea about making something out of glass sometime. It wouldn't be as hard-wearing as stainless steel but would have some advantages. 256 bits is only 16x16
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
I think another way to increase entropy is to shuffle between draws. 

That PDF I linked says each reshuffle adds 46 IIRC, Its a interesting read but beyond me.
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912

its actually a half trillion...there was a typo in the early print

Quote
“If you look at our balance sheet, we have $500 billion in cash, we’ve actually been effectively stockpiling more and more cash waiting for opportunities to invest at higher rates,” Dimon said. “I do expect to see higher rates and more inflation, and we’re prepared for that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-is-hoarding-cash-because-very-good-chance-inflation-here-to-stay.html

 Wow!  That is some serious inflation!
legendary
Activity: 2590
Merit: 4839
Addicted to HoDLing!
Got to run to work, don't have the time for proper quoting, apologies... Very quickly commenting on some posts, not disregarding any other replies:

@JJG:

I was ready to reply "see what I mean?" until I checked the price and saw it was still above $40k. That's good. It sure is temporary though, as we will exceed it soon. proudhon's "right" predictions are temporary too, more often than not.

@Dabs:

I side with Jay on the afterlife part. I would even say that the odds of it existing are far fewer than 1%. Perhaps 0+% (the + is for being scientific). As for your bet on it existing or not and where it will land you after you die, it's an interesting argument that many people use (i.e., winning this life vs. an eternal afterlife), but, according to almost all religious texts, this mindset will not land you in a nice place after you die, so you'd better pray there's no afterlife...

@Richy_T:

cAPSLOCK gave his reply to your bank comments, I agree with him. I'm not saying I like banks, but I see them as necessary for the majority of people. I think El Salvador will be a good test case for this.
legendary
Activity: 1834
Merit: 4197

its actually a half trillion...there was a typo in the early print

Quote
“If you look at our balance sheet, we have $500 billion in cash, we’ve actually been effectively stockpiling more and more cash waiting for opportunities to invest at higher rates,” Dimon said. “I do expect to see higher rates and more inflation, and we’re prepared for that.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/14/jamie-dimon-jpmorgan-is-hoarding-cash-because-very-good-chance-inflation-here-to-stay.html
legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
Interesting Idea as long as security didn't make a change if they decided to inspect. Lol

Old trick from the punch-card days: Put the cards in the order you want then draw a diagonal line on the side of the deck. Then you can shuffle the cards (in fact, it's preferable to disguise the line) and can put them back into order later.



I've seen hollerith code stacks that had lines on them like that and never knew why!

Thanks for the info man, sometimes simple solutions are best.

Although you couldn't really use that deck of cards without getting bagged for a marked deck Lol
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
And


Quote
a full deck of cards provides 225.58 bits of entropy −52! combinations =log2(52!) bits of entropy.

https://crypto.stackexchange.com/questions/41886/entropy-measurement-from-shuffled-cards

So I'm just wondering where you found 232 bits of entropy?

Either way its damn tough to crack so should be a good way to transfer a key as long as no one knows and your going to move the funds as soon as you get where your going. Interesting thought. You could increase with the jokers and rules card as well.Smiley

Maybe I put too many cards in?? I was using the Ian Coleman BIP39 tool.

But to the point of jokers and rules.. you can also just add 6 more cards to get to 256bit, I think.  So you could add  six cards for a second deck.

I think another way to increase entropy is to shuffle between draws.  So you can have repeating cards. (Creates a poisson distribution like POW is)  And if you had enough decks of cards you could also build this "custom deck' just don't try to deal a hand of poker with it. Wink
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!


That foundation is human nature. Until we have better humans, "Vires in Numeris".

I do actually have a concern and suspicion that at some point, us ordinary mortals will be banned from transacting directly in Bitcoin much as ownership of gold (in useful quantities) has been outlawed before. Of course, being Bitcoin, they can't stop us transacting in it but if everyone else is in custodial accounts and they're not allowed to transact with you, where does that leave you?



Total agreement.  And the scenario you mention is a real threat, I agree.  But i do not think we get the via the slippery slope.

The government does not have much time to try that though, because at a certain point it will foment revolution.  maybe not yet...
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 7912
The solution is simple: Get your head frozen and have this tattoed on your forehead:

In this brain is the seed code for 10btc. Restore me to life and it is yours.

Then when bitcoin will buy entire planets whole civilizations will devote their best scientists to reviving your sorry ass. And when you are revived you give them the 10btc wallet code...

Then walk out with your 100btc wallet code still in your head. And into a bright new future.

It's pretty much foolproof: If bitcoin craters then who wants to be alive for that. And if the world is a crapsack world you just kill yourself again.

 ...after removing that tattoo from your forehead of course.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
Interesting Idea as long as security didn't make a change if they decided to inspect. Lol

Old trick from the punch-card days: Put the cards in the order you want then draw a diagonal line on the side of the deck. Then you can shuffle the cards (in fact, it's preferable to disguise the line) and can put them back into order later.

legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
You know... as a fellow card player.  A deck of cards is one of the great analogies to a bitcoin key.  In fact a (well) shuffled deck dealt out offers 232 bits of entropy.  Just a few bits shy of a 24 word seed!  It can actually produce a 21 word seed.

But people do not realize how fantastically many possible combinations of a deck of card has (52! or ~8e67) In fact, did you know that it is EXTREMELY unlikely that a properly shuffled deck will repeat a sequence ever dealt from another properly shuffled deck?  As in, ever?  

For fun I actually dealt this sequence from this deck of bicycle cards sitting next to me:

6h9sQd2c5hAd4c7hTsKd3c8sJdAc4h7c9hQs2d5c8hJsTdKc3h6s9dQc2h5s8dJcAh4s7dTcKh3s6d9 cQh2s5d8cJhAs4d7sThKs3d6c  
-or-
6♥ 9♠ Q♦ 2♣ 5♥ A♦ 4♣ 7♥ T♠ K♦ 3♣ 8♠ J♦ A♣ 4♥ 7♣ 9♥ Q♠ 2♦ 5♣ 8♥ J♠ T♦ K♣ 3♥ 6♠ 9♦ Q♣ 2♥ 5♠ 8♦ J♣ A♥ 4♠ 7♦ T♣ K♥ 3♠ 6♦ 9♣ Q♥ 2♠ 5♦ 8♣ J♥ A♠ 4♦ 7♠ T♥ K♠ 3♦ 6♣
-or-
then viable coral multiply puppy inquiry clap camera rebel smile fish tackle pull pledge regular embark session inner select knock furnace

The first address in the BIP44 sequence would be 12hZ1awWPMo4tGfYeHqZL2bhJr3DRafsqK (or bc1qpfaa7ms34k42jwl8eymdnxxcm2hug7d35dvp3q if you want to save on fees).  You can use this seed along with the password I made you!

If one were traveling to another place and needed a way to transport a private key in a very inconspicuous way one could just have a deck of cards in their luggage in a specific order.  And it would have just as much randomness as a 21 word seed phrase.

Not suggesting people use cards to store their seeds.  Too fragile, and abstracted.  But still a possible thing.


Interesting Idea as long as security didn't make a change if they decided to inspect. Lol

The math is beyond me so I did a google and found this.

Quote
For completely randomized decks, pn = 1/Ω with n ∈ {1, . . . , Ω} and Ω = 52!, the total
number of possible configurations. Thus, Srandom = log2 52! = 225.581.

Link to PDF:
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwi0rKvk1ZjxAhW6GFkFHYSYAFEQFjAEegQICBAD&url=https%3A%2F%2Fcourses.physics.ucsd.edu%2F2012%2FFall%2Fphysics140a%2FHOMEWORK%2FSOL01.pdf&usg=AOvVaw3qKRp6w5ELJMeThariP1rX


And


Quote
a full deck of cards provides 225.58 bits of entropy −52! combinations =log2(52!) bits of entropy.

https://crypto.stackexchange.com/questions/41886/entropy-measurement-from-shuffled-cards

So I'm just wondering where you found 232 bits of entropy?

Either way its damn tough to crack so should be a good way to transfer a key as long as no one knows and your going to move the funds as soon as you get where your going. Interesting thought. You could increase with the jokers and rules card as well.Smiley
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 2373
1RichyTrEwPYjZSeAYxeiFBNnKC9UjC5k
Would you not agree that gold backed currencies had a stronger footing than ones backed by debt?

Right. But how did that go? Even before fiat, there are stories of gold being over-subscribed by notes.

Gold has the issue that it's heavy, hard to divide and inconvenient to use for commerce. It's pretty much destined to be locked up in a vault somewhere under the control of others. Bitcoin, whether you believe it's ultimately going to be main chain or mainly second-layer transacted doesn't have that problem. We should solve the issues that Bitcoin has while keeping it Bitcoin, not resort to the traps and follies of old just because it's convenient. Let's not crawl back and lick the hands of our former masters.

The problem is not primarily that we use promissory notes.  But that the foundation on which those promises were made was faulty.

That foundation is human nature. Until we have better humans, "Vires in Numeris".

I do actually have a concern and suspicion that at some point, us ordinary mortals will be banned from transacting directly in Bitcoin much as ownership of gold (in useful quantities) has been outlawed before. Of course, being Bitcoin, they can't stop us transacting in it but if everyone else is in custodial accounts and they're not allowed to transact with you, where does that leave you?

legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
as custodians and managers of their assets (fiat, Bitcoin or whatever else comes along).

Disagree. As soon as you have custodians, you have promissory notes and as soon as you have promissory notes, we're right back where we were.

I have no doubt this is a problem that can be solved without throwing the Bitcoin baby out with the bathwater.

There are two reasons we are not right back to where we are.

1.  The underlying system is sound.
2.  You are not forced to participate in any of these banks, and can indeed be your OWN bank if you wish.

I think that is the distinction that is part of the solution you are predicting.  Custodians can compete to offer advantages to users.  Security, reliability, etc.

The problem is not primarily that we use promissory notes.  But that the foundation on which those promises were made was faulty.

Would you not agree that gold backed currencies had a stronger footing than ones backed by debt?  The problem will be if and when governments figure out how to regain control over the base currency.  I think bitcoin is going to make that VERY difficult.

Actually there is a very good reason for Bitcoin-backed banks to exist, issuing their own digital cash currency, redeemable for bitcoins. Bitcoin itself cannot scale to have every single financial transaction in the world be broadcast to everyone and included in the block chain. There needs to be a secondary level of payment systems which is lighter weight and more efficient. Likewise, the time needed for Bitcoin transactions to finalize will be impractical for medium to large value purchases.

Bitcoin backed banks will solve these problems. They can work like banks did before nationalization of currency. Different banks can have different policies, some more aggressive, some more conservative. Some would be fractional reserve while others may be 100% Bitcoin backed. Interest rates may vary. Cash from some banks may trade at a discount to that from others.

George Selgin has worked out the theory of competitive free banking in detail, and he argues that such a system would be stable, inflation resistant and self-regulating.

I believe this will be the ultimate fate of Bitcoin, to be the "high-powered money" that serves as a reserve currency for banks that issue their own digital cash. Most Bitcoin transactions will occur between banks, to settle net transfers. Bitcoin transactions by private individuals will be as rare as... well, as Bitcoin based purchases are today.
legendary
Activity: 2380
Merit: 1823
1CBuddyxy4FerT3hzMmi1Jz48ESzRw1ZzZ
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
7=a1m'9?T7G0w5q{^QetXyV08^y7Tk4-

That password has 167 bits of entropy.  It would be practically impossible to guess.  Also practically impossible to remember.  

Good idea for a password.  I am going to use that one, especially since it's so solid.

Great Idea!

I'll use it too and I'll never have to worry about forgetting it because its backed up right here!

You know... as a fellow card player.  A deck of cards is one of the great analogies to a bitcoin key.  In fact a (well) shuffled deck dealt out offers 232 bits of entropy.  Just a few bits shy of a 24 word seed!  It can actually produce a 21 word seed.

But people do not realize how fantastically many possible combinations of a deck of card has (52! or ~8e67) In fact, did you know that it is EXTREMELY unlikely that a properly shuffled deck will repeat a sequence ever dealt from another properly shuffled deck?  As in, ever?  

For fun I actually dealt this sequence from this deck of bicycle cards sitting next to me:

6h9sQd2c5hAd4c7hTsKd3c8sJdAc4h7c9hQs2d5c8hJsTdKc3h6s9dQc2h5s8dJcAh4s7dTcKh3s6d9 cQh2s5d8cJhAs4d7sThKs3d6c  
-or-
6♥ 9♠ Q♦ 2♣ 5♥ A♦ 4♣ 7♥ T♠ K♦ 3♣ 8♠ J♦ A♣ 4♥ 7♣ 9♥ Q♠ 2♦ 5♣ 8♥ J♠ T♦ K♣ 3♥ 6♠ 9♦ Q♣ 2♥ 5♠ 8♦ J♣ A♥ 4♠ 7♦ T♣ K♥ 3♠ 6♦ 9♣ Q♥ 2♠ 5♦ 8♣ J♥ A♠ 4♦ 7♠ T♥ K♠ 3♦ 6♣
-or-
then viable coral multiply puppy inquiry clap camera rebel smile fish tackle pull pledge regular embark session inner select knock furnace

The first address in the BIP44 sequence would be 12hZ1awWPMo4tGfYeHqZL2bhJr3DRafsqK (or bc1qpfaa7ms34k42jwl8eymdnxxcm2hug7d35dvp3q if you want to save on fees).  You can use this seed along with the password I made you!

If one were traveling to another place and needed a way to transport a private key in a very inconspicuous way one could just have a deck of cards in their luggage in a specific order.  And it would have just as much randomness as a 21 word seed phrase.

Not suggesting people use cards to store their seeds.  Too fragile, and abstracted.  But still a possible thing.
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