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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 6033. (Read 26712433 times)

legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1767
Cлaвa Укpaїнi!
@MMCrypto
1 #BITCOIN  IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN 1 KG GOLD!
https://twitter.com/mmcrypto/status/1363467875692994560?s=21



Not if you include the completely ridiculous premium on gold rn.

And good luck even finding a kilo of gold in stock, anywhere.

Another reason that Bitcoin will beat PMs: bitcoin is available to be purchased (and sold) anytime, anywhere, 24/7/365.

Here you go.

https://www.libertysilver.se/kopa/produkt/heraeus1000gram
legendary
Activity: 1442
Merit: 2282
Degenerate bull hatter & Bitcoin monotheist
To provide some perspective - we have not (yet) broken the old models and forecasts

legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
This is not yet another cycle, this is the End of Cycles

The one where after BTC flippens gold it doesn't flip back

The one where web3 supercedes web2

Where culture is collected and accrued digitally instead of physically

Where life is lived mindfully rather than mindlessly

https://twitter.com/zhusu/status/1363035740507017216

--------

At first it sounded bearish to me, until I unerstood what is meant. Since its creation Bitcoin went through several severe bear periods between the halvings. But what if the mass adoption has increased so much  that no such bear periods of 80%+ crashes from tha last ATH are possible? We see the first sign for that - unlike any other period of 12 months, there was only one 30% correction and two 20% corrections. What if this is a sign that such long periods of lack of interest from the big investors  are no longer possible? The implications on any sell strategy involving considerations of the previous cycles will be hugely negative. I mean if someone is selling with the hope of buying 80% cheaper, this may turn to be a total disaster with some 30-40% dips occurring here and there. Not only that, but this will make any unnecessary major sell from our stash to be a big mistake. This tweet predicts more than a supercycle, rather an infitite bull market. Well, this may look unrealistic now, but certainly the probability for that is not 0 as some may think based on previous experience. And sometimes the past experience may be misleading.

We'll just have to see what the top would be. If 100K, 80% down is a bit crazy.
I can see it happening fromm $300 with a 50% probability and with 65-70% probability from $500K.
The canonical numbers would be $300K, then $60K, but I agree that we MIGHT not dip 80% even from there, unless short term interest rates will go above 7-8%.

I have no problem with presentations that suggest that bottom corrections might become less, and it might be much more difficult to have a 60% to 70% correction, but one thing about momentum, is that sometimes it makes sense to continue going down, even if the down part that ends up being reached might not be sustainable more than a few weeks... sure a variety of scenarios that could both cause a correction and then to cause the price to stay down even though it might feel that the BTC price ends up being undervalued for a period of time..
legendary
Activity: 1235
Merit: 1202
I’m having a bit of a mental struggle..

How much should I be kicking myself in the ass for not accumulating more, VS how thankful am I for having accumulated what I have and for the most part held..

Thankful or regretful?

We've all been there (at least I have) Just count your blessings that even just by holding any BTC you're WAYYYY ahead of most people. I have a, modest, stash. I'd love more, but I'm definitely glad I have what I do
legendary
Activity: 1235
Merit: 1202
This is not yet another cycle, this is the End of Cycles

The one where after BTC flippens gold it doesn't flip back

The one where web3 supercedes web2

Where culture is collected and accrued digitally instead of physically

Where life is lived mindfully rather than mindlessly

https://twitter.com/zhusu/status/1363035740507017216

--------

At first it sounded bearish to me, until I unerstood what is meant. Since its creation Bitcoin went through several severe bear periods between the halvings. But what if the mass adoption has increased so much  that no such bear periods of 80%+ crashes from tha last ATH are possible? We see the first sign for that - unlike any other period of 12 months, there was only one 30% correction and two 20% corrections. What if this is a sign that such long periods of lack of interest from the big investors  are no longer possible? The implications on any sell strategy involving considerations of the previous cycles will be hugely negative. I mean if someone is selling with the hope of buying 80% cheaper, this may turn to be a total disaster with some 30-40% dips occurring here and there. Not only that, but this will make any unnecessary major sell from our stash to be a big mistake. This tweet predicts more than a supercycle, rather an infitite bull market. Well, this may look unrealistic now, but certainly the probability for that is not 0 as some may think based on previous experience. And sometimes the past experience may be misleading.

I don't buy it, but hey whatever... there is a chance for anything to happen..

My overall thinkenings continue to be that bitcoin no doesn't work like dat... and I am not even trying to be stubbornly caught up in the already existing models, but there still seems to be more evidence to the currently credible three existing models rather than proposing some new model that may or may not end up playing out.

Something is different now..

All these real money players getting into BTC..
Their might not be such a crash after this cycle as their have been before..
That may lead to the next cycle not having to come up from such a bottom..

Might be the end of “cycles” as we know them..

Yeah I've been thinking about this a lot too recently. With everything going on in the world at the moment and with how crazy all the markets are I think we need to throw out and past trends regarding to BTC. That's not to say the same boom/bust cycle won't happen again but I definitely don't think it will be as severe. Far far far too much institutional money is being tied up now, these are not weak hands, people in it for a quick buck, this is a long haul type of deal. The repercussions are definitely going to be very interesting, especially if the money from these players keeps coming as has been suggested
legendary
Activity: 2296
Merit: 2262
BTC or BUST
I’m having a bit of a mental struggle..

How much should I be kicking myself in the ass for not accumulating more, VS how thankful am I for having accumulated what I have and for the most part held..

Thankful or regretful?


When the crypto world changed around 2017 I got lazy and stopped accumulating..
Since then, my methods of accumulation have become almost impossible..

I’m almost afraid to go back to it..
Do I still have it in me? Can I even do it legally? All that paperwork and accounting they require now?
I SHOULD but I just can’t bring myself to it..
Shit, I can barely bring myself to even move coin anymore..
legendary
Activity: 2296
Merit: 2262
BTC or BUST
This is not yet another cycle, this is the End of Cycles

The one where after BTC flippens gold it doesn't flip back

The one where web3 supercedes web2

Where culture is collected and accrued digitally instead of physically

Where life is lived mindfully rather than mindlessly

https://twitter.com/zhusu/status/1363035740507017216

--------

At first it sounded bearish to me, until I unerstood what is meant. Since its creation Bitcoin went through several severe bear periods between the halvings. But what if the mass adoption has increased so much  that no such bear periods of 80%+ crashes from tha last ATH are possible? We see the first sign for that - unlike any other period of 12 months, there was only one 30% correction and two 20% corrections. What if this is a sign that such long periods of lack of interest from the big investors  are no longer possible? The implications on any sell strategy involving considerations of the previous cycles will be hugely negative. I mean if someone is selling with the hope of buying 80% cheaper, this may turn to be a total disaster with some 30-40% dips occurring here and there. Not only that, but this will make any unnecessary major sell from our stash to be a big mistake. This tweet predicts more than a supercycle, rather an infitite bull market. Well, this may look unrealistic now, but certainly the probability for that is not 0 as some may think based on previous experience. And sometimes the past experience may be misleading.

I don't buy it, but hey whatever... there is a chance for anything to happen..

My overall thinkenings continue to be that bitcoin no doesn't work like dat... and I am not even trying to be stubbornly caught up in the already existing models, but there still seems to be more evidence to the currently credible three existing models rather than proposing some new model that may or may not end up playing out.

Something is different now..

All these real money players getting into BTC..
Their might not be such a crash after this cycle as their have been before..
That may lead to the next cycle not having to come up from such a bottom..

Might be the end of “cycles” as we know them..
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
This is not yet another cycle, this is the End of Cycles

The one where after BTC flippens gold it doesn't flip back

The one where web3 supercedes web2

Where culture is collected and accrued digitally instead of physically

Where life is lived mindfully rather than mindlessly

https://twitter.com/zhusu/status/1363035740507017216

--------

At first it sounded bearish to me, until I unerstood what is meant. Since its creation Bitcoin went through several severe bear periods between the halvings. But what if the mass adoption has increased so much  that no such bear periods of 80%+ crashes from tha last ATH are possible? We see the first sign for that - unlike any other period of 12 months, there was only one 30% correction and two 20% corrections. What if this is a sign that such long periods of lack of interest from the big investors  are no longer possible? The implications on any sell strategy involving considerations of the previous cycles will be hugely negative. I mean if someone is selling with the hope of buying 80% cheaper, this may turn to be a total disaster with some 30-40% dips occurring here and there. Not only that, but this will make any unnecessary major sell from our stash to be a big mistake. This tweet predicts more than a supercycle, rather an infitite bull market. Well, this may look unrealistic now, but certainly the probability for that is not 0 as some may think based on previous experience. And sometimes the past experience may be misleading.

I don't buy it, but hey whatever... there is a chance for anything to happen..

My overall thinkenings continue to be that bitcoin no doesn't work like dat... and I am not even trying to be stubbornly caught up in the already existing models, but there still seems to be more evidence to the currently credible three existing models rather than proposing some new model that may or may not end up playing out.
legendary
Activity: 3556
Merit: 9709
#1 VIP Crypto Casino
legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 13647
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
5 8 K dollars.
Another Bitcoin Sunday.
We are entertained.


legendary
Activity: 2145
Merit: 1660
We choose to go to the moon


2x from Jan 1 to Feb 21...
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 2470
$120000 in 2024 Confirmed
hero member
Activity: 1088
Merit: 531
Free Crypto in Stake.com Telegram t.me/StakeCasino
legendary
Activity: 3948
Merit: 11416
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
At $57,600 the price will have doubled in less than a month.

Going from past experience this usually leads to doubling again in about half that time, and then another.

My theory is that the doublings decrease each time.

There's probably TA based around that but I just go by that.

But this market is not like the previous ones.  And I have no idea what that means including it might do exactly what you are predicting.

But we have never had big institutional money coming in like it might be now...  

It may never turn into an unstoppable force and an ummoveable object, but the buyers might just keep appearing while the remaining holders get tighter and tighter.  I am actually more worried this goes hyperparabolic and ends up more vol...

I am going to stop typing.  I have no idea what is coming.  I do not think we have a historical frame for it.

Of course, we have a framework... Don't be coming off as a newbie with your purported statements of futility...    Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy    Tongue Tongue Tongue

Merely because the entrants might be BIGGER and more than expected does not signify that they break the models, even if they cause the models to become more bullish than previously expected, and there are even a decent number of credible model creators (and analyzers) who also accounted for scenarios in which the models might end up underperforming actual happenings, but still, does not mean that the model is broken, but could mean that the curves of the models might need to be shifted UPpity, no?

growing to 56000 now, drop to 5600 after

We better brace our lil selfies for the proclamations of a Nostradamus wannabe, also known as aleviaslo.....

 Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

He's been correct before, right?  hahahahahaha... I really doubt it.

Going from past experience this usually leads to doubling again in about half that time, and then another.

To me it means things are getting frothy. But first $100k  Cool

For sure, continuous doublings in shorter periods of time is hardly sustainable for very much time... but still, there remains a question of "when?"

Good Morning BTCLand ... OMG .... We are $1000 down ... We are in a Bearmarket again ... We all gonna die pur... D:

Let the corn take a breath Smiley He run yesterday over 6 miles basically without pause.

It's weekend, maybe we see some dumps to buy the dip (not me, out of fiat) or we see today or tomorrow a new ATH, again. (we have to be careful, not that seeing every day a new ATH begin to boring! Cheesy )

There's nothing better than a mega-pump right after a dump for ants...

Is your body ready?


hahahahaha

That's for damned sure.
legendary
Activity: 2520
Merit: 3038
@MMCrypto
1 #BITCOIN  IS NOW WORTH MORE THAN 1 KG GOLD!
https://twitter.com/mmcrypto/status/1363467875692994560?s=21



Not if you include the completely ridiculous premium on gold rn.

And good luck even finding a kilo of gold in stock, anywhere.

I think it's perfectly fine to buy gold certificates with btc. Gold certificates are "as good as gold", amirite?
/s

Let's buy gold certificates with btc certificates. They send us paper gold, we send them a pretty email - a pdf file, even! - stating they own the btc. Of course, we keep the keys until we touch the yellow stuff. It's only fair.  Tongue
member
Activity: 136
Merit: 17
Its green green and green on stamp
hero member
Activity: 968
Merit: 624
Still a manic miner
There was a twat at stamp flashing a mini 15-18 BTC sell wall at $57990..
He saw the tide coming and chickened away (with fewer coins in his pocket)
hero member
Activity: 812
Merit: 587
Space Lord
member
Activity: 136
Merit: 17
New ath on stamp, yipe, my 50 check of price today

I was considering selling 1% at 50k, but i changed my mind lol and sold nothing.

So i moved my plan and i am considering to sell 1% at 100k, but i might change my mind again and sell nothing at 100k.
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