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Topic: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion - page 7824. (Read 26606754 times)

legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4393
Be a bank
“However, a miner often can start mining a candidate for block N+1 even before he has seen what was included in block N. That’s because he only needs the hash of block N, and he often can get it very quickly by a certain trick.” In that case, the miner must start with an empty block N+1, even if there are transactions waiting in his queue: because, without knowing the contents of block N, he cannot check whether those transactions are valid or not. If he is lucky, he may solve that empty block N+1, even before he finishes downloading the body of block N. That is why there are empty blocks."

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/why-do-some-bitcoin-mining-pools-mine-empty-blocks-1468337739

tl;dr better to get a whole block quickly and certainly than fart about grabbing up fees. This will be the case ever less as fees become more worth it and block rewards less so.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
legendary
Activity: 1848
Merit: 1334
just in case
can someone answer a Bitcoin related question for me please?
I have been watching mempool.space and noticed that block 624652 was mined and was empty yet there were enough transactions in mempool to fill another 4 blocks?
How come?
Sorry if this seams like a noob question but thought I would get more sense out of this thread than elsewhere. Besides I don't venture out of here much anyway.
You can see mempool size is in here https://jochen-hoenicke.de/queue/#0,24h
But miners could decide to do not add any TX to block. Generally, they do but someone could want to manipulate to blockchain who decide to do not add any tx to blocks.
legendary
Activity: 2856
Merit: 1520
Bitcoin Legal Tender Countries: 2 of 206
BTC needs more stimulus but it's looking not bad so far.

Moooaaar boobs pls!  Grin



legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Timeline around, Year 2100 + -


Not sure if it will take that long.

Maybe even as soon as 2040 or 2050?  and that is only 20-30 years.. but I suppose to have the matters more a relic in the memory, then sure, add another 50 years, so maybe you are correct with your timeline for the museum thingie-ma-jiggie, JSRAW.
Hopefully we get to see this otherwise your grand kids and my kids can continue this discussion in the future.

*correction your grand daughter and my boy lol

You intentionally refused to say #nohomo.. right?


 Angry Angry Angry Angry

But, ultimately, to attempt to be more serious, yeah, lot's of things can happen in 70 or 80 years, and geez, I thought that each generation was supposed to be represented by about 20 years, so there is that, too.

It was honest mistake for starters Grin

Just for clarification you already have grandkids? no need to post in public, just blink twice in front of camera  Wink #Nohomo

Can you decipher my answer from this one?:



 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1540
Speaking of royals...

legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4393
Be a bank
I did not blub when she said 'We'll meet again.'
hero member
Activity: 786
Merit: 857
can someone answer a Bitcoin related question for me please?
I have been watching mempool.space and noticed that block 624652 was mined and was empty yet there were enough transactions in mempool to fill another 4 blocks?
How come?
Sorry if this seams like a noob question but thought I would get more sense out of this thread than elsewhere. Besides I don't venture out of here much anyway.
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 4738
diamond-handed zealot
I found the queen's address suitably bracing.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4393
Be a bank
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 2736
Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o
legendary
Activity: 2800
Merit: 2736
Farewell LEO: o_e_l_e_o
Good morning WO!
Observing @ $7k+
Moving forward again?
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1540
Timeline around, Year 2100 + -


Not sure if it will take that long.

Maybe even as soon as 2040 or 2050?  and that is only 20-30 years.. but I suppose to have the matters more a relic in the memory, then sure, add another 50 years, so maybe you are correct with your timeline for the museum thingie-ma-jiggie, JSRAW.
Hopefully we get to see this otherwise your grand kids and my kids can continue this discussion in the future.

*correction your grand daughter and my boy lol

You intentionally refused to say #nohomo.. right?


 Angry Angry Angry Angry

But, ultimately, to attempt to be more serious, yeah, lot's of things can happen in 70 or 80 years, and geez, I thought that each generation was supposed to be represented by about 20 years, so there is that, too.

It was honest mistake for starters Grin

Just for clarification you already have grandkids? no need to post in public, just blink twice in front of camera  Wink #Nohomo
full member
Activity: 624
Merit: 225
ETH/BTC
Return of the King. Legion of Doom scared shitless right now. Saying Covbull-19 is the flu is an insult to the vastly more successful killer(600k+ per year). 60k deaths so far, what a joke.  Roll Eyes

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/22/medical-errors-third-leading-cause-of-death-in-america.html

Medical errors kill 250k each year in the U.S. alone.  Kiss

You failed doom callers. Now your shorts will be rekt along with your gaping vaginas.
There is some analogy I read about last week. It was like:

McDonalds sells like a billion burgers a year with no problems, but try to order 50.000 burgers at a restaurant and you will have a problem.
legendary
Activity: 938
Merit: 2540
<>
Observing $7,055 USD/BTC @ Gemini. Nice.

We start the week well, if we stay above 7K the fast path to 8K will open.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1278
Big issue with that graph. China.

Also Iran. There is no way a population that licks walls and drink water that their preacher has spat in are not exploding.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Timeline around, Year 2100 + -


Not sure if it will take that long.

Maybe even as soon as 2040 or 2050?  and that is only 20-30 years.. but I suppose to have the matters more a relic in the memory, then sure, add another 50 years, so maybe you are correct with your timeline for the museum thingie-ma-jiggie, JSRAW.
Hopefully we get to see this otherwise your grand kids and my kids can continue this discussion in the future.

*correction your grand daughter and my boy lol

You intentionally refused to say #nohomo.. right?


 Angry Angry Angry Angry

But, ultimately, to attempt to be more serious, yeah, lot's of things can happen in 70 or 80 years, and geez, I thought that each generation was supposed to be represented by about 20 years, so there is that, too.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 11299
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Currently, I am using around $250 increments and my spreads are around $900...

I have gone back and forth with jbreher on this topic of increments, and he seems to have way the fuck smaller increments than me, and he claims to be making a killing whether the BTC price is going down or it is going up, he is saying that he is making a killing..

Jeebus - my eyes glazed over again - I almost fell asleep before I saw my name.

Yeah.. maybe I should have highlighted or some way of making it easier for you to see.


No, I don't claim to be making a killing - just harvesting a consistently nice bit of the volatility.

You are correct, "killing" might be a wee bit too strong... .

Firstly, my current increments are exactly what you claim to be employing. But I think I see the issue that keeps you thinking all the time, instead of just rote executing. What is this $900 spread of which you speak?

For example, currently, my next buy order is at $6,300-ish and my next sell order is at $7,450 - ish

So maybe the spread is $1,150; however, my last sell was at $7,200-ish, so I am thinking that the buy back for the sale is $900 cheaper than the price that I sold... even though really the spread between my next action of some sort of buy and sell might be considered higher than $900.

so yeah, by increments I mean that every additional $250 down, I buy some more.. . and every additional $250 up I sell some more.

I did think that you used to have much smaller increments and even a smaller spread, too.

Nay, if my increment is $250, my spread is $500. So any order gets entered exactly as the order two before it (think about it).*

I used to do something closer to that, but I did not like it and I think that part of the reason was that I thought that I was spinning my wheels too much in terms of ratio of profits to fees, and also maybe I felt that such a small spread just caused my orders to trigger way too often.  I prefer what I am doing now largely for those two reasons.

By the way, we have been in these prices for so long that my order locations are largely in my head, too... so I don't really have too much time with that, except maybe sometimes orders might not get hit for a week or more.. sometimes only a few orders hit in a month's time.. but surely in recent times they have been getting hit quite a bit.

* spread has to be 2X increment. If a buy, fill the middle with a sell. If a sell, fill the middle with a buy. duh.

Well, it is a strategy.

Sure.. there is not ONLY one way to structure the buy and sell orders and the tweaking from time to time and the thought process around resetting matter, but surely it takes me more than 12 seconds on average per buy/sell order to reset such buy or sell orders after they have been filled, and maybe I fart around in other ways, too that cause me to believe that sometimes when a bunch of orders execute, then I sometimes will feel that i am spending a decent amount of time on considering some matters (or gloating perhaps), but some of that might be other aspects that i want to monitor whether deemed as trade secrets or not.. or personal analyzing details that I just do not feel willing to share.  

Sometimes I might feel like a bot when going through some of the mechanics of setting orders and keeping track and tweaking, even though I am not a bot.. and sometimes I am not sure how well what I do could be replaced by a bot, even though there are ways to set up what I do like a bot would do and also to carry out the functions like a bot, and maybe if orders are filling quickly and repetitively, then maybe some of my actions do become more robotic during those kinds of times, so there is that aspect, too... but still no where close to 12 seconds per order reset.. nothing close to that...

Oh, I just thought of another tweaking thingie-ma-jiggie that I have been doing in the past couple of weeks whenever sell orders fill, which I have been tweaking my buy orders all the way down to $3k... For sure, I do not want to have those buy orders executed.. but that has been taking a bit more work to use some of the proceeds of recent sell orders to cover higher amounts at lower prices and lesser amounts at higher prices (a kind of ongoing redistribution of buy orders to make me feel much MOAR better, even though I hope that those buy orders between $3k and $5k never, ever, ever fill).  


Hey jbreher:

I have been pondering this BTC order increments and spread idea for the past couple of days, and I thought that maybe there is a way that I could attempt to further clarify points of my above post, and maybe my clarification could help to quantify part of the utility that I consider for myself in maintaining a larger spread that goes beyond my merely wanting to become a larger and larger swing trader, so my trades do not trigger as frequently.  

Something like this.

So hypothetically, if you have a spread of $1,000, and you are trading .1BTC on each sell order, then if your last sale was at $7,200, you would have generated $720 worth of cash minus the fee.  So if the fee on each end is .5%, then your $720 sale is going to have a $7.20 fee for both sides of the trade, to sell the .1BTC and then to buy back the dollar value that had been generated.

So if your spread is $1,000, then you have to go to buy back at $6,200, you only have $712.80 to buy back, once you subtract the fee.  That would buy you .11496774 BTC at that price, which would be .01496774BTC or the dollar equivalent of ($92.80 at $6,200) or ($107.77 at $7,200)... so yeah, are you counting your profits in BTC or dollars or some combination of the two... you can divide your profits how ever you like.

Now, if you instead decide to have a spread that is only $500 rather than $1,000, you will still be more than sufficiently profitable with fees that are .5% on each end, but it will be less than half because of the fees, and you are going to stay a lot more busy with your orders, which is likely o.k. with someone who is learning, practicing and someone who is wanting to stack more sats for free.

So, the sale at $7,200 would still generate $720, and it would still be $712.80 once the 5% fee is subtracted out on both sides.  

So therefore when you go to buy your BTC back at $6,700 rather than $6,200 you are only going to be able to buy .10638806BTC, which is surely less profits therein.  You make only .00638806BTC ($42.80 at $6,700) or ($46 at $7,200) per trade rather than .01496774BTC, which is a .00857968 BTC difference ($61.77 at $7,200), and probably you need to have nearly three back and forth trades with those kinds of smaller spreads in order to accomplish the same profits with larger spreads (with a quite a bit more accounting and more time consuming, but to each his own).

Frequently, what happens, for me, is that I find that once the BTC price starts going in one direction, it will go for quite a ways, too, so frequently you are not going to get a lot of back and forths, anyhow, so sometimes it is better that each of the BTC buys are generating a higher profit and not having to play around so much or think about whether trades are executing or not so much, but again to each his own in terms of how much time that he wants to spend thinking about this and if he feels that he needs to generate more sats.

Furthermore, since we are using .1BTC as a sell amount, a lot of guys should be dealing with smaller amounts than that because the size of their holdings would not justify larger trades, but of course, if you have a larger holdings then you might be dealing with 1BTC on each order or some other amount that will, of course, generate more profits due to size, even while any of us who engages in this practice and who is longer-term bullish needs to be keeping in mind the size of our total BTC stash that should cause each of us to be careful NOT to be selling too much BTC because our supply of BTC will really diminish if the BTC price goes shooting straight up to $100k and then we do not have any BTC left to sell, but the price keeps going up.. and various other scenarios of selling too much and missing out on the likely upwards BTC profits by holding too much fiat rather than BTC.  
legendary
Activity: 2184
Merit: 1540
The Covid period can stop, but i'm really thinking how long will it actually last and afterwards how will it all looks like, economic, socially ...
Curious how many companies will not survive this etc...

I hope not to many people will be affected but sadly that just isn't the case, so the best to all of us who are dealing with some bad situations etc.

IMO Hard times coming for developing countries. Poor/lower middle class going to rekt from all sides, Middle class has a tendency of saving every penny even in good times so they might survive. Upper middle class should be okay if they can give up their upgraded Iphone. Rich class already has enough money so 1 less zero in their bank account not going to disturb them much.  

Majority of bitcoiners who are not gambling addict should be okay too.

Timeline around, Year 2100 + -


Not sure if it will take that long.

Maybe even as soon as 2040 or 2050?  and that is only 20-30 years.. but I suppose to have the matters more a relic in the memory, then sure, add another 50 years, so maybe you are correct with your timeline for the museum thingie-ma-jiggie, JSRAW.
Hopefully we get to see this otherwise your grand kids and my kids can continue this discussion in the future.

*correction your grand daughter and my boy lol

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