Short term: There will be a vertical short cover. 0.00054 BTC/$4.9 target up to 0.000685/$6.2.
Mid term: BTC 35 000/0.000685/$24 or $20 000/0.0012. BTC blow off is uncertain, it depends on delusion level in market, it appears to be sobering slowly, in that case it is straight to oracle 3:
Long term: Flip event from top 5 to alt sphere, then it will break 0.002 BTC ATH. BTC itself stable between 8-12k. Possibly back to $200-1200. Waves from $68 to $2000.
What are you basing your calculations on? I dont think any coin/token will move in the extreme ways you are claiming in your post. Personally I like Waves platform and ecosystem and think it has a good future but not to this extreme and not in the timelines you mention. I also so not think that anyone can claim a movement on Bitcoin accurately unless you are a big whale in Bitcoin and can cause the movements on your own.
Short term: There will be a vertical short cover. 0.00054 BTC/$4.9 target up to 0.000685/$6.2.
Mid term: BTC 35 000/0.000685/$24 or $20 000/0.0012. BTC blow off is uncertain, it depends on delusion level in market, it appears to be sobering slowly, in that case it is straight to oracle 3:
Long term: Flip event from top 5 to alt sphere, then it will break 0.002 BTC ATH. BTC itself stable between 8-12k. Possibly back to $200-1200. Waves from $68 to $2000.
How I wish this would happen in future. And if it is, then I'll be one happy millionaire just by holding Waves.
But seriously speaking, these predictions are quite steep with current state of market that we have right now. You can say that this is very feasible and I won't deny that but it's just very improbable to happen even in shorter span of time. Don't get me wrong, I'm also hopeful of these predictions and I'm still optimistic that Waves can replicate the run that ETH had last 2017.
Mid term: BTC 35 000/0.000685/$24 or $20 000/0.0012. BTC blow off is uncertain, it depends on delusion level in market, it appears to be sobering slowly, in that case it is straight to oracle 3:
Long term: Flip event from top 5 to alt sphere, then it will break 0.002 BTC ATH. BTC itself stable between 8-12k. Possibly back to $200-1200. Waves from $68 to $2000.
So you say that Bitcoin will go to 20k-35k on medium term and then fall to 8k-12k on long term? And when Bitcoin is so low, WAVES may be even 2k?!
I think that you either missed something, either wrote it down incorrectly. An 8-12k on long term for Bitcoin is not sustainable (miners won't earn enough and may cause problems); and bad performance for Bitcoin usually translates into bad performance for altcoins.
Waves was shorted at least since june at 0.00054 if not since april at 0.000685 and it is not the only shorted altcoin. It is institutional players that are/were shorting top alts and they will cover positions before christmas.
I don't know what happens after return to normal levels but it depends on Bitcoin and if establishment is preparing their own coins which they are otherwise they are not smart money.
Waves is fragmented into 3 pieces: Tokenomica is not part of waves native but it is direct competition, and waves enterprise is also not part of waves native so all of these chains will have to share market capture during merchant phase. But there is more competition from other brands in top 50 such as Stellar which is well positioned to capture American markets which is the worlds biggest. Stellars platform is much worse than waves yet it's market cap is $7 billion. Waves is Russian so it must concentrate on Eastern market and possibly south east asia and china, maybe Japan.
Global retail market is $20 trillion, and 90% or more of this will be migrated from NASDAQ and global indexes to proprietary government controlled centralized solutions. Stocks will be converted into tokens and the mother crypto will be something like "NASDAQ Dollars" which is connected to these fortune 500 stocks. Of the remaining free market 2 trillion, Waves ecosystem can capture 30-50% and this in turn will be divided between Tokenomica, WEST (Vostok) and Waves original.
So Waves market cap with optimistic scenario is a few hundred billion dollars and that is also the maximum market cap possible from 1000tx/s equivalent to 15 million active users, when each transaction carries a fee of 80 cents ($25 billion annual profit with p/e multiple 10 at maturity).
Waves should definitely increase all trading fees to 80 cents to back the new inflation policy and increase exchange volume because every trade must be valued higher to make the fee lower share of traded volume.
Waves team should receive 10% of this fee and rest shared with community every week like it is now, with the significant difference that staking rewards is then actually backed by real profit and not simply empty air like it is now.
Token issuance fee can also be increased to 100 waves but keep in mind if waves price goes up, even 1 waves can become worth much. Up to $2500.
By the way, if anyone is interested in Marquise $Museum investment I have offer for you:
I offer 126 million $M-2 at 0.0003 (38 000 waves) and will use 50% of monthly staking pool (100 waves) to buyback $M-2 at any price you set, even 0.1 (it is 12.6 million waves profit for you).
Pm me for this deal or buy this top 2 stack directly in waves dex it is there now for trade.