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Topic: What percent of internet Bitcoin poker is Luck vs Skill? - page 6. (Read 7325 times)

hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 500
Small Red and Bad
It seems I agree with the majority that Poker is 75% Luck, 25% Skill.
The fact is that a skilled player can swing the odds in his favour, even with bad cards, but a lucky player doesn't need skill at all. In other words if you're unlucky you can still achieve something and not end up broke, but if you're lucky you are already a winner. There's not much you can do to screw up. If you're a bad, lucky player the opponents will simply read you and bet low, so you won't win much, but you WILL win.
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
75% skill and 25% luck. You read peoples mind, you weight your odds, and there alots of things to take into consideration when playing poker.
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1414
voted for 75 % luck and 25 % skill, the 25 % skill will actually be the skill to stall some time, lure your opponent for higher bet and also to bluff as if you got a better cards than him, and the rest will depends on your luck, even if you got a Pair Ace, you could always lose to 2 pair of low cards

  • Do you even consider internet Bitcoin poker to be gambling?  

Yes as long as you bet something to win , that would be called as gambling

  • Are you more comfortable gambling against the house?

Nope, playing poker in my case would be peer to peer poker games and not video poker

  • Is poker too much action or not enough action?

Depends, in freerolls, it would be no action and too much bluff, in a buy in tournaments there will be quite alot of action

legendary
Activity: 2436
Merit: 1804
guess who's back
Poker is all about skills
luck can screw you sometimes but in the long run the lucky players will be busted
and the skilled player will have a pocket full of money if he managed his bankroll

I would vote for 90% skills and 10% luck

but in bitcoin poker this really different  Grin Grin
people go all in with A card
so if you call this bet with KK or QQ ( over cards to the other card he have ) you will be 70% favour

so you will lose sometimes
but in the long run you will bust your opponent bankroll if he made the same mistake every time  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
hero member
Activity: 1624
Merit: 645
Poker is (almost) All Luck because it's gambling. If you have the skill you would be playing chess and beating Magnus Carlsen. Oh wait  Cool
Even the poker pros can't win on a consistent basis.

Are you trolling? There are plenty of poker players who made a lot of money, millions even, how can you say they cant win on a consistent basis. I would have accepted if you said 50/50 luck skill but almost all luck is just stupid.
legendary
Activity: 1173
Merit: 1000


If we play 10 hands against Phil Ivey, I am afraid we would lose 9 hands or lose all.

Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage, its more that better players have a bigger edge the longer you play them.  Any weak player could beat phil ivey over even 1000 hands.

So in the short term poker is about luck and very little skill.  In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck.

Totally agree with "Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage" and "In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck", playing against famous pros likes playing against a casino game has 99%+ house edge. And I watch high stakes poker, great pros like Phil ivey and Tom Dwan won more than loss, weaker pro players hardly win ONE HAND against those famous pros(Phil ivey, Johnny Chan and Tom Dwan).

Imagine we play against him in heads up. He just needs to bet all of our bankroll, and we dare not call when we have bad hands, and he easily get our blinds. Just playing several hands, our money would be run out.  Cheesy

Why dont you just play your position and bet all in against him and make him fold - the blinds are yours???
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
This is a gambling forum, and most of you gamble somewhere with Bitcoin, so I am curious what percent of internet Bitcoin poker you think is luck vs skill?  

I vote for Poker is 50% Luck, 50% Skill,.
If you only have one of them, you may lost your money.
legendary
Activity: 2870
Merit: 7490
Crypto Swap Exchange
Poker is 50% Luck, 50% Skill Roll Eyes
But i'm always depend on luck since i don't have much skills Sad

But, i think internet bitcoin poker can't be called gambling
legendary
Activity: 1173
Merit: 1000
I'm surprised no one has mentioned the size of your bankroll.

Poker is a completely different proposition at the 10cent level than it is at the $10,000 level.

Similarly, I'm sure you'd play differently in a $1000 buy in if it was all the money you had compared to if you had a million dollars.

If someone gave you $1M and said you had to win $1k a week, almost any half decent poker player could do it....so is it luck, skill, or size of bankroll?? Hmmm

sr. member
Activity: 616
Merit: 250
short run poker is 99.9% luck
in the long run after many games this luck goes away (in the long run you are lucky [49.999 - 50.001] % of the times) so then it's near to 100% skill.
sr. member
Activity: 269
Merit: 250
Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage, its more that better players have a bigger edge the longer you play them.  Any weak player could beat phil ivey over even 1000 hands.

So in the short term poker is about luck and very little skill.  In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck.

Agree that there's more luck short term, more skill long term.  There really isn't a way to put a certain number % on it though.

1000 hands in a normal game is a small sample, but HU against a top player like Ivey 1000 hands seems like a lot though.

Against an actual weak player I feel like Ivey would be a large favorite over 1000 hands.  Something like 100 might be closer.  It's an interesting thought expirement, but we agree on the basic idea.

It's a good thing though.  It means that anyone, with any skill level, can play for fun and win on any given night. 

That's what makes poker possible, online and live.  If the best hand/player always won, the games would die. 

But in the long run, over a large sample, if you are more skilled than the people you are playing against you will win.
legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
If you're talking about ring games then I'd say it's 50-50 but if you're talking about freerolls then it's all luck, no skills involved there. People just donk-betting because they don't have anything to lose.

Then you can just play tight and pwn them hard. 

Play tight when they loose, play loose when they tight.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 502
If you're talking about ring games then I'd say it's 50-50 but if you're talking about freerolls then it's all luck, no skills involved there. People just donk-betting because they don't have anything to lose.
legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000
poker skill is overestimated, there is more luck involved, especially in tournament


Yeah MTT luck could really define your career, if you only ever played 1 or 2 large tournaments, a big win could set your poker career up.

Its all about sustained volume if you have an edge.
legendary
Activity: 812
Merit: 1000


If we play 10 hands against Phil Ivey, I am afraid we would lose 9 hands or lose all.

Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage, its more that better players have a bigger edge the longer you play them.  Any weak player could beat phil ivey over even 1000 hands.

So in the short term poker is about luck and very little skill.  In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck.

Totally agree with "Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage" and "In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck", playing against famous pros likes playing against a casino game has 99%+ house edge. And I watch high stakes poker, great pros like Phil ivey and Tom Dwan won more than loss, weaker pro players hardly win ONE HAND against those famous pros(Phil ivey, Johnny Chan and Tom Dwan).

Imagine we play against him in heads up. He just needs to bet all of our bankroll, and we dare not call when we have bad hands, and he easily get our blinds. Just playing several hands, our money would be run out.  Cheesy

heads up is different i dont know how weak the player in question is but yes a very weak player would likely never beat a pro over 1k hands HU.

In a 6max game a fish can win over 1k hands vs a table of sharks.  If they are total mega fish with really no clue then yeah i guess they cant even win that way.
legendary
Activity: 2604
Merit: 1036
Poker is (almost) All Luck because it's gambling. If you have the skill you would be playing chess and beating Magnus Carlsen. Oh wait  Cool
Even the poker pros can't win on a consistent basis.
legendary
Activity: 3248
Merit: 1070
poker skill is overestimated, there is more luck involved, especially in tournament

it also depends who fights who, if two good players fight each other then the luck will rise more, because skill is about equal

otherwise if the difference is too big, one can see more "skill from the experience player" but in reality is the noobs that don't know how to play...
legendary
Activity: 954
Merit: 1000
There are way to many variables in the game to determine how much of it is luck . Each street in the game dictates and changes the luck percentage.
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 1000
It is impossible to give a number to this. Each street matters in poker and luck factor changes on each street. A Skilled player will always get it in with the odds favoring him. Luck only determines your starting hand, and the streets that open up. The play in between is skill and there isn't a way to give a number to it.
And Internet bitcoin poker is no different than normal poker.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000


If we play 10 hands against Phil Ivey, I am afraid we would lose 9 hands or lose all.

Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage, its more that better players have a bigger edge the longer you play them.  Any weak player could beat phil ivey over even 1000 hands.

So in the short term poker is about luck and very little skill.  In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck.

Totally agree with "Phil ivey would only have a certain % of advantage" and "In the long term poker is about skill and very little luck", playing against famous pros likes playing against a casino game has 99%+ house edge. And I watch high stakes poker, great pros like Phil ivey and Tom Dwan won more than loss, weaker pro players hardly win ONE HAND against those famous pros(Phil ivey, Johnny Chan and Tom Dwan).

Imagine we play against him in heads up. He just needs to bet all of our bankroll, and we dare not call when we have bad hands, and he easily get our blinds. Just playing several hands, our money would be run out.  Cheesy
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