You really don't have to go to that extent in finding reasons to gamble, and that's if you really are playing for fun.
That's appropriate if you are really aiming to have some fun, you can simply pick your favorite team and wait if you are lucky enough to win
Knowing both teams and their formation and the odds should be more than enough to place some bets and take your chance in winning the bet, but if you really take that many precautions before placing any bet it is a telltale sign that you're most probably looking at it as more of a business than fun which is not that good as it could cause you to have unrealistic expectations from Gambling as a whole.
Though it's adding to your excitement when you are already go deep up to that level, trying to enhance your chance. It's quite easy to say that it's more enjoyable each time you bet then win.
The fact is you win some and you lose some and you can have temporarily 20-30% more winnings than losses if you know what you're doing but there's absolutely no guarantee that it's going to last long, and you obviously can not consider any return/profit that is not 100% as a proper source of income.
Enhancing your chances is far better and enjoyable, it's adding the entertaining part if most of the time you win decent, enough to celebrate your hardwork and give some relaxation after the game.