In one case bitcoin is doomed. If Everyone is like the above post author, who is non believer but bought some BTC, do nothing to promote it and just want someday it will worth millions. They will abandon the ship as soon as some governments ban the bitcoin. Do you think there's any reason for these kind of speculators to be rich overnight?
Fortunately, there's enough true believers there to work every day to bring more features and more applications. Moreover, they are advocating and explaining so more people could have a better understanding.
Bitcoin can only succeed with these people.
That's the one type of statement that worries me the most...
People talk about
believers...
But when it comes to money,
believes are truly the most irrational, risky, dangerous and fail-prone incentives a human could possibly dig up in his motives.
It's
knowledge that counts and only that. Unknown/future factors shall never be replaced with
believes - they shall be estimated with calculations, realistic approximation, available empirical data and a resulting probability that at least passes a common-sense test and is free of emotions or hopes (greed/fear/get-rich-quick-symptoms).
I know it takes some
believes to create visions of a brighter future.
But that bulldozer with the steel blade labeled
reality all but too quickly does a cleanup of these visions if not firmly anchored to realistic expectations.
Seeing how difficult it is now to just either buy or sell BTC for reasonable prices and with reasonable trust plus the wild speculation-driven price fluctuations alone are telling me BTC right now is clearly a hardly seaworthy fishing boat battling the open sea in stormy weather. And I know this type of sea actually
does have monsters that are up to no good.
BTC is a shark tank, operating it is like playing minesweeper - if you calculate hard & correct and keep your eyes wide open your chances of survival drastically improve (if you are skilled with LOTS of common sense to circumvent the mines you cannot directly calculate) - but in the end you're still crawling around in a minefield. And every single failure costs you money, every time.
As it stands now, BTC (IMHO) would be better off staying below the radar as good as it can. Its success could otherwise be its own demise, in its present infrastructure it's just an easy target for goverments and central banks who own them. For now they just don't seem to see it as a threat and avoid wasting ammunition (which if BTC survived would give it a boost in credibility).
I agree that BTC could
technically survive law & regulation but
realistically wouldn't be able to survive the high price-tag of a black market only currency.