With so many institutions investing long term in Bitcoin, especially since Bitcoin reached a price above $60k the popularity and demand
for Bitcoin has increased dramatically. This makes it difficult for Bitcoin to even drop below $20k, so like you said it's almost impossible to
see Bitcoin go down to $3000 again. I estimate very many rich people who collect Bitcoin, by buying Bitcoin regularly every Bitcoin has
a correction. So it is very unlikely that Bitcoin will go down like in 2018-2020.
It's unlike but it's possible due to market manipulation, the future is uncertain, though these people are buying or accumulating bitcoin, one big news that could potentially shake the market would also make them panic and sell their holdings. I'm just talking about the worst-case scenario here, at least we can see what could possibly happen in the future.