Topic: Will Russia Emerge As The Next Dominant Superpower - page 12. (Read 8955 times)

In the current market dynamics , Russia is far behind in terms of industrialization and in term of production of goods or in terms of service. Fossil fuel can not remain backbone of any superpower. Recently Russia is facing serious problem in term of defence production, because of shortage of microchips, supply from usa. So you can see their dependence on their arch rival for their needs. No such country can ever become super power

In the end, it is money that matters. Armenia has hardly any natural resources. Azerbaijan is awash with oil and gas and is very close to Turkey. Russia, under current circumstances can't pick up a war with Turkey, no matter whatever provocations that are coming from the other side. And in the end, Armenia becomes a scapegoat. A part of the blame should go to the Armenian president as well (Nikol Pashinyan). When Serzh Sargsyan was the president, he was careful not to offend the Russians. But Pashinyan tried to cozy up to the Americans and tried to play on both sides. And the Americans as usual refused to help when Azeris invaded.

But whatever is happening with this war with Ukraine, it is showing that Russia is not the superpower that they want to be.
Because if they are, this war should have ended a long time ago. I believe Russia's resources are already depleting from this war.
They may have secret cards to play with because of their oil but sooner or later, these countries relying from them will find other alternatives.
I am certain, if this war ends, it will take a heavy toll also on Russia, not only on Ukraine. This is why, there's no winner in wars.

Russia could handle and deal with the possible sanctions that might throw at them and they seem to prepare for this war. The whole world is also suffering because of the lack of oil supply and the situation could get worse if there will be no other big countries that will replace Russia in supplying the global oil. Russia doesn't want to intervene in the war between their neighboring countriess.

There was never any need to send any forces there since the situation was and still is under control. Not to mention that Russia is technically closer to the fake country they've created not so long ago called Azerbaijan not Armenia.

They are self sustaining country so even if they imposed sanction on that country Russia will still survive. The problem hits with EU because since Russia cut down the oil supply there then for sure they suffer for more expensive gas price, for this actions made by Putin for sure EU will suffer from huge inflation together with other countries who rely on Russia before.

Russia as a great superpower is coming to an end. Its large-scale military invasion of Ukraine was a strategic mistake that will lead Russia to decline and, most likely, collapse into separate independent states. Now Putin's Russia is suffering a military defeat in Ukraine and is looking for additional weapons and mercenaries around the world, since its "second army of the world" has already been largely defeated in Ukraine. Therefore, the myth of Russia's invincibility has been debunked, and it is rapidly losing credibility even among the former Soviet republics. A landmark event was Russia's refusal of military assistance to Armenia after its military conflict with Azerbaijan and the shelling of the positions of Russian "peacekeepers" in this country. In Russia, there is already a corny lack of military power. Kazakhstan is already directly moving away from the influence of Russia, and among the numerous "subjects of the Russian Federation" riots and the struggle for their independence are brewing. All this should happen by the spring of next year.

I just read news about the Ukranian advances today and this makes me wonder if Ukranie would try to recover Crimea as fast as possible in case they manage to clear the rest of their territory of Russian soldiers.
I am not sure whether it is true or not but I have read Crimea has become a stronghold for the separatist cells and there must be an important number of Russian Units there to protect those "Autonomous Republics" the Klemlin proclaimed not long ago.

Another potential but unlikely escenario would be Ukraine trying to return the favor to Russia and annex some land, hopefully not that would definitely scale the conflict, imo.

Judging on the development of the situation in the east and south of Ukraine - the shameful flight of the Russian army, the total destruction of "elite formations of the Russian army", and the complete demoralization of those fleeing, and the central headquarters, the question of any future of Russia can be removed! Why? It seems that soon this totally fake subject will simply cease to exist
And a lover of alternative fairy-tale reality - yes, you can continue to discuss the "greatness and power of Russia" that never existed




Dear Sithara007 - don't waste your time! Your real purpose is to write the funniest, most fantastic, short stories and fairy tales! You will be hard to beat as fiction! I appreciate your talent in this area!  

Do you know how your answer sounds to me? In simple understandable examples? I will explain "Homeless and alcoholic Rus, does not have attracted funds, such as the HP company, and the HP company constantly takes loans for business development. The HP company is losers, being a homeless person and an alcoholic is an indicator of stability!"

I think Russia has always been a superpower. It’s unique
dominance in certain aspects has constantly been
questionable throughout the years even after the cold war.
It is a rich, strong and resilient nation, they have abundant
natural resources that is sought after with today’s industry
and needs. It’s arguably in question since there are other
countries that have emerged in recent years that are
considered super powers, but still it is unwise to
underestimate what this nation is entirely capable of.
Todays soaring fuel prices and energy crisis is simply
testament enough in itself.

Russia is not a debt-based economy. On the other hand, countries such as the United States and some of the EU nations are built on top of debt. Russia is a net exporter of natural resources, while others consume more than what they produce. Under these circumstances, it is not surprising that the Russian economy is still resilient despite the sanctions. Remove the oligarchs and corrupt cronies of Putin, and Russians will have one of the highest living standards in the world. But that is never going to happen, unfortunately.

Russia and America have always been two superpowers. In the past, military power was more prominent, but for now, military power seems to be a support, and economic power can be a real war today. we see that Russia is currently at war with western countries, but they still look strong, because they hold the key to oil and gas natural resources, which of course are much needed by western countries. actually there are more countries that are the mecca of economic might, namely China, where this country has production costs that are very competitive with any other country.

International relations have gained new dimensions with various concepts in each period. I think we will hear more frequently in the coming years the concepts in which regional power actors come to the fore. In this context, I think the era of global hegemonies is over. After that, we may not see another country like the USA that can be the dominant power alone. We are now entering a new political era in which regional actors come to the fore, and we must admit that Russia is a very powerful regional actor. Countries such as Russia, China, India, Türkiye and Iran act with the desire to be playmakers for their own interests. Polyphony can make noise, and it can also create wealth. My only wish is to enter a period where cooperation is preferred over conflict, but for now we cannot say that things are going very well...

Your opinion is very important to us!

Like Putin, I can talk a lot about what is not clear and draw conclusions about nothing I am more interested in the essence of the event and a brief summary. Here is an example, from a large volume in detail, I will post a short summary of what is happening:

- Russia failed to agree with China on the placement of public debt in yuan. China has not given its permission!
Russia runs to Beijing for permits, and sends Russia with a smirk. Under the Kremlin terrorist, Russia's sovereignty is gone, and the word "greatness" causes nothing but laughter

- Just mega funny news: Russians will be forced to pay a new gas fee after cutting off supplies to Europe
In Russia, the population can be called a "scapegoat"

... Is this indicative or did it have to be written in many words?

I'll dip you into reality for a bit. A little about the "world leader of Russia and its true friends"

I read about the "greatness of Russia" and "bald miserable helmsman of Russia" every time I laugh heartily
So:
China "took hostage" $ 100 billion of Russia's reserves
Having invested 17% of its gold and foreign exchange reserves in the yuan, the Russian authorities admitted that it was simply impossible to withdraw funds from Chinese assets.

The sale of yuan, in which more than $100 billion of gold reserves were invested as of January 1, requires a separate agreement with China. This is stated in the presentation of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, prepared for a meeting with members of the government on the future of the reserves and plans to fill them with "friendly" currencies.

According to a document cited by Bloomberg, the authorities are discussing the possibility of buying yuan and other “soft” currencies for $70 billion. At the same time, the Central Bank admits that after the imposition of sanctions and a ban on transactions with dollars and euros, it is not easy to find assets for gold reserves.

The choice comes down to a few "friendly" countries. But the Turkish lira cannot get out of the “corkscrew” of chronic devaluation and has lost 90% of its value in 10 years. The UAE dirham, according to the presentation, is subject to “political risks”: US officials have frequented the emirates, demanding that Dubai not be turned into a hub to circumvent sanctions.

Only the yuan remains, but there are problems with it: it is relatively easy to invest in Chinese assets, but not to withdraw it back. This requires the permission of the Chinese authorities, and “it will be very difficult to get it in a crisis,” writes the Central Bank (quotes from Bloomberg).

In the Chinese "trap" were the last non-frozen reserves of Russia. Of the $640 billion that the Central Bank had before the start of the war, about half fell under the first wave of Western sanctions. These are dollars, euros, Japanese yen, British pounds, as well as Australian and Canadian dollars.

Central Bank gold - 2.3 thousand tons, which is the fifth largest gold reserve in the world - fell under separate US sanctions in April. And although the bars are stored in Russia and cannot be arrested, it is hardly possible to sell them abroad “secretly”: Russian gold has characteristic impurities that will unambiguously show the country of origin of the metal.

Before the start of the war, the Central Bank, according to its annual report (.pdf), held $105 billion in yuan. It began buying Chinese currency in 2018, when the United States imposed sanctions against Rusal and discussed measures against the Russian public debt. In 2021, the Ministry of Finance joined the central bank, which converted the dollar part of the National Wealth Fund into yuan.

The Central Bank purchased the largest "portion" of yuan ($44 billion) in the spring of 2018, when the Chinese currency fluctuated between 6.2-6.4 yuan per dollar. The Ministry of Finance invested in the yuan at a rate of 6.4 per dollar ($17 billion). Now the Chinese currency is trading at about 6.9 yuan per dollar and has fallen by 7% since the beginning of the war in Ukraine. This “cut off” $7 billion from Russian gold reserves in the form of foreign exchange losses.

Despite all the difficulties, according to Bloomberg sources, the central bank and the government have agreed on a strategic decision to bring investments in yuan to $180 billion.

https://www.moscowtimes.eu/2022/09/04/kitai-vzyal-v-zalozhniki-100-milliardov-rezervov-rossii-a23884

I am not supporting government corruption but no country is devoid of corrupt politicians and stealing from military budget, is the easiest. Government try to hide investments in military equipment to prevent probation of the high amount. All countries brag about their product and find ways to spy into other countries inventions, which could be reason for the disappointmect in the stronger ammunition discovery of Russia.

Yep, perfect setting.
- bank failure
- an over-credited market that has all the signs of a bubble
- huge internal tension in the economy (by the way, one of the "accepted" solutions is to start some kind of war to divert attention and justify problems in the economy)
- The total dependence of economics on external buyers, and primarily the United States
- "Exodus" of high-tech industries previously located there in the same United States, and transferring them back to the United States, which will greatly help the United States and further destroy the Chinese economy

Just tomorrow to become a world leader ))

Russia was one of the superpowers in times of Soviet Era and lost its little supremacy status after the dissolution of the soviet union, but still Russia is counted among the superpowers in the 21st century and you must have seen that China is now becoming an emerging superpower, its GDP is second highest after USA. It seems that China will cross USA in coming decades.

China has everything to become the Next Super Power, whatever happens to the world economy has no effect, especially since China is increasingly aggressive by giving loans to many countries so that they can become the Next Super Power.

I agree that one country will be more dominant. However, I think that it could be China. The country has not been affected too much. Moreover, they have a diversity food supply while EU nations are meeting the lack of food.