If that logic were sound than the value of both ought to be very close to zero because they are infinitely reproducible.
It might go pretty close to zero, emission has just started and will take years with Monero emitting twice as much as Boolberry or others.
You guys are just living in illusions
I agree about the Bitcoin network effect (although it's debateable that the latest bubble in November and perhaps the one in April, 2013 were spurred by Mt.Gox bots), but a network effect in Monero and first mover advantage? That's just silly.
You are living in illusion with your flawed math.
Monero is a better investment for investors, as you already said the most coins will be emmited within 2 years (around 75%) then we have a very low inflation - whereas the Boolberry emission will have a high inflation at that time.
One day Moneros emission curve will CROSS the Boolberry emission curve and our inflation is
_less_.
Monero clearly gives an advantage to early adopters - if thats good or bad is out of context, but for investors i guess it is.
To show some more figures. Over 30.000.000 Litecoin are already mined, and there are still 28k LTC mined every day (Monero currently 22.5k) - the LTC price is x times higher than the Monero price and it takes till next autumn for Litecoin to have the first block halving - you can calculate yourself how much Litecoin will be out then i guess - and i bet the price will be still higher than it is today.
If you want to have a high emission rate like this coin, it should be 80% in the first 6-12 months. Reason being, 4 years is a long time. Holders are going to see their coins losing value, and other potential buyers will say, heck I will buy in when its at 75% emission. People lose interest very quickly.
NXT was successful because it was POS, all coins distributed, and the more people interested, the higher the value would go. If Monero had something like 80-90% in 6-12 months. (The only problem I see is a big dip in hash rate after 6-12 months) It wouldn't face the main criticsm that NXT did with people complaining about the IPO/Distribution.
We are only at about ~2 million coins, and 14.72 million will be out by 2018. Unless we create a demand for 4 years that can match the amount of coins being mined, its gonna be difficult to keep the price from going down. And I think all of us want the price to go up vs down.
14 million coins arent much by then if Monero has utility and there is enough demand.
As you said yourself, we need utility and demand and that we can archive working on the code and making Monero easy to use - and thats what we do at the moment.
This price discussions are useless and help no one, we are talking about alpha level software on a pure speculative market so far...