Author

Topic: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency - page 1652. (Read 4670972 times)

hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
You are living in illusion with your flawed math.

Monero is a better investment for investors, as you already said the most coins will be emmited within 2 years (around 75%) then we have a very low inflation - whereas the Boolberry emission will have a high inflation at that time.
One day Moneros emission curve will CROSS the Boolberry emission curve and our inflation is _less_.
Monero clearly gives an advantage to early adopters - if thats good or bad is out of context, but for investors i guess it is.


So, you're assuming investors will be buying the first 2 years and hodling. Also assuming that there will be enough investors to keep buying from miners constantly dumping on the market to keep the price stable or even going higher. Ok, it's hard to argue with that logic. Like you said price discussions are pointless. Let's wait what happens. But 2 years is an eternity in crypto space.

After 2 years 15 mio coins are out.
Currently we have 2 million out with a current marketcap of 2.230.xxx usd

So over the next 2 years we need to get a 7.5 times higher marketcap to hold the current price - 24 million usd and that is literally nothing if Monero proofs utility - litecoin currently has 271 million and NXT 45 Million - far more.

I cant see a reason why we cant reach them somewhere in the future but thats just my personal opinion.
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
So many people (including bitcointalk hero members and btc whales) saying they are buyers at this price but not bid support on the exchanges. I find this curious.


Buy Orders
Price   XMR   BTC
0.00240200   301.44639286   0.72407424
0.00240005   83.33159726   0.2
0.00240003   20.83307292   0.05
0.00240002   2054.5795685   4.93103206
0.00240001   500   1.200005
0.00240000   1658.80367081   3.98112881

There are 75 BTC against 89000 XMRs at Poloniex, divide 75/89000 = 0.0008, that's the average price buyers are willing to pay. Frankly, I don't see how the price can be 5x higher than its closest competitor Boolberry, both coins are technically equal. Even hero members are not bigger than the market and can't support the price indefinately.
Network effect, liquidity, first mover advantage. Monero is THE cryptonote currency. Everything else is altcoins. Why do you think bitcoin is worth 70 times more than litecoin?

Boolberry does not offer anything significantly better/different than monero.

If all it takes is to have a technically equal currency for it to be valued at 1:1 ratio then you also need to understand that all coins will be equally worthless due to unlimited inflation.

Come on, what network effect?! Bitcoin had years before altcoins, Monero and others launched about the same time, where is the advantage?
I did run cryptonote exchange, with 750 members who were all exposed to monero (and bytecoin) but never boolberry.

A few other comparisons to make:

XMRBBRMultiplier
Reddit Subscribers5122223x
People on IRC150+305x
Forum topic pages4971174.25x
Volume in BTC (today)903.2228x

Monero is vastly more popular. Yes, boolberry launched fairly soon thereafter, which may explain why it's doing as well as it does. But monero is the currency with the biggest network and highest liquidity.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
You are living in illusion with your flawed math.

Monero is a better investment for investors, as you already said the most coins will be emmited within 2 years (around 75%) then we have a very low inflation - whereas the Boolberry emission will have a high inflation at that time.
One day Moneros emission curve will CROSS the Boolberry emission curve and our inflation is _less_.
Monero clearly gives an advantage to early adopters - if thats good or bad is out of context, but for investors i guess it is.


So, you're assuming investors will be buying the first 2 years and hodling. Also assuming that there will be enough investors to keep buying from miners constantly dumping on the market to keep the price stable or even going higher. Ok, it's hard to argue with that logic. Like you said price discussions are pointless. Let's wait what happens. But 2 years is an eternity in crypto space.
hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
If that logic were sound than the value of both ought to be very close to zero because they are infinitely reproducible.

It might go pretty close to zero, emission has just started and will take years with Monero emitting twice as much as Boolberry or others.

You guys are just living in illusions Smiley I agree about the Bitcoin network effect (although it's debateable that the latest bubble in November and perhaps the one in April, 2013 were spurred by Mt.Gox bots), but a network effect in Monero and first mover advantage? That's just silly.

You are living in illusion with your flawed math.

Monero is a better investment for investors, as you already said the most coins will be emmited within 2 years (around 75%) then we have a very low inflation - whereas the Boolberry emission will have a high inflation at that time.
One day Moneros emission curve will CROSS the Boolberry emission curve and our inflation is _less_.
Monero clearly gives an advantage to early adopters - if thats good or bad is out of context, but for investors i guess it is.

To show some more figures. Over 30.000.000 Litecoin are already mined, and there are still 28k LTC mined every day (Monero currently 22.5k) - the LTC price is x times higher than the Monero price and it takes till next autumn for Litecoin to have the first block halving - you can calculate yourself how much Litecoin will be out then i guess - and i bet the price will be still higher than it is today.

If you want to have a high emission rate like this coin, it should be 80% in the first 6-12 months. Reason being, 4 years is a long time. Holders are going to see their coins losing value, and other potential buyers will say, heck I will buy in when its at 75% emission. People lose interest very quickly.

NXT was successful because it was POS, all coins distributed, and the more people interested, the higher the value would go. If Monero had something like 80-90% in 6-12 months. (The only problem I see is a big dip in hash rate after 6-12 months) It wouldn't face the main criticsm that NXT did with people complaining about the IPO/Distribution.

We are only at about ~2 million coins, and 14.72 million will be out by 2018. Unless we create a demand for 4 years that can match the amount of coins being mined, its gonna be difficult to keep the price from going down. And I think all of us want the price to go up vs down.


14 million coins arent much by then if Monero has utility and there is enough demand.

As you said yourself, we need utility and demand and that we can archive working on the code and making Monero easy to use - and thats what we do at the moment.

This price discussions are useless and help no one, we are talking about alpha level software on a pure speculative market so far...
hero member
Activity: 870
Merit: 585

And to get back on a more technical topic, heres a great post from andytoshi regarding cryptonote and the potential: https://crypto.stackexchange.com/questions/18091/is-there-any-true-anonymous-cryptocurrencies/18096#18096

Guy knows his stuff.  Everybody please read this.
legendary
Activity: 1321
Merit: 1007
If you want to have a high emission rate like this coin, it should be 80% in the first 6-12 months. Reason being, 4 years is a long time. Holders are going to see their coins losing value, and other potential buyers will say, heck I will buy in when its at 75% emission. People lose interest very quickly.

NXT was successful because it was POS, all coins distributed, and the more people interested, the higher the value would go. If Monero had something like 80-90% in 6-12 months. (The only problem I see is a big dip in hash rate after 6-12 months) It wouldn't face the main criticsm that NXT did with people complaining about the IPO/Distribution.

We are only at about ~2 million coins, and 14.72 million will be out by 2018. Unless we create a demand for 4 years that can match the amount of coins being mined, its gonna be difficult to keep the price from going down. And I think all of us want the price to go up vs down.

sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
So many people (including bitcointalk hero members and btc whales) saying they are buyers at this price but not bid support on the exchanges. I find this curious.


Buy Orders
Price   XMR   BTC
0.00240200   301.44639286   0.72407424
0.00240005   83.33159726   0.2
0.00240003   20.83307292   0.05
0.00240002   2054.5795685   4.93103206
0.00240001   500   1.200005
0.00240000   1658.80367081   3.98112881

There are 75 BTC against 89000 XMRs at Poloniex, divide 75/89000 = 0.0008, that's the average price buyers are willing to pay. Frankly, I don't see how the price can be 5x higher than its closest competitor Boolberry, both coins are technically equal. Even hero members are not bigger than the market and can't support the price indefinately.
Network effect, liquidity, first mover advantage. Monero is THE cryptonote currency. Everything else is altcoins. Why do you think bitcoin is worth 70 times more than litecoin?

Boolberry does not offer anything significantly better/different than monero.

If all it takes is to have a technically equal currency for it to be valued at 1:1 ratio then you also need to understand that all coins will be equally worthless due to unlimited inflation.

Come on, what network effect?! Bitcoin had years before altcoins, Monero and others launched about the same time, where is the advantage?

If that logic were sound than the value of both ought to be very close to zero because they are infinitely reproducible.

It might go pretty close to zero, emission has just started and will take years with Monero emitting twice as much as Boolberry or others.

You guys are just living in illusions Smiley I agree about the Bitcoin network effect (although it's debateable that the latest bubble in November and perhaps the one in April, 2013 were spurred by Mt.Gox bots), but a network effect in Monero and first mover advantage? That's just silly.
legendary
Activity: 3444
Merit: 1061
patience buyers...miners will mine for you..lets buy XMR at cheap prices.

lots of smart people and respected members here see the potential and in a way created a buying hype..but XMR is still not as user friendly as BTC and not as known to many people yet.

Well the trouble is a low value may cause new potential developers to lose interest. Or worst case even the current developers.

People. Please don't give up hope.

hmm that's bad..

this is out of XMR topic and a little bit funny for me..coz now i see the advantage of dashcoin  Cheesy

quote from the OP of DSH:

Why mirror image is better than self sustained fork?
The reason is simple - costs. Self sustained forks demand a lot of development time, if you want to build a well maintained cryptocurrency. And if the network grows, the required development time is likely to grow too.
A simpler, and less costly way to maintain a network with high reliability is to create a self mutating copy of parasite on it. Mutating copy Parasite is a simple copy of the original source, mutating every time the original source mutates.

Even more - such a process can be automated!


FTFY
haha  Grin if you want to destroy me-destroy yourself first! (parasite)
legendary
Activity: 3444
Merit: 1061
patience buyers...miners will mine for you..lets buy XMR at cheap prices.

lots of smart people and respected members here see the potential and in a way created a buying hype..but XMR is still not as user friendly as BTC and not as known to many people yet.

Well the trouble is a low value may cause new potential developers to lose interest. Or worst case even the current developers.

People. Please don't give up hope.

hmm that's bad..

this is out of XMR topic and a little bit funny for me..coz now i see the advantage of dashcoin  Cheesy

quote from the OP of DSH:

Why mirror image is better than self sustained fork?
The reason is simple - costs. Self sustained forks demand a lot of development time, if you want to build a well maintained cryptocurrency. And if the network grows, the required development time is likely to grow too.
A simpler, and less costly way to maintain a network with high reliability is to create a self mutating copy of it. Mutating copy is a simple copy of the original source, mutating every time the original source mutates.

Even more - such a process can be automated!


Seriously? Relying on other people for development with that lame excuse?
So Bytecoin introduces some bug in purpose, dashcoin copies it automatically and destroys the network? Sounds really awesome...



yep that's why its funny..but solves the costs issue for development..bytecoin bug will affect them (bytecoin) first. bytecoin woudn't do that to themselves..i think so..
Dashcoin is a "shitcoin" for lack of a better word. Shitcoins may be pumped but eventually they all die due to lack of interest. They are usually created with the solo purpose of enriching the creator/early-adopter. It's pretty much the modern day form of a ponzi scheme.

Does it solve the cost of development? Certainly. But if all it takes is to copy/paste bitcoin/monero and have value is instantly created out of thin air then why not repeat this process a billion times? Quite simple: Unlimited inflation causes the coin to be worth zero.

yes you are right it is a shitcoin..but what i like in that shitcoin is an honest "yes i am a mirror/copy/clone and can be automated" whaallah zero dev cost..and saying hey bytecoin this is a mirror of you and no premine..and things can change in the future for better or worse.

i disagree in your early-adopter ponzi scheme explanation because all coins are beneficial to early adopters including BTC and XMR.

DSH is a high risk move for me, gonna keep a few..meanwhile it seems XMR is losing hashes, lower difficulty (more coins for me), time to go back mining XMR for a lower risk move.
hero member
Activity: 605
Merit: 500
I'm afraid the people (well respected contributors no less) saying it makes no sense for botnet owners to mine Monero are mistaken. Sure, other coins might be more profitable in small volumes, but there's no way a botnet will be able to exchange out of a thinly traded premined shitnote and into BTC without bringing the price to zero. Same for VTC

Don't get me wrong, im in this coin for the long haul. I've exchanged all my alts for XMR. I expect botnets securing the network. As the network grow to include more efficient hardware, this will be less and less of an issue. It's a little disheartening to see this kind of misinformation here. Understand that there is no better coin for botnet operators to mine right now, and this is to be expected. Not sure if there are ulterior motives at play or if you're simply not taking volumes into consideration when claiming otherwise
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
So many people (including bitcointalk hero members and btc whales) saying they are buyers at this price but not bid support on the exchanges. I find this curious.


Buy Orders
Price   XMR   BTC
0.00240200   301.44639286   0.72407424
0.00240005   83.33159726   0.2
0.00240003   20.83307292   0.05
0.00240002   2054.5795685   4.93103206
0.00240001   500   1.200005
0.00240000   1658.80367081   3.98112881

There are 75 BTC against 89000 XMRs at Poloniex, divide 75/89000 = 0.0008, that's the average price buyers are willing to pay. Frankly, I don't see how the price can be 5x higher than its closest competitor Boolberry, both coins are technically equal. Even hero members are not bigger than the market and can't support the price indefinately.

If that logic were sound than the value of both ought to be very close to zero because they are infinitely reproducible.
hero member
Activity: 870
Merit: 585
patience buyers...miners will mine for you..lets buy XMR at cheap prices.

lots of smart people and respected members here see the potential and in a way created a buying hype..but XMR is still not as user friendly as BTC and not as known to many people yet.

Well the trouble is a low value may cause new potential developers to lose interest. Or worst case even the current developers.

People. Please don't give up hope.

hmm that's bad..

this is out of XMR topic and a little bit funny for me..coz now i see the advantage of dashcoin  Cheesy

quote from the OP of DSH:

Why mirror image is better than self sustained fork?
The reason is simple - costs. Self sustained forks demand a lot of development time, if you want to build a well maintained cryptocurrency. And if the network grows, the required development time is likely to grow too.
A simpler, and less costly way to maintain a network with high reliability is to create a self mutating copy of parasite on it. Mutating copy Parasite is a simple copy of the original source, mutating every time the original source mutates.

Even more - such a process can be automated!


FTFY
legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
I think bytecoin has a better shot than tenebrix, but not enough to out-compete monero.

lol tenebrix
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 503
Monero Core Team
I also bought some additional XMR. Sadly, it was less than 0.5 BTC given my really limited economical capabilities.
My trading plan involves cashing out from one altcoin tomorrow. Great timing, I hope.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
BUT....  the decline has been long and steady.  What do you think is driving this?  And how can this coin recover?
Tacotime said: "It’s not until 2-3 years in that we’ll likely see obscene increases in price given simple economics."
The said simple economics being mostly inflation rate (the rest being inside (wallet, website) or outside (institution getting into monero) announcements.
BTC was cheap for several years. And Monero follows a BTC-like emission curve. Connect the dots.

Network effect, liquidity, first mover advantage.
Well, technically, First-mover advantage is for Bytecoin Smiley But then again, this did not help Tenebrix either.

Monero is THE cryptonote currency. Everything else is altcoins.
Someone somewhere proposed the word "altnotes" Smiley

(finally thought about checking the "don't use smiley" checkbox. I feel much better now)

Yep. I've been buying XMR to hold for at least 2-3 years based on the emission curve. FWIW in the cryptonote world I see XMR as gold while BBR is more like silver. I've got a chunk of both but XMR is the better long term prospect. The only 'danger' I see with the price right now is I might be tempted to buy much more. ;-)

Keep up the good work devs. :-)
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
BUT....  the decline has been long and steady.  What do you think is driving this?  And how can this coin recover?
Tacotime said: "It’s not until 2-3 years in that we’ll likely see obscene increases in price given simple economics."
The said simple economics being mostly inflation rate (the rest being inside (wallet, website) or outside (institution getting into monero) announcements.
BTC was cheap for several years. And Monero follows a BTC-like emission curve. Connect the dots.

Network effect, liquidity, first mover advantage.
Well, technically, First-mover advantage is for Bytecoin Smiley But then again, this did not help Tenebrix either.

Monero is THE cryptonote currency. Everything else is altcoins.
Someone somewhere proposed the word "altnotes" Smiley

(finally thought about checking the "don't use smiley" checkbox. I feel much better now)
Bytecoin can be ignored due to the massive 80% "pre-mine", the only reason it has any value at all is that it has first mover advantage, but so does Monero for being the first fair cryptonote currency. I think bytecoin has a better shot than tenebrix, but not enough to out-compete monero.
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
patience buyers...miners will mine for you..lets buy XMR at cheap prices.

lots of smart people and respected members here see the potential and in a way created a buying hype..but XMR is still not as user friendly as BTC and not as known to many people yet.

Well the trouble is a low value may cause new potential developers to lose interest. Or worst case even the current developers.

People. Please don't give up hope.

hmm that's bad..

this is out of XMR topic and a little bit funny for me..coz now i see the advantage of dashcoin  Cheesy

quote from the OP of DSH:

Why mirror image is better than self sustained fork?
The reason is simple - costs. Self sustained forks demand a lot of development time, if you want to build a well maintained cryptocurrency. And if the network grows, the required development time is likely to grow too.
A simpler, and less costly way to maintain a network with high reliability is to create a self mutating copy of it. Mutating copy is a simple copy of the original source, mutating every time the original source mutates.

Even more - such a process can be automated!


Seriously? Relying on other people for development with that lame excuse?
So Bytecoin introduces some bug in purpose, dashcoin copies it automatically and destroys the network? Sounds really awesome...



yep that's why its funny..but solves the costs issue for development..bytecoin bug will affect them (bytecoin) first. bytecoin woudn't do that to themselves..i think so..
Dashcoin is a "shitcoin" for lack of a better word. Shitcoins may be pumped but eventually they all die due to lack of interest. They are usually created with the solo purpose of enriching the creator/early-adopter. It's pretty much the modern day form of a ponzi scheme.

Does it solve the cost of development? Certainly. But if all it takes is to copy/paste bitcoin/monero and have value is instantly created out of thin air then why not repeat this process a billion times? Quite simple: Unlimited inflation causes the coin to be worth zero.
hero member
Activity: 658
Merit: 503
Monero Core Team
BUT....  the decline has been long and steady.  What do you think is driving this?  And how can this coin recover?
Tacotime said: "It’s not until 2-3 years in that we’ll likely see obscene increases in price given simple economics."
The said simple economics being mostly inflation rate (the rest being inside (wallet, website) or outside (institution getting into monero) announcements.
BTC was cheap for several years. And Monero follows a BTC-like emission curve. Connect the dots.

Network effect, liquidity, first mover advantage.
Well, technically, First-mover advantage is for Bytecoin :) But then again, this did not help Tenebrix either.

Monero is THE cryptonote currency. Everything else is altcoins.
Someone somewhere proposed the word "altnotes" :)

(finally thought about checking the "don't use smiley" checkbox. I feel much better now)
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
So many people (including bitcointalk hero members and btc whales) saying they are buyers at this price but not bid support on the exchanges. I find this curious.


Buy Orders
Price   XMR   BTC
0.00240200   301.44639286   0.72407424
0.00240005   83.33159726   0.2
0.00240003   20.83307292   0.05
0.00240002   2054.5795685   4.93103206
0.00240001   500   1.200005
0.00240000   1658.80367081   3.98112881

There are 75 BTC against 89000 XMRs at Poloniex, divide 75/89000 = 0.0008, that's the average price buyers are willing to pay. Frankly, I don't see how the price can be 5x higher than its closest competitor Boolberry, both coins are technically equal. Even hero members are not bigger than the market and can't support the price indefinately.
Network effect, liquidity, first mover advantage. Monero is THE cryptonote currency. Everything else is altcoins. Why do you think bitcoin is worth 70 times more than litecoin?

Boolberry does not offer anything significantly better/different than monero.

If all it takes is to have a technically equal currency for it to be valued at 1:1 ratio then you also need to understand that all coins will be equally worthless due to unlimited inflation.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 260
So many people (including bitcointalk hero members and btc whales) saying they are buyers at this price but not bid support on the exchanges. I find this curious.


Buy Orders
Price   XMR   BTC
0.00240200   301.44639286   0.72407424
0.00240005   83.33159726   0.2
0.00240003   20.83307292   0.05
0.00240002   2054.5795685   4.93103206
0.00240001   500   1.200005
0.00240000   1658.80367081   3.98112881

There are 75 BTC against 89000 XMRs at Poloniex, divide 75/89000 = 0.0008, that's the average price buyers are willing to pay. Frankly, I don't see how the price can be 5x higher than its closest competitor Boolberry, both coins are technically equal. Even hero members are not bigger than the market and can't support the price indefinately.
Jump to: