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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 1364. (Read 3313576 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1000
April 09, 2016, 02:00:23 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming?

At any second between now and August there's going to be a nuclear explosion of alts cratering:




I will explain it more simply.

Ethereum speculators and Bitcoin shorters:



Bitcoin longs:

legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
April 09, 2016, 01:58:01 PM
Looks like I need to prepare some btc ready for accumulation. I am planning some heavy accumulation if you guys want to throw the towels to the ring.  Wink
legendary
Activity: 2016
Merit: 1259
April 09, 2016, 01:46:05 PM
It seems 27ksat has to be retested and is not that probable that will hold. Betting at 23-25ksat as floor

Splash!  testing... testing...
full member
Activity: 212
Merit: 100
April 09, 2016, 01:25:18 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming?



~0.0029 coincides the bottom of the channel (0.001200 thru 0.001904) with the 38.2% retracement (0.00097 to 0.0042).

That's a pretty strong package, but it if breaks, then the 50% retracement sits at 0.0025950.

(We don't want the 50% marker to break as that would be a technical reversal of everything built from 0.0009.)

You're always on the mark rangedriver. Nicely done.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
April 09, 2016, 01:24:20 PM
Whatevs.  I am all-in as of now, so I don't care until it crosses 420ks again.  Thank you, shorts!
sr. member
Activity: 397
Merit: 250
April 09, 2016, 12:46:23 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming? Which chart explained any of the recent dump? NONE. That's why TA etc are just dumb tools to dupe newbies (regardless of legitimacy of a coin). Overall this is coin has more slimeballs than even DASH and ETH combined. Normally I use crude language to go with this but it serves no purpose.

Just don't introduce anyone to XMR. BTC is the best one can do and that's what should be supported. Otherwise it's just dump a coin, come to this thread with a TA line to mock everyone, post negative sentiments when you want to buy, positive when you are ready to dump. Rinse, laugh and repeat.

Don't forget to post at what price you want to get back in. What price you want to sell right now. Everything out in the open, to steal from the guy posting before you in this very thread. Works everytime.

Suer.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.14349808
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 504
April 09, 2016, 12:44:41 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming? Which chart explained any of the recent dump? NONE. That's why TA etc are just dumb tools to dupe newbies (regardless of legitimacy of a coin). Overall this is coin has more slimeballs than even DASH and ETH combined. Normally I use crude language to go with this but it serves no purpose.

Just don't introduce anyone to XMR. BTC is the best one can do and that's what should be supported. Otherwise it's just dump a coin, come to this thread with a TA line to mock everyone, post negative sentiments when you want to buy, positive when you are ready to dump. Rinse, laugh and repeat.

Don't forget to post at what price you want to get back in. What price you want to sell right now. Everything out in the open, to steal from the guy posting before you in this very thread. Works everytime.

This movement was quite predictable, actually, if you looked at prior price action and took the warning signs to heart.  I suspect many people saw it coming but didn't want to shout it from the rooftops because then they would have been labeled as FUD'sters and it would have hastened its arrival.  I, and a couple of friends, saw it before it happened a few days ago and agreed not to take any margin long positions anytime soon lest we get #rekt. 
  
In fact, I've posted as least one silly graphic in this very thread which perfectly predicted that drop.  
  
Bottom line: Even though I am a permabull, I know nothing moves up in a straight line.  Corrections, sometimes even stomach churning ones are necessary at times.  That's why it's important not to margin long (unless you are willing to lose big) and to simply acquire spot XMR and then never let it go.  
  
In the long term I believe Monero is going extraordinarily higher, but this won't be the last drop of terror along the ride. 
 
It seems 27ksat has to be retested and is not that probable that will hold. Betting at 23-25ksat as floor
 
 
Dotto has consistently been one of the smartest posters in this thread.  Everyone need to take a look at Ethereum's price action during its first big correction, on the way towards its ascent. 
 
Right now we are seeing fear.  Soon comes capitulation as margin longs can no longer take the pain and get liquidated, and people holding even spot XMR throw in the towel.  I don't need to tell you I'm a permabull, and I don't need to tell you what a permabull feels during these moments of mass terror.... 
 
Fine, I'll tell you anyway: greed
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
April 09, 2016, 12:44:03 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming?



~0.0029 coincides the bottom of the channel (0.001200 thru 0.001904) with the 38.2% retracement (0.00097 to 0.0042).

That's a pretty strong package, but it if breaks, then the 50% retracement sits at 0.0025950.

(We don't want the 50% marker to break as that would be a technical reversal of everything built from 0.0009.)
legendary
Activity: 981
Merit: 1005
No maps for these territories
April 09, 2016, 12:40:26 PM
It seems 27ksat has to be retested and is not that probable that will hold. Betting at 23-25ksat as floor
legendary
Activity: 1256
Merit: 1009
April 09, 2016, 12:39:10 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming? Which chart explained any of the recent dump? NONE. That's why TA etc are just dumb tools to dupe newbies (regardless of legitimacy of a coin). Overall this is coin has more slimeballs than even DASH and ETH combined. Normally I use crude language to go with this but it serves no purpose.

Just don't introduce anyone to XMR. BTC is the best one can do and that's what should be supported. Otherwise it's just dump a coin, come to this thread with a TA line to mock everyone, post negative sentiments when you want to buy, positive when you are ready to dump. Rinse, laugh and repeat.

Don't forget to post at what price you want to get back in. What price you want to sell right now. Everything out in the open, to steal from the guy posting before you in this very thread. Works everytime.

Bitcoin is a walking deadman.  No one knows it yet.

Not sure what will take it's place but it will be worth less two years from now than it is today.  It has both stagnant development (or development to benefit one primary company - not the protocol as a whole) and non functioning governance.  First mover advantage can't compensate in this arena with those problems.  Every year in crypto is like 20 in the real world.

Every other coin has it's problems.  Monero has it's ridiculous emissions curve & larger blockchain (although as time goes on the latter is less of a problem).  Ethereum has the massive presale which is effectively a 100% premine.  ZCash will have a 20% tax and is effectively centralized at the development arm and if they don't change anything will inherit all of bitcoins problems (minus ASICs).  IMO ETH, Monero and ZCash (when it's released) are the only things I'm interested in.

Despite the flaws of everything else - Dash is and always has been a joke.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1100
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
April 09, 2016, 12:33:17 PM
Yup. Where are the chartists who saw that coming? Which chart explained any of the recent dump? NONE. That's why TA etc are just dumb tools to dupe newbies (regardless of legitimacy of a coin). Overall this is coin has more slimeballs than even DASH and ETH combined. Normally I use crude language to go with this but it serves no purpose.

Just don't introduce anyone to XMR. BTC is the best one can do and that's what should be supported. Otherwise it's just dump a coin, come to this thread with a TA line to mock everyone, post negative sentiments when you want to buy, positive when you are ready to dump. Rinse, laugh and repeat.

Don't forget to post at what price you want to get back in. What price you want to sell right now. Everything out in the open, to steal from the guy posting before you in this very thread. Works everytime.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
April 09, 2016, 10:35:28 AM
From a technical point of view ...

From a technical point of view XMR is heavily oversold, at present.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
April 09, 2016, 08:10:08 AM
Anybody has some clues whether last big dump was a short or real coinz?

My guess is it was a short due to the spike in interest rates.
However, if I am wrong, the spike of interest rates was then due to lenders withdrawing the coins from lending markets.

I wasn't here to watch the dump in real time, but I looked at bitcoinwisdom, and if we take a look at minute by minute by volume we have:

01:26 - 20228
01:27 - 1839
01:28 - 15.3
01:29 - 36
01:30 - 28.9
01:31 - 29.5
01:32 - 252
01:33 - 2044
01:34 - 507
01:35 - 22670
01:36 - 17765
01:37 - 75
01:38 - 13105
01:39 - 39714
01:40 - 29239
01:41 - 9252
01:42 - 5648
01:43 - 1542
01:44 - 11386
01:45 - 2292

So it took about 20 minutes in total. Could be multiple sellers, shorters and buyers combined. It does not seem to be one entity although whoever dumped the first ~20k probably started it.

Image removed

Yup. Probably some percentage of the contents of the candles have also buying (I estimate around 30 % minimum).
20 minute dump to bids is a clear manipulative action. If the seller was a legitimate seller (s)he probably would have done the trade OTC or setting smaller ask ramps and support the bid-side or if the seller had hurry selling could have resulted better results if dumped in portions of 200-300 XMR per hour so that the buyers would have more time to send their slowly moving btc to Polo and give the markets for the seller.
hero member
Activity: 644
Merit: 500
April 09, 2016, 08:04:53 AM
Panic buying will occur very soon
legendary
Activity: 1552
Merit: 1047
April 09, 2016, 07:09:22 AM
Anybody has some clues whether last big dump was a short or real coinz?

My guess is it was a short due to the spike in interest rates.
However, if I am wrong, the spike of interest rates was then due to lenders withdrawing the coins from lending markets.

I wasn't here to watch the dump in real time, but I looked at bitcoinwisdom, and if we take a look at minute by minute by volume we have:

01:26 - 20228
01:27 - 1839
01:28 - 15.3
01:29 - 36
01:30 - 28.9
01:31 - 29.5
01:32 - 252
01:33 - 2044
01:34 - 507
01:35 - 22670
01:36 - 17765
01:37 - 75
01:38 - 13105
01:39 - 39714
01:40 - 29239
01:41 - 9252
01:42 - 5648
01:43 - 1542
01:44 - 11386
01:45 - 2292

So it took about 20 minutes in total. Could be multiple sellers, shorters and buyers combined. It does not seem to be one entity although whoever dumped the first ~20k probably started it.

legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
April 09, 2016, 06:22:21 AM
Train just derailed. We went up for some time, now it's time to go down for some time. I will hopefully buy back ~0.002.

I don't think so. Just a very badly disguised manipulative dump. Hang on did I say disguised? Lol.

I will continue to buy my monero. Bitcoin looks about to roll over anyway.

I agree. If the dump was done by whales I would be worried... As for now, when shorters dump by borrowing coins from the lenders. I speculate the shorters will get burned and XMR will have a steep spike upwards.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1000
April 09, 2016, 06:13:43 AM
Train just derailed. We went up for some time, now it's time to go down for some time. I will hopefully buy back ~0.002.

I don't think so. Just a very badly disguised manipulative dump. Hang on did I say disguised? Lol.

I will continue to buy my monero. Bitcoin looks about to roll over anyway.
hero member
Activity: 538
Merit: 500
April 09, 2016, 05:52:30 AM
Train just derailed. We went up for some time, now it's time to go down for some time. I will hopefully buy back ~0.002.
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1141
April 09, 2016, 05:25:20 AM
To anyone saying the charts look similiar to last year, you might want to take a look at the bigger picture (and the XMR/USD chart):

legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
April 09, 2016, 04:39:59 AM
someone just dumped over 3000 XMR borrowed from me... So there are shorters now in the market.
I am not worried at all since they will repay in one way or another (+ I get interest payments hopefully for entire period of 60 days).

Those shorters make me even more convinced to buy more coins. If the dumpers were whales I would be worried but knowing they are just a few random guys who can afford to throw their bitcoins towards betting XMR I am not worried but buy coins from them and lend those same coins back to them.  Kiss
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