Author

Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 2008. (Read 3314325 times)

legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1001
getmonero.org
March 18, 2015, 12:11:07 PM
What is the difference between Darknote and XMR ? Is Monero better or not ? If yes, can you just explain me why. It would help me. Thanks !

Darknote has zero volume. And noone cares about it. It wil probably have a big pump and then the a great dump and slowly die. Right now darknote has such a small hashrate, and with a block reward this small, it will stay like this. This is a security risk.

On top of that it is very illiquid, buying a considerable amount of it might be a real pain in the ass.

Well that is a problem for monero too Wink
legendary
Activity: 2268
Merit: 1141
March 18, 2015, 12:05:48 PM
What is the difference between Darknote and XMR ? Is Monero better or not ? If yes, can you just explain me why. It would help me. Thanks !

Darknote has zero volume. And noone cares about it. It wil probably have a big pump and then the a great dump and slowly die. Right now darknote has such a small hashrate, and with a block reward this small, it will stay like this. This is a security risk.

On top of that it is very illiquid, buying a considerable amount of it might be a real pain in the ass.
legendary
Activity: 1428
Merit: 1001
getmonero.org
March 18, 2015, 11:39:28 AM
What is the difference between Darknote and XMR ? Is Monero better or not ? If yes, can you just explain me why. It would help me. Thanks !

Darknote has zero volume. And noone cares about it. It wil probably have a big pump and then the a great dump and slowly die. Right now darknote has such a small hashrate, and with a block reward this small, it will stay like this. This is a security risk.
hero member
Activity: 876
Merit: 568
( ͡⊙ ͜ʖ ͡⊙)
March 18, 2015, 11:28:54 AM
What is the difference between Darknote and XMR ? Is Monero better or not ? If yes, can you just explain me why. It would help me. Thanks !
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
March 18, 2015, 11:16:33 AM
http://www.coindesk.com/breaking-uk-treasury-issues-landmark-digital-currencies-report/

Quote
The United Kingdom's Treasury has published its report on digital currencies in conjunction with the Chancellor of the Exchequer's budget speech today.

The report recommends that anti-money laundering regulation be applied to digital currency exchanges in the UK and that HM Treasury will consult on the regulatory approach in Parliament.

Regulations incoming.


When I was introduced to crypto it was marketed as a way to hide money out of the system.
Now as those people start to realize it is surprisingly easy to track the owner of  the coins, they might start a massive exodus from Bitcoins to Monero. And this is going to be a bloody rise in Moneros price as the stingy Monero owners refuse to sell coins in quantities. I see this scenario even relatively probable (actually probable enough that I have invested money into xmr before the masses start to flood). The biggest threath for XMR is currently Darkcoin since it has larger marketcap and is kind of leader in our niche.
3x2
legendary
Activity: 1526
Merit: 1004
March 18, 2015, 09:56:41 AM
anything above $5 is total unrealisitc
Thats what people said about BTC in early days.
legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
March 18, 2015, 09:44:29 AM
I was wondering, is there a payment processor for monero out? Like code that you can add to your website if youre a merchant to accept moneroj.

xmr.to

is the closest we have.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
March 18, 2015, 09:15:30 AM
http://www.coindesk.com/breaking-uk-treasury-issues-landmark-digital-currencies-report/

Quote
The United Kingdom's Treasury has published its report on digital currencies in conjunction with the Chancellor of the Exchequer's budget speech today.

The report recommends that anti-money laundering regulation be applied to digital currency exchanges in the UK and that HM Treasury will consult on the regulatory approach in Parliament.

Regulations incoming.
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
eidoo wallet
March 18, 2015, 09:09:22 AM
I was wondering, is there a payment processor for monero out? Like code that you can add to your website if youre a merchant to accept moneroj.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1008
March 18, 2015, 09:06:48 AM
How is this for optimistic?  While I had poloniex open my cat walked across my keyboard and market bought some Monero Grin Cheesy Cool Huh Cool Shocked


legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
March 18, 2015, 09:02:30 AM
Most optimistic, monero is the vanguard that not only protects the integrity of what vestiges of a free market we have now but further leads to the creation of a true free market renaissance and destroys the state in the sense that it will be forced to fund its self through voluntary donations only. In this future sure some are wealthier than others, but just like how modern day poor are in some sense wealthier than kings of old, even the poor in the future will be in most ways better off than billionaires today. Most optimistic, monero makes everyone wealthier in ways that we cant even begin to imagine, even people who never touch the stuff.

*edit* though i think its more accurate to frame this in the context of a broader trend of decentralization of which monero is a small (or potentially large) part rather than to put too much weight on the shoulders of this particular project specifically.
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1030
Sine secretum non libertas
March 18, 2015, 08:32:42 AM
Most optimistic requires several generations of technological and social change to occur, each of which is prone to failure, so yeah, its pretty darn optimistic, but basically it boils down to (1) no apocalypse destroying technological society, (2) XMR holdings retaining proportionate share of value, and (3) XMR displacing all competing stores of value and media for exchange without counter-party risk.  PQ = global GDP = MV = 18mm * V, with V somewhere from 1 to 10, probably closer to 1.  And yeah, then growing PQ is necessary to increase your value, so mining the asteroid belt, building a Dyson sphere, etc.  XMR + singularity FTW.

Pointless to discuss really, except that communicating vision is often super-effective.  And this peculiar vision is still very much an option, should we, as a species, chose it.  Which is a lot more than I can say for most pipe-dreams.  Moreover, with each day it seems more and more of a moral imperative.  What other option is there for preserving human dignity and individual liberty?

Regarding hoiding limits, I have relaxed my personal rules for the time-being, on the theory that I can always distribute it later (and will exercise the good sense to do so in a timely manner).  So yeah, I am still accumulating a bit.  More when it was lower, but slowly and steadily.  

legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
March 18, 2015, 08:16:05 AM

The most optimistic is pretty damn broad. How about Bitcoin tears itself apart with the bullshit over the block size or some other political crap, LTC is gone by then (could happen within a few months in my view), and Monero is the most credible PoW cryptocurrency project left standing (some of the less dysfunctional Bitcoin developers would likely join and we would welcome them), which then takes off globally within 3-5 years for a valuation well into the trillions. So yes, that is 1m or more.

Before I'm accused of being a pumper, I'm not making a "call" here, but you asked about most optimistic. Honestly I'm not even sure I reached it. I may not be creative enough.
Yeah, I was curious what aminorex was thinking of when he typed that, but I'm always happy to hear other people's insights on this, and from all my reading this past month on crypto in general and monero specifically, I've kind of take you as a somewhat authoritative person on the topic, so thanks for your input Smiley

For me, I'm not sure what a "most optimistic" scenario would be, but I think a somewhat "realistic most optimistic" hope is that Monero increases 100-200x on BTC, so to about 0.2-0.4BTC/XMR, and BTC goes up by about 100-200x, bringing the total to 10,000-40,000x current value.

The "best case" that I would say is "somewhat realistic" for BTC is around 1m. You can get there with the digital gold use case among others.

I don't really know what the "realistic" best cases are for the XMR/BTC ratio. So the "best case" for XMR that I can compute comes from the catastrophic hedge scenario where it replaces BTC and takes over BTC's upside that I just described.

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
March 18, 2015, 08:11:03 AM
I still say 0.035 was crazy cheap.  A risk-weighted discounting of future valuation scenarios tells me it was crazy cheap then, and is even crazier cheap today, when risks are significantly less.  Unfortunately, I recently developed a taste for rather aged Barolos (and did not have the benefit of realizing their merits at an earlier age, when i could have put them down cheaply), which is definitely causing some heartache:  XMR for tomorrow, or a sultry luscious red for tonight?  Fortunately I already have enough XMR to buy a smallish continent (in the most optimistic scenarios) so I don't feel stupid when I indulge my senses a bit.
 

What is the most optimistic scenario in your mind? 4 digits? 5 digits? overtaking bitcoin and reaching a million?

The most optimistic is pretty damn broad. How about Bitcoin tears itself apart with the bullshit over the block size or some other political crap, LTC is gone by then (could happen within a few months in my view), and Monero is the most credible PoW cryptocurrency project left standing (some of the less dysfunctional Bitcoin developers would likely join and we would welcome them), which then takes off globally within 3-5 years for a valuation well into the trillions. So yes, that is 1m or more.

Before I'm accused of being a pumper, I'm not making a "call" here, but you asked about most optimistic. Honestly I'm not even sure I reached it. I may not be creative enough.

you forgot about the massive alien demand for moneroj that is out there in space...
Within a decade the value of 1 XMR will be around a googol ISD* 



*InterStellar Dollars

Most most optimistic - Monero will lead us to transcendence.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
March 18, 2015, 08:08:17 AM

The most optimistic is pretty damn broad. How about Bitcoin tears itself apart with the bullshit over the block size or some other political crap, LTC is gone by then (could happen within a few months in my view), and Monero is the most credible PoW cryptocurrency project left standing (some of the less dysfunctional Bitcoin developers would likely join and we would welcome them), which then takes off globally within 3-5 years for a valuation well into the trillions. So yes, that is 1m or more.

Before I'm accused of being a pumper, I'm not making a "call" here, but you asked about most optimistic. Honestly I'm not even sure I reached it. I may not be creative enough.
Yeah, I was curious what aminorex was thinking of when he typed that, but I'm always happy to hear other people's insights on this, and from all my reading this past month on crypto in general and monero specifically, I've kind of take you as a somewhat authoritative person on the topic, so thanks for your input Smiley

For me, I'm not sure what a "most optimistic" scenario would be, but I think a somewhat "realistic most optimistic" hope is that Monero increases 100-200x on BTC, so to about 0.2-0.4BTC/XMR, and BTC goes up by about 100-200x, bringing the total to 10,000-40,000x current value.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
March 18, 2015, 08:07:32 AM
I still say 0.035 was crazy cheap.  A risk-weighted discounting of future valuation scenarios tells me it was crazy cheap then, and is even crazier cheap today, when risks are significantly less.  Unfortunately, I recently developed a taste for rather aged Barolos (and did not have the benefit of realizing their merits at an earlier age, when i could have put them down cheaply), which is definitely causing some heartache:  XMR for tomorrow, or a sultry luscious red for tonight?  Fortunately I already have enough XMR to buy a smallish continent (in the most optimistic scenarios) so I don't feel stupid when I indulge my senses a bit.
 

What is the most optimistic scenario in your mind? 4 digits? 5 digits? overtaking bitcoin and reaching a million?

The most optimistic is pretty damn broad. How about Bitcoin tears itself apart with the bullshit over the block size or some other political crap, LTC is gone by then (could happen within a few months in my view), and Monero is the most credible PoW cryptocurrency project left standing (some of the less dysfunctional Bitcoin developers would likely join and we would welcome them), which then takes off globally within 3-5 years for a valuation well into the trillions. So yes, that is 1m or more.

Before I'm accused of being a pumper, I'm not making a "call" here, but you asked about most optimistic. Honestly I'm not even sure I reached it. I may not be creative enough.

you forgot about the massive alien demand for moneroj that is out there in space...
Within a decade the value of 1 XMR will be around a googol ISD* 



*InterStellar Dollars
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
March 18, 2015, 07:45:12 AM
I still say 0.035 was crazy cheap.  A risk-weighted discounting of future valuation scenarios tells me it was crazy cheap then, and is even crazier cheap today, when risks are significantly less.  Unfortunately, I recently developed a taste for rather aged Barolos (and did not have the benefit of realizing their merits at an earlier age, when i could have put them down cheaply), which is definitely causing some heartache:  XMR for tomorrow, or a sultry luscious red for tonight?  Fortunately I already have enough XMR to buy a smallish continent (in the most optimistic scenarios) so I don't feel stupid when I indulge my senses a bit.
 

What is the most optimistic scenario in your mind? 4 digits? 5 digits? overtaking bitcoin and reaching a million?

The most optimistic is pretty damn broad. How about Bitcoin tears itself apart with the bullshit over the block size or some other political crap, LTC is gone by then (could happen within a few months in my view), and Monero is the most credible PoW cryptocurrency project left standing (some of the less dysfunctional Bitcoin developers would likely join and we would welcome them), which then takes off globally within 3-5 years for a valuation well into the trillions. So yes, that is 1m or more.

Before I'm accused of being a pumper, I'm not making a "call" here, but you asked about most optimistic. Honestly I'm not even sure I reached it. I may not be creative enough.
sr. member
Activity: 322
Merit: 250
March 18, 2015, 07:27:43 AM
I still say 0.035 was crazy cheap.  A risk-weighted discounting of future valuation scenarios tells me it was crazy cheap then, and is even crazier cheap today, when risks are significantly less.  Unfortunately, I recently developed a taste for rather aged Barolos (and did not have the benefit of realizing their merits at an earlier age, when i could have put them down cheaply), which is definitely causing some heartache:  XMR for tomorrow, or a sultry luscious red for tonight?  Fortunately I already have enough XMR to buy a smallish continent (in the most optimistic scenarios) so I don't feel stupid when I indulge my senses a bit.
 

What is the most optimistic scenario in your mind? 4 digits? 5 digits? overtaking bitcoin and reaching a million?

legendary
Activity: 3766
Merit: 5146
Note the unconventional cAPITALIZATION!
March 18, 2015, 07:13:26 AM

Given the robust history of XMR, and the relatively mature level of understanding of the practical as well as theoretical risk geometry of the technology, I think that the probability of a new crypto overtaking XMR is much less now.

 

I agree we have a lock on the #2 spot in this space, but something will still have to happen to #1.  And it is only relevant that the #1 privacy coin is deeply flawed insofar as it causes it's decline from the top spot.  I don't see enough evidence that is coming yet. Thoughts there?
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
March 18, 2015, 05:00:04 AM

Given the robust history of XMR, and the relatively mature level of understanding of the practical as well as theoretical risk geometry of the technology, I think that the probability of a new crypto overtaking XMR is much less now.  In particular it seems very unlikely that any large institutional crypto will incorporate competitive privacy features, as much of the value of crypto to such institutions lies in control of information flow.  
 

both parts cannot be highlighted more

you cannot build something with this specific kind of potential intrinsic value  in any other way

the risk of being overtaken diminishes from day to day
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