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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 2074. (Read 3313076 times)

legendary
Activity: 1260
Merit: 1008
February 03, 2015, 07:10:17 PM
^^^ yeop thats me.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
February 03, 2015, 06:39:24 PM
The trendline since summer 2014 (June 21st) looks simply terrible.
All the way down with lower high points and the coin has lost most of its value both against bitcoin and against usd.

The trend was definitively broken around December 23. Now there is arguably a new slower downtrend of lower highs, but it is hard to make that case based on only two data points, and since December 23 we have also seen a higher low, so no clear indicator here at all.

Quote
Most members in Monero community (me included) have reached their limits of the amounts of Moneros they want to hold.

Somewhat agree. Some members still talk about continuing to average down so that does support the price.

Also, I'm definitely seeing a growing second generation of Monero community members who weren't around for any of the early history and only now want to learn about the coin. That is a very healthy sign.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
February 03, 2015, 06:25:51 PM
If the price goes up from here, I will dump some coins.

I recommend calming down.
The emission is still pretty high (around 17 k per day).
The big price increase will take place most likely after 6-12 months from now so we have plenty of time to buy coins until that.

Still, ~17000 daily emission * 0.30 USD per XMR = only $5,100

I guess the price is fair, all you can do with it right now is gamble. Can't wait until the future comes and I can order pizza & drugs online, pay with Monero and have it delivered to my doorstep by drone.

You are now talking about the future which is long long time from now.
Most members in Monero community (me included) have reached their limits of the amounts of Moneros they want to hold.
There is very little interest from the whales to buy Moneros these days.
The odds are that Monero will go down from the current price.
The trendline since summer 2014 (June 21st) looks simply terrible.
All the way down with lower high points and the coin has lost most of its value both against bitcoin and against usd.
legendary
Activity: 1610
Merit: 1004
February 03, 2015, 06:13:43 PM
If the price goes up from here, I will dump some coins.

I recommend calming down.
The emission is still pretty high (around 17 k per day).
The big price increase will take place most likely after 6-12 months from now so we have plenty of time to buy coins until that.

Still, ~17000 daily emission * 0.30 USD per XMR = only $5,100

I guess the price is fair, all you can do with it right now is gamble. Can't wait until the future comes and I can order pizza & drugs online, pay with Monero and have it delivered to my doorstep by drone.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
February 03, 2015, 05:39:15 PM
If the price goes up from here, I will dump some coins.

I recommend calming down.
The emission is still pretty high (around 17 k per day).
The big price increase will take place most likely after 6-12 months from now so we have plenty of time to buy coins until that.
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
February 01, 2015, 07:03:12 PM
EMA's crossed on the 1d chart Smiley

newbie
Activity: 49
Merit: 0
January 31, 2015, 02:22:52 AM
there is clearly big preassure now, 0.0018 sounds good to me at least Grin btc is just to cheap
1 guy just bought 40k today, lets see if the wall at 155 dissapears once it gets hot or just moves up.

i think most dont realize that some of these coins will be gone for long long time.. Cool

I got my average under .00169 (unexpected) and I'm finished buying for now.  Barring big windfall or price fall, of course Cheesy
So ya, a floor at .0018 would be nice Wink

+1 I started buying Monero when it was ~.002 but my average is very low now (last buy was yesterday before we reached .0013)  Smiley

I started at .002 too.
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
January 29, 2015, 03:57:30 PM
look - I hold even one of this smart contract tokens in quite a decent amount and had even a few projects more - the nearer to bitcoin the better.
but if you really really break it down you have to ask - why use bitshares as a collateral, when it would be much easier to use btc as a collateral? - if it works they will clone it and use it as a sidechain, same holds true for obvious all other 2.0 projects.

To get there you have to believe that side chains make sense in the first place. The pure side chain seems to rely on merged mining and/or transaction fees as incentive, and there are lot of problems with both.

The model of side chains that makes the most sense to me is a chain that can function as a side chain for btc but also has its own coin to reward mining, not the idea that btc will be the only coin and mining will by rewarded by hopium to borrow a word used on the thread a few posts back. Once you accept this you have to reject the "there can be only one" idea though, which is a lot of what motivate the side chains concept. So I'm not sure the whole thing fits together at all.

If these asset platforms turn out to make sense then one can be added to Monero the way counterparty, mastercoin, or colored coins work on bitcoin. I'm skeptical of all of them, but ultimately Monero has no disadvantage here.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
January 29, 2015, 03:20:20 PM
there is clearly big preassure now, 0.0018 sounds good to me at least Grin btc is just to cheap
1 guy just bought 40k today, lets see if the wall at 155 dissapears once it gets hot or just moves up.

i think most dont realize that some of these coins will be gone for long long time.. Cool

Yeah charts are looking better and buy pressure is building. Lets remember though that inflation is still very high. Just one days mining dumped on the market takes it back below 12.
hero member
Activity: 700
Merit: 500
January 29, 2015, 03:00:29 PM
Just increased my XMR position a little  Cool
sr. member
Activity: 283
Merit: 250
January 29, 2015, 09:50:58 AM
Is it me (high on hopium), or at the charts looking pretty darn nice right now. I could see a little upswing into the 17 maybe 18's even in the short term.
legendary
Activity: 1762
Merit: 1011
January 28, 2015, 11:48:48 PM

this weirdo idea of some experts that bitcoin will be replaced by something better which we should wait for is so brutally flawed that I really wonder what they get their money for.



I see two spaces which will be filled by something other than bitcoin.  The 2.0 smart contracts etc system (counterparty? etherium? nxt?) and privacy.  

Market-pegged crypto assets are another very cool niche as well. I love the idea that I can short the S&P 500 using cryptographically secure collateral in a trustless, low-risk environment. Or hold crypto-rubles or crypto-Chinese yuan. Market-pegged assets are just as interesting a niche as smart contracts. We just have to see which system can do it best.

look - I hold even one of this smart contract tokens in quite a decent amount and had even a few projects more - the nearer to bitcoin the better.
but if you really really break it down you have to ask - why use bitshares as a collateral, when it would be much easier to use btc as a collateral? - if it works they will clone it and use it as a sidechain, same holds true for obvious all other 2.0 projects.

I'd really like to see some cryptocurrency-based fiat peg be accepted. Whether that will end up being BitUSD, NuBits, or something on a sidechain, I don't know, but it should be interesting to watch.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
January 28, 2015, 09:44:30 PM
ArticMine: I dont know.

To give a sport analogy, to me this competion to become the leading privacy coin is like a 10000-metres race with 10 starters.
E.g. one is Monero, one new TBD serious CrytoNote coin, one is ShadowCash, one is DarkCoin, one is AnonCoin, one is ZeroCash, one is a theoretical CN inspired Bitcoin side chain, one is ........

10000 metres because it is a very long race.

It's not a fast 6 rounds box fight: Monero vs. Darkcoin.

Are release dates when each coin started from the  startling line? If  so, that's bad news for Shadow  Cash


where do you guys see Monero being adopted in the future? what is your vision for this coin?


Outside of speculation, the biggest potential use case is offshore/private wealth storage (like a Cayman Islands bank account, but better)

But really, the question is "Where won't monero by adopted?" There are not a ton of situations where you don't want privacy. Fundraising and charity may be areas where an open-by-default ledger such as bitcoin is preferred, but for every other situation, there's monero. (note: Monero transactions are private by default, but can also be revealed voluntarily by the parties). That includes ordinary transactions with a food delivery guy where you don't want him (or your wife) to know how much money is in your wallet. It also includes cross-border movements of millions of dollars worth of funds by corporations who need to avoid corporate espionage. Think about a large mining corporation sending money to Mongolia for the purpose of  resource exploration and land acquisition after the discovery of new prospects. To what lengths would they go to keep those transactions private? To what extent would you trust the secrecy of bank employees in China and Mongolia when you start wiring over money to high-corruption regions? I could sit here and think of a 1000 examples where privacy is highly desirable without ever even mentioning black markets.

Simply put, privacy is worth trillions.
full member
Activity: 224
Merit: 100
January 28, 2015, 09:00:44 PM
ArticMine: I dont know.

To give a sport analogy, to me this competion to become the leading privacy coin is like a 10000-metres race with 10 starters.
E.g. one is Monero, one new TBD serious CrytoNote coin, one is ShadowCash, one is DarkCoin, one is AnonCoin, one is ZeroCash, one is a theoretical CN inspired Bitcoin side chain, one is ........

10000 metres because it is a very long race.

It's not a fast 6 rounds box fight: Monero vs. Darkcoin.

Are release dates when each coin started from the  startling line? If  so, that's bad news for Shadow  Cash


where do you guys see Monero being adopted in the future? what is your vision for this coin?
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
21 million. I want them all.
January 28, 2015, 07:28:49 PM
ArticMine: I dont know.

To give a sport analogy, to me this competion to become the leading privacy coin is like a 10000-metres race with 10 starters.
E.g. one is Monero, one new TBD serious CrytoNote coin, one is ShadowCash, one is DarkCoin, one is AnonCoin, one is ZeroCash, one is a theoretical CN inspired Bitcoin side chain, one is ........

10000 metres because it is a very long race.

It's not a fast 6 rounds box fight: Monero vs. Darkcoin.

Are release dates when each coin started from the starting line? If so, that's bad news for Shadow Cash
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
January 28, 2015, 05:44:34 PM
I guess XMR is no more technologically as bad as it was some months ago, and the web wallet works nicely.
Currently the only thing that stops the price rise is the relationship between buy-interest and supply of coins <8the supply comes from two sources: the new emission and the second one is some selling from the existing holders - this can be seen from the fact that it is very rare to see days the trading volume is even 30 % more than day's emission. Usually the trading volume in Polo is roughly twice the emission and into this number we need to add something from other exchanges.
legendary
Activity: 1232
Merit: 1011
Monero Evangelist
January 28, 2015, 05:32:32 PM
ArticMine: I dont know.

To give a sport analogy, to me this competion to become the leading privacy coin is like a 10000-metres race with 10 starters.
E.g. one is Monero, one new TBD serious CrytoNote coin, one is ShadowCash, one is DarkCoin, one is AnonCoin, one is ZeroCash, one is a theoretical CN inspired Bitcoin side chain, one is ........

10000 metres because it is a very long race.

It's not a fast 6 rounds box fight: Monero vs. Darkcoin.
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
January 28, 2015, 05:26:33 PM
The real question in my mind in the Monero vs Darkcoin debate is:

Are Darkcoin masternodes Money Transmitters under FinCEN regulations? This is significant given that a significant number of Darkcoin masternodes are under US jurisdiction.

This is far from clear from reading the FinCEN rulings http://www.fincen.gov/news_room/rp/rulings/pdf/FIN-2014-R001.pdf and http://www.fincen.gov/news_room/rp/rulings/pdf/FIN-2014-R012.pdf. The situation for Monero is on the other hand clear given the existing rulings involving Bitcoin above, since there is no masternode equivalent in Monero that a regulator can regulate.
sr. member
Activity: 289
Merit: 250
January 28, 2015, 05:14:11 PM
Monero is too buggy doesn't have a GUI.

Why Monero and not Darkcoin?

there I changed it to what you actually meant Wink

(edited once to make me wink)


thx this is it

Looks like a GUI too me (MyMonero.com). Again, WHY DARKCOIN?


full member
Activity: 192
Merit: 101
January 28, 2015, 05:03:19 PM
Monero is too buggy doesn't have a GUI.

Why Monero and not Darkcoin?

there I changed it to what you actually meant Wink

(edited once to make me wink)


thx this is it
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