I see last days on Poloniex that sell orders are slowly melting down, for like half of daily emission per day. I am sure bitcoin growth helps, but i think it started happening before that.
Maybe this are last hours of Monero under 0.002 btc.
If BTC will go over $400 and stay there, that is most possible.
Knowing we're very close to a released DB implementation, and reasonably close to a GUI should explain part of it, too. (+ multisigs being worked on, with a design unseen yet in cryptos!).
We haven't seen any tangible improvements to the code being officially merged&released since months, so when the significant stuff everybody's been waiting for finally get "real", it must have an effect... As often part of the effect gets priced in shortly before the things are actually happening.
For sure the next couple of months is gonna be way more exciting than the last couple of months.
Potential investor here with no skin in the game yet. Interesting debate. I have been following XMR from the early days, around the time Risto came on board.
Let me give an outsiders perspective.
All arguments for and against emission change are fascinating. Bottom line though is that interest and value have to be injected from new individuals to maintain and grow that value. Unfortunately the BTC market is in the dull-drowns at the moment, and many people (including me) are fed up with the altcoin market. The money flowing in has gone down to a trickle. Its a stagnant market at the moment. If you believe in the premise of Crypto, than this will change. Once the overall sentiment does change, you want to make sure that XMR can present a strong case as a viable alternative in the niche. That is, development has been steady and active, and fundamental principles remain un altered (ie the coin remains untouched).
Any "quick fix" will be looked at negatively in the future. My advice is maintain things as they are, continue with development, continue gaining exposure, and the market will come to you when its ready. Personally, if I felt the Crypto market was headed for a rebound next week, XMR is the first coin I would buy up today.
There is too much uncertainty today overall, but have a firm direction, implement all features, remain innovative, and when the clouds settle xmr will come out dry. Think long term instead of short term if this project is worth its weight.
Thanks for the "fresh" view. You're describing exactly what I would love to keep supporting.