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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 2118. (Read 3313076 times)

newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
November 17, 2014, 05:53:00 PM
When can we expect new GUI wallet?
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
November 17, 2014, 05:31:28 PM
Wallets do not increase demand - there are plenty of bleep coins with beautiful wallets and their marketcaps are below 1 million usd.

Totally flawed argument. Usability plus profoundly powerful privacy technology is entirely different from usability with nothing to really make a coin useful or valuable compared to hundreds of others.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
November 17, 2014, 05:25:35 PM
People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy pump should be ashamed.

LOL  Grin Grin Grin

People buying in cryptsy pump should be ashamed IMO.

My advice is to find the equilibrium price for the coin and not to pump it artificially.
When the equilibrium price has been discovered, then it is time to start accumulating and the price will be able to start rising.
If the price is too high for the absorbing the coins, then the price keeps falling, if the price is too low (meaning: there is more demand than the miners can supply at the price, the price will rise).

Personally I will start my buying at 0.0005 levels and see if it is too high or too low.

Tbh, you're completely wrong. There's no such thing as a equilibrium price in crypto. Does Bitcoin has a equilibrium price? No. Price depends on demand, and you get demand from (insert here). Pumps in themselves are not artificial, if you want to go that route. Then I can claim every cryptocurrency, especially Bitcoin, is "artificial", ever heard of the bot Willy, who pumped bitcoin to it's all time highs seen in November? Yea...

As Risto has purchased his largest single buy orders, the rest of coins need to be absorbed in small guys like me. I am so small fish that I am not able to support Monero at current levels but become possibly more interested if the price drastically tanks.
If it doesn't tank due to high emission, I am fine with my current holdings but if it tanks and I feel like Monero is good buy I will increase my stack. Right now I let others to fill their bags and I join in the filler's party later perhaps.
I may not buy even 0.0004-0.0005 levels though - we will see.
I think even decent wallets will not push Monero into bullish trend. For any serious attempt to bull markets price needs to tank from the current levels 70-80 % and then we might see a rally to 0.001 and then bear markets again, or the supply should be less than demand. Wallets do not increase demand - there are plenty of bleep coins with beautiful wallets and their marketcaps are below 1 million usd.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
November 17, 2014, 04:33:57 PM
People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy pump should be ashamed.

LOL  Grin Grin Grin

People buying in cryptsy pump should be ashamed IMO.

My advice is to find the equilibrium price for the coin and not to pump it artificially.
When the equilibrium price has been discovered, then it is time to start accumulating and the price will be able to start rising.
If the price is too high for the absorbing the coins, then the price keeps falling, if the price is too low (meaning: there is more demand than the miners can supply at the price, the price will rise).

Personally I will start my buying at 0.0005 levels and see if it is too high or too low.

Tbh, you're completely wrong. There's no such thing as a equilibrium price in crypto. Does Bitcoin has a equilibrium price? No. Price depends on demand, and you get demand from (insert here). Pumps in themselves are not artificial, if you want to go that route. Then I can claim every cryptocurrency, especially Bitcoin, is "artificial", ever heard of the bot Willy, who pumped bitcoin to it's all time highs seen in November? Yea...
legendary
Activity: 2968
Merit: 1198
November 17, 2014, 03:55:00 PM
reward is decreasing daily. it is going under 13 XMR soon.  daily emission is now 18.500 coins, by current price that is 27.7 BTC.

Daily emission at 13 XMR is 18720 so it is higher than that now. 18500 is incorrect.
sr. member
Activity: 406
Merit: 250
November 17, 2014, 09:59:06 AM
If we find some use for XMR, the price is supported.
legendary
Activity: 2730
Merit: 1288
November 17, 2014, 09:37:17 AM

It is better let the price find a realistic point from where the community is able to absorb the coins.
Personally I am not quit supporting Monero but I am not a buyer at the moment neither since I do not see it realistic to be able to absorb the emitted coins.
The markets should find the equilibrium price where we are able to buy the coins. When the block reward starts decreasing and some serious development done, the coin will skyrocket. But it will take a while and until then we need to be able to absorb the coins. It is unrealistic to absorb them at this high prices.

reward is decreasing daily. it is going under 13 XMR soon.  daily emission is now 18.500 coins, by current price that is 27.7 BTC.

Daily emission drops so fast. only few months ago was way over 20k. So pretty soon there will be way to little coins searching for a new home.

Monero need just more of use, and solid database is first step to get there. And developer knew that in May and are working on it from that moment.

All or at least most that bought Monero in past at higher rate, knew that there is a possibility Monero will get some use, when filling the anonymity niche of crypto currencies.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
November 17, 2014, 09:03:08 AM

Due to Monero's slide, it's become smaller and smaller percent of my portfolio, and I am only one of the quite many (some of whom I know, some of whose existence I know without knowing the identity) people who make calculated bets with Monero. It's even frustrating to be one (or even The) main cheerleader, when bigger players exist in the shadows and sidelines.

So yes, it is still in whale hands. Bagholder-whale hands  Grin

Time to rebalance that portfolio, don't ya think? Something a la The Permanent Portfolio (Harry Browne)? Wink

Buy more XMR? It must have escaped your notice that I just bought 50k today  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1762
Merit: 1011
November 17, 2014, 08:55:52 AM

Due to Monero's slide, it's become smaller and smaller percent of my portfolio, and I am only one of the quite many (some of whom I know, some of whose existence I know without knowing the identity) people who make calculated bets with Monero. It's even frustrating to be one (or even The) main cheerleader, when bigger players exist in the shadows and sidelines.

So yes, it is still in whale hands. Bagholder-whale hands  Grin

Time to rebalance that portfolio, don't ya think? Something a la The Permanent Portfolio (Harry Browne)? Wink
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
November 17, 2014, 08:51:07 AM
If you had been here in June, you would know that the wall was mine, put there to fulfill my promise from that time.  Cheesy so got dumped into is the right wording.

Most likely it wasn't you who dumped it, I believe you this since your wall has been for a long time there (however it got squeezed from 100 to 90 and finally 80 btc before it got dumped - this happened within longer period of time).

The squeeze I don't see as breaking the promise, becuase it was used as putting bids higher. All in all, my position has increased by more than BTC100 during the time it's been sub-002.

Quote
However the problem is that the Monero simply started waaay too high. Better to start from low and then rise little by little by making higher highs little by little as I suggested to you on Facebook.
In general without some exceptions, investors tend to like bull markets instead of bear markets.
Bear markets make investors frustrated and the frustration shakes weak hands from the markets.

I am still Monero bagholder but as I said, this price I am not buying it currently. I might flipflop but now it just looks too bad for buying.

The problem for some people is that they are way overinvested. I have advocated putting half to crypto and of that, half to Monero, and this (25% of investment worth in Monero) is imho an absolute max for only the most risk-taking ones and only if the investment worth is rather small.

Those who followed my advice, definitely feel the pain (for BTC and esp for XMR). But the ones who put 100% in Monero at 0.004 definitely feel more pain Smiley

No pain, no realistic chance of stellar gains, though  Cheesy

Due to Monero's slide, it's become smaller and smaller percent of my portfolio, and I am only one of the quite many (some of whom I know, some of whose existence I know without knowing the identity) people who make calculated bets with Monero. It's even frustrating to be one (or even The) main cheerleader, when bigger players exist in the shadows and sidelines.

So yes, it is still in whale hands. Bagholder-whale hands  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1256
Merit: 1009
November 17, 2014, 08:28:53 AM
I wonder what the market knows about that we don't right now. 

legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
November 17, 2014, 07:28:55 AM
It's academic anyway. Risto just dumped.

If you had been here in June, you would know that the wall was mine, put there to fulfill my promise from that time.  Cheesy so got dumped into is the right wording.

That we agree that price is not in perfect condition (there is no utility without price, so the academicians can enlarge their anus to make their head better fit in).

Everyone knows that alts, even good ones, are a risky business. What are the great positives for Monero, right now:

- CryptoKingdom
- The devteam is still there, still doing things right
- Once emission consensus is reached, whatever the decision, the result is positive and uncertainty goes away
- Like Bitcoin, unlike almost all the other coins, Monero is constantly being followed by people who could buy all of them at this price. It is our job to make it worth getting invested, and they have been smart not to pick the falling knife. I have been smart also to eat the losses so far, and prepare for the turnaround. Imo the turnaround should happen rather soon than late, to not lose community, but people who sell out at the absolute bottom are not worth keeping anyway, and a baggage important providers of liquidity in the following rise.

Reminds me of Bitcoin in fall-2011.



Most likely it wasn't you who dumped it, I believe you this since your wall has been for a long time there (however it got squeezed from 100 to 90 and finally 80 btc before it got dumped - this happened within longer period of time).

However the problem is that the Monero simply started waaay too high. Better to start from low and then rise little by little by making higher highs little by little as I suggested to you on Facebook.
In general without some exceptions, investors tend to like bull markets instead of bear markets.
Bear markets make investors frustrated and the frustration shakes weak hands from the markets.

I am still Monero bagholder but as I said, this price I am not buying it currently. I might flipflop but now it just looks too bad for buying.
donator
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1036
November 17, 2014, 06:51:09 AM
It's academic anyway. Risto just dumped.

If you had been here in June, you would know that the wall was mine, put there to fulfill my promise from that time.  Cheesy so got dumped into is the right wording.

That we agree that price is not in perfect condition (there is no utility without price, so the academicians can enlarge their anus to make their head better fit in).

Everyone knows that alts, even good ones, are a risky business. What are the great positives for Monero, right now:

- CryptoKingdom
- The devteam is still there, still doing things right
- Once emission consensus is reached, whatever the decision, the result is positive and uncertainty goes away
- Like Bitcoin, unlike almost all the other coins, Monero is constantly being followed by people who could buy all of them at this price. It is our job to make it worth getting invested, and they have been smart not to pick the falling knife. I have been smart also to eat the losses so far, and prepare for the turnaround. Imo the turnaround should happen rather soon than late, to not lose community, but people who sell out at the absolute bottom are not worth keeping anyway, and a baggage important providers of liquidity in the following rise.

Reminds me of Bitcoin in fall-2011.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
November 17, 2014, 03:44:40 AM
It's academic anyway. Risto just dumped.

Game over.

It is better let the price find a realistic point from where the community is able to absorb the coins.
Personally I am not quit supporting Monero but I am not a buyer at the moment neither since I do not see it realistic to be able to absorb the emitted coins.
The markets should find the equilibrium price where we are able to buy the coins. When the block reward starts decreasing and some serious development done, the coin will skyrocket. But it will take a while and until then we need to be able to absorb the coins. It is unrealistic to absorb them at this high prices.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
November 17, 2014, 03:18:28 AM
People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy pump should be ashamed.

LOL  Grin Grin Grin

People buying in cryptsy pump should be ashamed IMO.

My advice is to find the equilibrium price for the coin and not to pump it artificially.
When the equilibrium price has been discovered, then it is time to start accumulating and the price will be able to start rising.
If the price is too high for the absorbing the coins, then the price keeps falling, if the price is too low (meaning: there is more demand than the miners can supply at the price, the price will rise).

Personally I will start my buying at 0.0005 levels and see if it is too high or too low.

You know as well as I it will never reach those levels.

Like I said:-

People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy adoption should be ashamed.

Period.

Okay, then it is time to unload coins if there will be Cryptsy pump. Similar as it gave nice dumping opportunity to dump at Mintpal pump.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
November 17, 2014, 03:16:27 AM
People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy pump should be ashamed.

LOL  Grin Grin Grin

People buying in cryptsy pump should be ashamed IMO.

My advice is to find the equilibrium price for the coin and not to pump it artificially.
When the equilibrium price has been discovered, then it is time to start accumulating and the price will be able to start rising.
If the price is too high for the absorbing the coins, then the price keeps falling, if the price is too low (meaning: there is more demand than the miners can supply at the price, the price will rise).

Personally I will start my buying at 0.0005 levels and see if it is too high or too low.

You know as well as I it will never reach those levels.

Like I said:-

People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy adoption should be ashamed.

Period.
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
November 17, 2014, 03:10:20 AM
People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy pump should be ashamed.

LOL  Grin Grin Grin

People buying in cryptsy pump should be ashamed IMO.

My advice is to find the equilibrium price for the coin and not to pump it artificially.
When the equilibrium price has been discovered, then it is time to start accumulating and the price will be able to start rising.
If the price is too high for the absorbing the coins, then the price keeps falling, if the price is too low (meaning: there is more demand than the miners can supply at the price, the price will rise).

Personally I will start my buying at 0.0005 levels and see if it is too high or too low.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 504
November 17, 2014, 03:00:48 AM
People fudding XMR in anticipation of the Cryptsy pump should be ashamed.
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