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Topic: [XMR] Monero Speculation - page 320. (Read 3314350 times)

legendary
Activity: 2744
Merit: 1288
March 19, 2018, 10:13:57 AM
https://monerobase.com/wiki/DevMeeting_2018-03-18


To allow some additional time to test all of the new features, the next Monero release has been pushed to ~April 6th: https://github.com/monero-project/monero/pull/3424
Version 0.12 "Lithium Luna"
The release is expected to be tagged and ready for testing this week.
v0.12 "Major" Features
MultiSig
SubAddresses
Default Ring Size increase from 5 to 7
Proof of Work changes to combat ASIC's
Initial hardware wallet support for Ledger
Key reuse mitigations
A Dark theme for the official GUI should be finalized this week.


Well this isn't going to help price at all.

thanks for the post. Smiley

I would say the list of major features is really impressive and should have a more profound impact than the slight delay...


List of new features in this upgrade is huge. Not for us that monitor Monero progress in details here, but for coin itself is just huge.



If there was a hardware wallet like Trezor that supported Monero, how would it be affected by the upcoming 28 March changes? Does the algorithm change only affect miners and not wallets?


Monero protocol upgrade ( hard fork) will happen in 6th April.  We will have to update our wallets if we will want to use Monero. Usually they are available like a week or two in advance.



I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Is this true? If its then monero will get pumped hard and fall down like a crashing plane afterwards. Just like what happened to DASH.

can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .

I don't think moneroV does. But monero monero does. A slight change is going to be made to the mining algorithm that will render these asics useless for mining monero.


I also dont think anyone would buy an asic miner to mine moneroV.   Not sure if there are any other cryptonote coins that people will buy asic miners for.


I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Is this true? If its then monero will get pumped hard and fall down like a crashing plane afterwards. Just like what happened to DASH.

can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .

I don't think moneroV does. But monero monero does. A slight change is going to be made to the mining algorithm that will render these asics useless for mining monero.

Fishy how the timing of the MoneroV attack fork and the Cryptonote ASIC's is.  Could Bitmain and those XMV devs be all in it together?

And it's worrisome that they found some sort of 'attack vector'.  Even if this one fails, other more malevolent attackers could try it again and again, both the ASIC attack and the fork attack.

I had the same thought. The price of financial liberty will be eternal vigilance.


I have no ideas if they could be connected, but the ASIC sales only happened because it was announced that mining algorithm will get tweaked.  They had been mining in secret for at least 3 months. Now that this ASIC will become obsolete they hope to dump them on some people that are misinformed about mining algorithm tweak.
member
Activity: 140
Merit: 10
March 19, 2018, 08:12:23 AM
I'll bite. Post them addresses.
You want BTC, LTC, something else?  (I don't touch BCash)

Market dump? Limit dump?

44RTDnaPPKm7Rz786ugX5LGGP8ZSjFSfw3xZBtFhqjecgTNoqpohP6NRv774Cdk1QqE7WRpkLZ44aiJ ATczaw8EC4wRGStZ

What ever has worked worst for you in the past Cheesy
BTC address?

I meant to send 0.01 but I sent 0.001. All I did was pay a transaction fee and make dust Cheesy

Such mistakes are made by everyone, especially those people who make many transactions in one day. You need to be more attentive next time.

Exactly. Good that you made a mistake of this magnitude. i have made worse ones Smiley
member
Activity: 266
Merit: 10
March 19, 2018, 07:49:43 AM
I'll bite. Post them addresses.
You want BTC, LTC, something else?  (I don't touch BCash)

Market dump? Limit dump?

44RTDnaPPKm7Rz786ugX5LGGP8ZSjFSfw3xZBtFhqjecgTNoqpohP6NRv774Cdk1QqE7WRpkLZ44aiJ ATczaw8EC4wRGStZ

What ever has worked worst for you in the past Cheesy
BTC address?

I meant to send 0.01 but I sent 0.001. All I did was pay a transaction fee and make dust Cheesy

Such mistakes are made by everyone, especially those people who make many transactions in one day. You need to be more attentive next time.
legendary
Activity: 2240
Merit: 3150
₿uy / $ell ..oeleo ;(
March 19, 2018, 07:42:02 AM
~snip~
can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .

I don't think moneroV does. But monero monero does. A slight change is going to be made to the mining algorithm that will render these asics useless for mining monero.

Is this announced somewhere? The HYPE and FUD are really strong forces and big part of the crypto miners are like sheep /no offense/ they have no idea what they are doing, only money matters, so I guess many will be fooled around to buy some expensive ASICs door-stoppers.
newbie
Activity: 11
Merit: 2
March 19, 2018, 07:11:16 AM
Next week the G20 is coming up and they will also talk about crypto. As stated in the public document of the G20(: https://back-g20.argentina.gob.ar/sites/default/files/media/finance_ministerial_highlights.pdf) they understand that crypto has the potential to promote financial inclusion but at the same time they will try to analyse implications to financial stability, tax evasion and financing illegal activities. These statements are nothing new and very similar to what was said previously at the US senate hearings.

Could this have implications on Monero?


The other day I asked about the impact that the G20 might have on Monero and didn't get much attention. I guess that the line of thought is that no one really cares about what the G20 has to say about BTC or XMR since they can't stop us from having and using XMR.

What scared me though is that BTC (XMR followed) went on a run on the news that there won't be any special regulations coming up soon. This is strong evidence that govs and central banks have a very strong impact on crypto and can do whatever they want(weren't BTC and XMR born to be out of this system?). The fact that XMR price is so dependent on regulations is scary and this is a fact shown by the price movements following the news. Having no tight regulations is of course positive but what will happen when a crackdown arrives?. BTC and XMR just showed that they are super dependent on what govs and central banks say.

In the hypothetical scenario of upcoming regulations for privacy coins (bans on exchanges for example) XMR will be strongly affected as shown by positive response to G20 news.

I thought that XMR was way more resilient to regulations. Unfortunately correlation works both ways, up and down
pa
hero member
Activity: 528
Merit: 501
March 19, 2018, 07:07:12 AM
I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Is this true? If its then monero will get pumped hard and fall down like a crashing plane afterwards. Just like what happened to DASH.

can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .

I don't think moneroV does. But monero monero does. A slight change is going to be made to the mining algorithm that will render these asics useless for mining monero.

Fishy how the timing of the MoneroV attack fork and the Cryptonote ASIC's is.  Could Bitmain and those XMV devs be all in it together?

And it's worrisome that they found some sort of 'attack vector'.  Even if this one fails, other more malevolent attackers could try it again and again, both the ASIC attack and the fork attack.

I had the same thought. The price of financial liberty will be eternal vigilance.
member
Activity: 238
Merit: 11
March 19, 2018, 07:06:51 AM
If there was a hardware wallet like Trezor that supported Monero, how would it be affected by the upcoming 28 March changes? Does the algorithm change only affect miners and not wallets?

Wallets hold the private key to an address on the blockchain, miners run a proof of work algorithm to secure the blockchain.

These are two different cryptographic operations.
sr. member
Activity: 490
Merit: 278
March 19, 2018, 06:49:51 AM
If there was a hardware wallet like Trezor that supported Monero, how would it be affected by the upcoming 28 March changes? Does the algorithm change only affect miners and not wallets?
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
March 19, 2018, 06:28:08 AM
I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Is this true? If its then monero will get pumped hard and fall down like a crashing plane afterwards. Just like what happened to DASH.

can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .

I don't think moneroV does. But monero monero does. A slight change is going to be made to the mining algorithm that will render these asics useless for mining monero.

Fishy how the timing of the MoneroV attack fork and the Cryptonote ASIC's is.  Could Bitmain and those XMV devs be all in it together?

And it's worrisome that they found some sort of 'attack vector'.  Even if this one fails, other more malevolent attackers could try it again and again, both the ASIC attack and the fork attack.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
March 18, 2018, 10:40:43 PM
The Monero community was against the possibility of Bitmain dominating and defining the future of the market. This is unbelievable and more people should start supporting the currency. But if that fork will result in a competitor like BCash. With people who constantly spread bad news, lies and act against the currency, it will be a bad thing.

No. It is a routine fork. We do it every 6 months. We have been doing this for a long time. It never has been an issue even once. In fact we sort of hard fork even if there is no real technological motivation to do so. It is like a vote of confidence by the community in the direction of the dev team. It's almost like an election but with consensus rather than majority.

If people want to fork off and leave than we would kind of rather them do that than hang around and make strife. But no one ever has. Except these MoneroV morons who are doing it for a cash grab rather than out of any true ideological divide.
hero member
Activity: 672
Merit: 526
March 18, 2018, 10:38:48 PM
The Monero community was against the possibility of Bitmain dominating and defining the future of the market. This is unbelievable and more people should start supporting the currency. But if that fork will result in a competitor like BCash. With people who constantly spread bad news, lies and act against the currency, it will be a bad thing.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1217
March 18, 2018, 09:29:01 PM
I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Is this true? If its then monero will get pumped hard and fall down like a crashing plane afterwards. Just like what happened to DASH.

can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .

I don't think moneroV does. But monero monero does. A slight change is going to be made to the mining algorithm that will render these asics useless for mining monero.
full member
Activity: 294
Merit: 125
March 18, 2018, 09:21:33 PM
I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Is this true? If its then monero will get pumped hard and fall down like a crashing plane afterwards. Just like what happened to DASH.

can you provide us the link for this monero miners.? I hope monero V fork has a solution for this .
legendary
Activity: 3178
Merit: 1119
March 18, 2018, 08:14:07 PM
...
When the hell have you ever seen this space movie in a linear direction?

Oh, agreed.. We can certainly jump up $65 in a week.. or $100.. or lose $200 over the course of two weeks.

It's a rollercoaster ride that ...when averaged over time... moves upward.  But I just don't think we're going to see a $1550 improvement in under 6 months.

It's totally possible.. as Bitcoin did it last year.  But Ethereum couldn't.  And I don't think we have the market interest that Ethereum has....yet.

A Coinbase announcement could take us to $600.. and I think the improvements coming in the April release will get us closer to that.  They may want some time to see how our subaddresses and MultiSig works out.  And at their scale, I can't imagine that they wanted to work with Payment ID's.  So our move away from those may also be seen favorably.



From Aug 2017 to late 2017/early 2018 it went from under $50 to nearly $500 briefly. If we settle in around $200 now, then I don't think it's completely crazy to see it go 7-8x and touch $1500. Not saying I think it's likely, but, not out of the question.
full member
Activity: 532
Merit: 100
March 18, 2018, 07:17:44 PM
Monero is a great altcoin. I think the confidentiality protocols will be important in 2018, 2019. Monero is a very popular and developing project for many years.
full member
Activity: 201
Merit: 100
March 18, 2018, 06:12:53 PM
...
When the hell have you ever seen this space movie in a linear direction?

Oh, agreed.. We can certainly jump up $65 in a week.. or $100.. or lose $200 over the course of two weeks.

It's a rollercoaster ride that ...when averaged over time... moves upward.  But I just don't think we're going to see a $1550 improvement in under 6 months.

It's totally possible.. as Bitcoin did it last year.  But Ethereum couldn't.  And I don't think we have the market interest that Ethereum has....yet.

A Coinbase announcement could take us to $600.. and I think the improvements coming in the April release will get us closer to that.  They may want some time to see how our subaddresses and MultiSig works out.  And at their scale, I can't imagine that they wanted to work with Payment ID's.  So our move away from those may also be seen favorably.

legendary
Activity: 3836
Merit: 4969
Doomed to see the future and unable to prevent it
March 18, 2018, 05:57:17 PM
I normally dont do price analysis- i predict 1750 by AUGUST 2018

It's 165 days(or 23.5 weeks..or 5.5 months) until August 30th.

We're currently at ~$200

There's a $1550 different between those two numbers.

That means that we have to go up
$9.40/day
or
$65/week
or
$281/mo

That's not impossible, but really really improbable.


I have nothing to base this on, but I don't really see Monero going past $1k this year - perhaps a brief spike above $1k - followed by a huge dump. 

I think we can probably push and sustain somewhere near $500 ($480 to $560 sounds about right).  Pumps up to ~$750-800.  Asia might see it higher.



When the hell have you ever seen this space movie in a linear direction?
full member
Activity: 201
Merit: 100
March 18, 2018, 05:49:43 PM
I normally dont do price analysis- i predict 1750 by AUGUST 2018

It's 165 days(or 23.5 weeks..or 5.5 months) until August 30th.

We're currently at ~$200

There's a $1550 different between those two numbers.

That means that we have to go up
$9.40/day
or
$65/week
or
$281/mo

That's not impossible, but really really improbable.


I have nothing to base this on, but I don't really see Monero going past $1k this year - perhaps a brief spike above $1k - followed by a huge dump. 

I think we can probably push and sustain somewhere near $500 ($480 to $560 sounds about right).  Pumps up to ~$750-800.  Asia might see it higher.

full member
Activity: 201
Merit: 100
March 18, 2018, 05:36:06 PM
I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.

Right, but prior to them even being announced, they were DoA for Monero.  The Monero Core team had gotten wind of ASIC's being a thing and with the coming upgrade on April 6th, they will be doorstops.

I guess you could use it for Boolberry or Ducknote(or whatever they call it now).
legendary
Activity: 2240
Merit: 3150
₿uy / $ell ..oeleo ;(
March 18, 2018, 05:27:20 PM
I guess one of the reasons for the price drop you are talking about is because both Bitmain and Baikal announced that Monero ASICs are comming to the market - Bitmain Antminer X3 and Baikal Giant N
Looks like a lot of people are concern about them and this reflects to the current price level of all the Cryptonight coins.
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